Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

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ElectricStorm
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1301 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun May 16, 2021 12:40 pm

Looks like Monday is going to end up being the biggest severe day of this system. Enhanced risk added for wind/hail.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1302 Postby Iceresistance » Sun May 16, 2021 3:15 pm

A lot of lightning outside ATM . . .
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1303 Postby Iceresistance » Sun May 16, 2021 4:41 pm

Tornado Warning near Duncan, OK, that storm has a HOOK!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1304 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon May 17, 2021 4:04 am

Moderate risk for hail in TX. I didn't see that one coming
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1305 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 17, 2021 6:09 am

Weather Dude wrote:Moderate risk for hail in TX. I didn't see that one coming


I did . . .
Image

Now you & me are under a Slight risk & I'm almost in the Enhanced! Lol
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1306 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon May 17, 2021 6:22 am

Iceresistance wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:Moderate risk for hail in TX. I didn't see that one coming


I did . . .
https://s3.gifyu.com/images/day1otlk_1200487757b5436f5dbd.gif

Now you & me are under a Slight risk & I'm almost in the Enhanced! Lol

I'm technically still in the marginal. But I'm at work right now which is in the slight, so I'm counting it :D
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1307 Postby ElectricStorm » Mon May 17, 2021 8:17 am

10% tor risk added on the new Day 1 outlook
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1308 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 17, 2021 7:36 pm

PDS Tornado Warning near Sterling City, TX
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1309 Postby Iceresistance » Mon May 17, 2021 9:49 pm

Brett Adair in Central Oklahoma . . .



Link: https://youtu.be/b6IMWWswAVQ
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1310 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue May 18, 2021 9:17 am

I cant believe I missed this outbreak! I needed to catch up on sleep and fell asleep at 4:00 pm EDT!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1311 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 18, 2021 9:17 am

Might be in the Long-Range , but the GEFS & GFS is showing something at the very same time . . .

6z GFS Sounding near Tecumseh, OK
Image

6z GEFS Mean SCP
Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1312 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 18, 2021 9:19 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:I cant believe I missed this outbreak! I needed to catch up on sleep and fell asleep at 4:00 pm EDT!


Well, maybe you need to sleep at night! :lol:

I'm bad at this well, but I'm more used to this . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1313 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 18, 2021 12:54 pm

I'm no longer under a Flood Watch . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1314 Postby Brent » Tue May 18, 2021 4:23 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I'm no longer under a Flood Watch . . .


I've been surprised at the lack of rain here so far given the hype
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1315 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue May 18, 2021 5:16 pm

Brent wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I'm no longer under a Flood Watch . . .


I've been surprised at the lack of rain here so far given the hype

This is on pace to be one of the biggest rain busts I've ever seen for this area. Some maps had us in the 6 inches area and we've barely had anything so far. The morning round never even developed at all...
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1316 Postby Brent » Tue May 18, 2021 5:42 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I'm no longer under a Flood Watch . . .


I've been surprised at the lack of rain here so far given the hype

This is on pace to be one of the biggest rain busts I've ever seen for this area. Some maps had us in the 6 inches area and we've barely had anything so far. The morning round never even developed at all...


Yeah all I heard for the last week was how much it was going to rain this week it's been pathetic lol
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1317 Postby Iceresistance » Tue May 18, 2021 6:18 pm

Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
I've been surprised at the lack of rain here so far given the hype

This is on pace to be one of the biggest rain busts I've ever seen for this area. Some maps had us in the 6 inches area and we've barely had anything so far. The morning round never even developed at all...


Yeah all I heard for the last week was how much it was going to rain this week it's been pathetic lol


However, on the flip side, there is a better chance for violent storm activity within the next 2 weeks because the atmosphere is less stabilized that usual without the crazy rains . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ElectricStorm
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1318 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue May 18, 2021 9:48 pm

Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
I've been surprised at the lack of rain here so far given the hype

This is on pace to be one of the biggest rain busts I've ever seen for this area. Some maps had us in the 6 inches area and we've barely had anything so far. The morning round never even developed at all...


Yeah all I heard for the last week was how much it was going to rain this week it's been pathetic lol

Welp this evenings round was a dud here too
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1319 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Tue May 18, 2021 10:08 pm

Certainly wasn't a dud further down south, unfortunately - looks like there may have been at least one SigTor near La Grange, Texas. Not to mention the terrible flooding that's happening down there.
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Re: Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

#1320 Postby Brent » Tue May 18, 2021 10:35 pm

Weather Dude wrote:
Brent wrote:
Weather Dude wrote:This is on pace to be one of the biggest rain busts I've ever seen for this area. Some maps had us in the 6 inches area and we've barely had anything so far. The morning round never even developed at all...


Yeah all I heard for the last week was how much it was going to rain this week it's been pathetic lol

Welp this evenings round was a dud here too


lol I just watched the news and its pretty bad when the met doesnt believe their own computer model :lol: :lol: It had a big round overnight and in the morning and he basically said its not happening

oh I'm sure the flooding on the coast is why our rain is busting I've seen it before
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