Texas Fall 2019

[gpsnowman]

Front is blowing through. Holy moly the winds are insane. Stuff is blowing all over the place.

[rwfromkansas]

This is one of the most impressive fronts I recall in awhile. Clouds posted online look mean.

My home weather station shows an immediate DIVE in temps at 9:44. Down from 65 to now 46.

It also shows sustained 17 mph winds, when even in strong winds it usually only shows 10 or so due to the close neighborhood houses. That means it has to be really windy out there...

[Ralph's Weather]

Sounds like it is a bigger icing event than expected this morning for Oklahoma. Not much showing on radar but apparently a large area is still being affected with spots getting it heavy.

[wxman57]

I'd better start erecting a large wall across northern Houston immediately. Not sure if there will be time to stop the cold air from reaching me...

[Brent]

I'd better start erecting a large wall across northern Houston immediately. Not sure if there will be time to stop the cold air from reaching me...

I think you're too late sir this front is no joke

[Tireman4]

I'd better start erecting a large wall across northern Houston immediately. Not sure if there will be time to stop the cold air from reaching me...

You sir, are done. Your Summer is gone. May I interest you in some huge Kerosene heaters, sir?

[weatherdude1108]

Just had a wind shift here and noticeably cooler. Humidity lower. Main front right on our doorstep!

[Yukon Cornelius]

Starting to have freezing drizzle up this way.

[bubba hotep]

Ensembles are trending towards split flow with a western trough in the longer range. That should keep Texas from totally torching but also means no really cold air over the top. Mild and wet?

[Ralph's Weather]

Thundersleet for NE OK and NW AR right now. Lighter back towards SW OK and NW TX.

[weatherdude1108]

Followup:

I was outside when initial push moved through, basing it on Wwather Underground. Moved through at 12:13ish PM. 69 to 60 in 10
minutes. Honestly I think the thermometer is catching up with the front.lol

[Haris]

Already down to 50F as of 1255. NAM on track temp wise.HRRR isn’t forecasting that until 4pm for my area so it’s too warm.

Maybe more wintry precip now (?)

[dhweather]

In Heath

11:10AM 65.6 degrees

12:10PM 45.2 degrees

- 20.4 degrees in one hour after FROPA.
- Max wind gust 41.4mph

[wxman22]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1209 PM CST MON NOV 11 2019

.NEAR TERM [THROUGH TODAY]...

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO TRUCK SOUTH NOW PUSHING THROUGH TEMPLE AS
OF 1130AM. LATEST HRRR RUN AT 16Z LOOKS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON
THE SPEED OF THE FRONT AND TEMPERATURES BEHIND IT. LATEST 12Z WRF
AND NAM RUNS SEEM TO HAVE CAUGHT ONTO THESE TRENDS AS WELL. WE
HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REFLECT THE COLDER AIRMASS MOVING
INTO THE AREA. OVERALL TIMING HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH AS HRRR RUNS
HAVE BEEN DOING A GOOD JOB WITH THE TIMING. WE ARE STILL LOOKING
AT THE FRONT REACHING KCLL AROUND 2PM, HOUSTON 3-4PM AND OFF THE
COAST FOR GALVESTON AROUND 6PM.

AFTER DOING SOME CAREFUL ANALYSIS, WE DID UPDATE TIMING/LOCATION
OF ANY POTENTIAL FOR WINTER PRECIP. UNDERSTAND THIS WILL MOST
LIKELY BE A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET WITH RAIN FALLING THROUGH A
2500-3000FT SUB FREEZING LAYER THAT COULD REFREEZE AS SLEET.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOOKS TO BE SOME WHERE IN THAT 05Z TO 10Z
TUESDAY TIME FRAME FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY
ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS SLEET. WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS
FROM THE SLEET EITHER AS IT WILL BE A SHORT TIME FRAME FOR ITS
OCCURRENCE AND LIKELY TO BE WITH AN AREA FROM COLUMBUS TO COLLEGE
STATION TO HUNTSVILLE TO MAYBE LIVINGSTON BACK DOWN TOWARDS
CONROE TO KATY BACK TO COLUMBUS. THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH LARGE
SCALE LIFT WITH FRONTOGENESIS, ENOUGH MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE 850MB
FRONT TO SUPPORT A MIX OF PRECIPITATION. THE REAL QUESTION MARK
WILL BE HOW QUICKLY THE DRIER AIR AT 850 TO 700MB MOVES INTO THE
AREA. THAT WILL BE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN GETTING A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET
OR NOTHING AT ALL. THIS IS A REALLY MARGINAL EVENT BUT ENOUGH TO
AT LEAST PUT IN THE FORECAST. IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL IF ANY AT
ALL.

OVERPECK

[dhweather]

In a meager 384 hours......

[Cerlin]

In a meager 384 hours......

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019111112/gfs_ref_frzn_us_64.png

That’s a fantasy land thanksgiving miracle!!

[Snowflake7]

Did we skip fall completely??? This is what I'm talking about!! It is FREEZING out there!! What all records have we broken so far??

[Cerlin]

I’m loving the cold, but I think DFW has missed the shot to get wintry weather today. Oh well:)

[rwfromkansas]

I will be in Kansas for Thanksgiving, so hey, I would not mind some snow.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

Ensembles are trending towards split flow with a western trough in the longer range. That should keep Texas from totally torching but also means no really cold air over the top. Mild and wet?

Sounds like a classic Fall scenario. 40s to 60s and some rain.