C/S TX Weather: Seasonal with some rains

[Rgv20]

Let me double check the calender....yep its January! On a side note is down right windy here at my place....McAllen Airport just reported a wind gust of 37mph and Harlingen had a gust of 43mph.

++

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0065
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...EDWARDS PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY...S-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...

VALID 250534Z - 250630Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 13 CONTINUES.

PRIMARILY A SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXISTS WITH DEVELOPING
LINEAR MCS ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY W OF WW 13 OVER THE EDWARDS
PLATEAU. ADDITIONAL TSTMS SHOULD STRENGTHEN ACROSS S-CNTRL TX NEAR
LRD THROUGH EARLY MORNING...AND WOULD POSE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL
HAIL/TORNADO RISK.

WELL-ADVERTISED LINEAR MCS INVOF EDWARDS/KINNEY COUNTIES SHOULD
CONTINUE TO EXPAND E/NEWD ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/HILL COUNTRY
WITHIN A ZONE OF FOCUSED ASCENT DOWNSTREAM OF MID-LEVEL IMPULSE
CENTERED OVER FAR W TX. RECENT SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATE THAT THIS
CLUSTER HAS REMAINED LARGELY POST-FRONTAL THUS FAR...PRIMARILY
POSING A SEVERE HAIL THREAT. AS ASCENT OVERSPREADS THE BROADER WARM
SECTOR...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
FRONT APPEARS PROBABLE...YIELDING A MIX OF ISOLATED SEVERE
HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREATS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

MID-LEVEL CONVECTION HAS BEEN INCREASING FARTHER SE TOWARDS
LRD...WITH INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT APPEARING TO BE UNDERWAY.
GIVEN A MUCH BROADER WARM/MOIST SECTOR ALONG WITH STRONG SLYS AOA 30
KT ALONG AND E OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR...THIS SETUP SHOULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL.

..GRAMS.. 01/25/2012


ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 30040044 30320025 30889925 31039840 30879710 30569673
30289667 29929646 29339663 28239720 27999753 27719823
27629847 27629901 27669934 27829968 28380039 29120073
30040044

[Shoshana]

We got 3.5" of rain so far .... cool.

[cycloneye]

Wow,from a dry pattern to a wet one and look at what extreme weather can do. This is in Fort Worth.

[Shoshana]

There was a tornado in Austin within abt 2 miles of our house. As far as I can tell there was no tornado warnings issued.

[Portastorm]

There was a tornado in Austin within abt 2 miles of our house. As far as I can tell there was no tornado warnings issued.

Shoshana ... while we were under a Tornado Watch at the time, you are correct. No warning was issued. The tornado touched down near 290/Springdale, was 50 yards wide, and lasted about 1.1 miles. How did you do in the rainfall department? We got about 3.4 inches here at the Portastorm Weather Center in scenic southwest Austin.

[Shoshana]

There was a tornado in Austin within abt 2 miles of our house. As far as I can tell there was no tornado warnings issued.

Shoshana ... while we were under a Tornado Watch at the time, you are correct. No warning was issued. The tornado touched down near 290/Springdale, was 50 yards wide, and lasted about 1.1 miles. How did you do in the rainfall department? We got about 3.4 inches here at the Portastorm Weather Center in scenic southwest Austin.

We got 3.5" ... and the loudest thunderstorm I've heard in years. There was some kind of flood warning issued (I can't remember if it was a flash flood warning or just a flood warning) that set off my weather radio right around the time of the worst storming. I couldn't sleep till it was all over, Husband slept thru the entire thing.

We are pretty much due north of where the tornado was, and it seemed to be (from the tracks) heading a bit NE.

[Portastorm]

Funny you should mention that (the loudness element) ... my brother, who lives in Pflugerville, and I were talking the day after the storm. We both remarked to each other how loud it was (my house literally shook to the foundation several times from thunder after a close lightning strike) and we wondered if it was a matter of us not having any real storms in several years (due to the drought) or if that storm particularly was indeed that LOUD!!

[Portastorm]

Could see some decent storms later today/tonight along the I-35 corridor:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
555 AM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-041200-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
555 AM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A ROCKSPRINGS
TO SABINAL TO SAN ANTONIO TO TAYLOR LINE. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A
COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS.

AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THIS DEVELOPING COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS IN EXCESS OF
2 INCHES...MAINLY EAST OF A TAYLOR TO SEGUIN TO CUERO LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.

[Portastorm]

Heavy rain looking more and more likely ...

FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1232 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-
35 CORRIDOR FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH NOON TOMORROW...

.A MASSIVE WINTER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES AND U.S. PLAINS
WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING.
THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH AN UNSEASONABLY WARM
AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ALREADY WET GROUNDS FROM HEAVY RAINS
OF THE LAST STORM SYSTEM...RUNOFF WILL BE QUICK LEADING TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

TXC013-021-029-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-285-287-453-491-
493-040245-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0001.120204T0200Z-120204T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-
GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO...
LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...GONZALES...
SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS...
AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE
1232 PM CST FRI FEB 3 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA...
BASTROP...BEXAR...CALDWELL...COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS...
WILLIAMSON AND WILSON.

* FROM 8 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING

* A MASSIVE WINTER STORM SYSTEM OVER THE ROCKIES AND U.S. PLAINS
WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING.
THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH AN UNSEASONABLY
WARM AND VERY MOIST AIRMASS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WITH ALREADY WET GROUNDS FROM HEAVY
RAINS OF THE LAST STORM SYSTEM...RUNOFF WILL BE QUICK LEADING TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE
ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH ISOLATED THREE INCH PLUS AMOUNTS OVER THE
WATCH AREA.

* THE HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH THE GREATEST THREAT OVER THE LOWER
GUADALUPE...SAN ANTONIO AND LAVACA NAVIDAD RIVER BASINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR
THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT
YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE
READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.

[Portastorm]

Well ... shoot ... only picked up about a half inch at the Portastorm Weather Center. I do see that the eastern end of the county received about 1.5 inches. Still, I won't sniff at any rain at this point. It's a beautiful thing.

[Shoshana]

We also got .5" ... it sounded like more but it was mostly lightning and thunder.

[cycloneye]

Texas ranks as the second state with the most rainfall in January and that of course is great news.

[Rgv20]

Rain glorious Rain!!


Drought...dented? For the Lower Valley, we're on our way. More than 2 inches has fallen in most of Cameron and Willacy County, and the Highway 83 corridor has done nicely with some areas over two inches and counting at 9 AM Thursday morning. Stat of the morning: Brownsville had reached 2.71 inches at 9 AM, now ranked #2 all time for the wettest first half of February, and there's more rain coming through the 11th. How much more to #1? Less than an inch. McAllen/Miller (since 1961) is less than 0.6 inches from matching its all time 15 day total of 2.28 set in 1977.

[Shoshana]

28F ... amazing

[Shoshana]

Hail, sounds little. We had sleet a few days ago (2/12)

[Portastorm]

A little more than 2.3 inches of rain in the last 24 hours at the Portastorm Weather Center. Whoo!

[Rgv20]

The wind is howling in my backyard! Gusts has been easily in the 40mph+ range

[Portastorm]

The wind is howling in my backyard! Gusts has been easily in the 40mph+ range

Sounds like the NWS forecast you showed us yesterday is verifying. Not surprised. The upper-level low moving across Texas (not to mention the surface reflection in the Gulf) is sucking up that RGV air into it!

[Rgv20]

Surprisingly the lower valley looks like they are going to miss out on the stronger winds.....Usually they get the stronger winds and my area (upper valley) we only get 25+ winds.



Changing the subject, the Seasonal ECMWF is forecasting above normal Sea Level Pressure for the GOM come June thru August....Hurricane Season is coming up fast!

[somethingfunny]

Rain totals over the past seven days: