Texas Summer 2022

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TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1281 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Aug 22, 2022 1:48 pm

What a wild event for you guys. Everyone stay safe. Im currently in Houston. Could be there turn tomorrow. Lets hope the boundary doesnt stall in the same place to allow training like in Dallas.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1282 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:09 pm

Even in an extreme event DFW airport gets the split shaft :lol:.

Image


 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1561783963190022145


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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1283 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:38 pm

Every drought ends in a flood! Crazy what you guys experienced up there the last 24 hours.

Stay safe everyone :flag:
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1284 Postby cstrunk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:45 pm

7.06" at my house in Longview. All within 24 hours. The rain is starting to let up a bit. Might get another 0.5" or so before this wave is over.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1285 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:51 pm

There is an absolutely insane amount of lightning just west of Austin and west and NW of San Antonio
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1286 Postby cstrunk » Mon Aug 22, 2022 2:52 pm

Iceresistance wrote:There is an absolutely insane amount of lightning just west of Austin and west and NW of San Antonio


Glad to see storms strengthening in those areas - hope central/south Texas can get some good rain without so much of the flooding issues.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1287 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:08 pm

The latest CPC forecast is suggesting another possible round of flooding rains towards the end of the month.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1288 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:09 pm

Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast is suggesting another possible round of flooding rains towards the end of the month.


They did a pretty good job highlighting the current period way back. They've had a pretty good track record of providing risk (both heat and rain) overall I think.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1289 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:10 pm

A tweet from Jeff Lindner is referenced in the article:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topst ... r-AA10Vy0S
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1290 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:13 pm

aggiecutter wrote:I wonder what Algorithm was used to come up with this:

[url]https://i.ibb.co/Y7XkS8s/FLOOD.png [/url]
how to check pc resolution


I'm just wondering what actual person made the decision to go ahead and post that graphic
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1291 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:19 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast is suggesting another possible round of flooding rains towards the end of the month.


They did a pretty good job highlighting the current period way back. They've had a pretty good track record of providing risk (both heat and rain) overall I think.


Do you know what they’re seeing?
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1292 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:36 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast is suggesting another possible round of flooding rains towards the end of the month.


They did a pretty good job highlighting the current period way back. They've had a pretty good track record of providing risk (both heat and rain) overall I think.


Do you know what they’re seeing?


From their source it looks like probabilistic forecast from the GEFS that is calibrated.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/extremesToolAbout.php

There is currently a surge of moisture in the E-Carib that will take a path towards Texas with increased pwats on the models by that time frame. Also increased EPAC activity around the same time will provide upper moist flow, the deeper into the Fall season the more important that bit becomes.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1293 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:44 pm

Just started raining here. Flood advisory.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1294 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:53 pm

weatherdude1108 wrote:Just started raining here. Flood advisory.

Austin about to get hit. Good, the more of Texas the better. San Antonio is next.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1295 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Aug 22, 2022 3:56 pm

All 3 major airports over 9"! This has to be one of the biggest, if not biggest, area-wide rainfall events in recorded history. I wonder how many reporting stations didn't break daily rainfall records for day or any day in August?
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1296 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:00 pm

Cpv17 wrote:The latest CPC forecast is suggesting another possible round of flooding rains towards the end of the month.


Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1297 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:05 pm

POURING rain here. :lightning: :rain: :lightning: :rain: :rain: :rain: :rain:
Checked gauge, showed 0.5". That's in about 10 minutes. So 3" per hour rate?
Last edited by weatherdude1108 on Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1298 Postby JDawg512 » Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:06 pm

Getting slammed here, good amount of lightning too.
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1299 Postby Clearcloudz » Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:29 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

#1300 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Aug 22, 2022 4:30 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote:Just started raining here. Flood advisory.

Austin about to get hit. Good, the more of Texas the better. San Antonio is next.


We'll get something hopefully. Seems so close yet so far.

I'm seeing another sneaky outflow heading southeast just as the storms get close yet again. We are just too far south for this pattern right now.
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