Texas Spring 2022
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2450
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
In the last 24 hours I recorded 1.85 inches of rain.
2 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2534
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Barely got an inch, but more than any other rainfall this year, so I will take it. Dallas looks like it got more.
1 likes
Re: Texas Spring 2022
0.95" at the airport so pretty close to "1. Most were in that range 1-2" higher to the north and west. The further north higher totals is actually quite beneficial to the lakes as the runoffs end up downstream some so there's that, even if not excessive to the south.
3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9280
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Ntxw wrote:0.95" at the airport so pretty close to "1. Most were in that range 1-2" higher to the north and west. The further north higher totals is actually quite beneficial to the lakes as the runoffs end up downstream some so there's that, even if not excessive to the south.
The Drought Map is going to look better after this, I only managed to pick up 1.2 inches because the boundary was shoved further south than the models expected & the Supercells like to dodge my house

0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2450
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0.95" at the airport so pretty close to "1. Most were in that range 1-2" higher to the north and west. The further north higher totals is actually quite beneficial to the lakes as the runoffs end up downstream some so there's that, even if not excessive to the south.
The Drought Map is going to look better after this, I only managed to pick up 1.2 inches because the boundary was shoved further south than the models expected & the Supercells like to dodge my house
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
1 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Re: Texas Spring 2022
1.61" at my house in Longview. The last inch or so came from pretty heavy stratiform rain on the backside of the line of storms over the last few hours. Very much needed after we missed out on the last couple rain events. Glad to see a lot of other areas in Texas getting some good rain.
1 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9280
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0.95" at the airport so pretty close to "1. Most were in that range 1-2" higher to the north and west. The further north higher totals is actually quite beneficial to the lakes as the runoffs end up downstream some so there's that, even if not excessive to the south.
The Drought Map is going to look better after this, I only managed to pick up 1.2 inches because the boundary was shoved further south than the models expected & the Supercells like to dodge my house
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
What if they are the main source of rainfall for the certain event? Only one (Which missed me way to the north) produced tornadoes, & the others were insufficient for a tornado warning despite strong hooks on radar with poor velocity. (That's the only good thing)
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:The Drought Map is going to look better after this, I only managed to pick up 1.2 inches because the boundary was shoved further south than the models expected & the Supercells like to dodge my house
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
What if they are the main source of rainfall for the certain event? Only one (Which missed me way to the north) produced tornadoes, & the others were insufficient for a tornado warning despite strong hooks on radar with poor velocity. (That's the only good thing)
I would say supercells occur where they want when they want and are a source of rainfall. But they can do damage to lives and property, when you have to pay for the cleanup and deal with the financial hit and whatnot to your home, you just don't want to see it as a homeowner. Same with hail, it's okay when you are kid and someone else takes care of it

3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2450
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
What if they are the main source of rainfall for the certain event? Only one (Which missed me way to the north) produced tornadoes, & the others were insufficient for a tornado warning despite strong hooks on radar with poor velocity. (That's the only good thing)
I would say supercells occur where they want when they want and are a source of rainfall. But they can do damage to lives and property, when you have to pay for the cleanup and deal with the financial hit and whatnot to your home, you just don't want to see it as a homeowner. Same with hail, it's okay when you are kid and someone else takes care of it. That's the honest truth. Believe me those who have a house in their name cheer hard for big storms to miss.
That's what I do. I actually put some fans out back to blow the storms around me.
3 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9280
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
What if they are the main source of rainfall for the certain event? Only one (Which missed me way to the north) produced tornadoes, & the others were insufficient for a tornado warning despite strong hooks on radar with poor velocity. (That's the only good thing)
I would say supercells occur where they want when they want and are a source of rainfall. But they can do damage to lives and property, when you have to pay for the cleanup and deal with the financial hit and whatnot to your home, you just don't want to see it as a homeowner. Same with hail, it's okay when you are kid and someone else takes care of it. That's the honest truth. Believe me those who have a house in their name cheer hard for big storms to miss.
As long as they can't produce a tornado (Or very well), produce BIG Hail, or do damaging winds, I'll be fine with them around.
HockeyTx82 wrote:That's what I do. I actually put some fans out back to blow the storms around me.



0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9280
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Found this sounding on the 12z GFS over OKC for Friday, the Hodograph is very impressive for wind shear as well.

https://s7.gifyu.com/images/12z-GFS-OKC-Sounding.png


https://s7.gifyu.com/images/12z-GFS-OKC-Sounding.png
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- cheezyWXguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 6091
- Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
- Location: Dallas, TX
Re: Texas Spring 2022
I don’t own a home, but my parents and a few friends do, and all in all I’d say supercells are worth it if they’re you’re only source of rain in a drought period. Only a small portion of the storm, or even the hail core, would be producing hail large enough to cause significant roof damage, if it does at all, so the chances of taking those impacts are statistically low. Foundation problems seem like a worse and more widespread issue to me, which get worse in back to back long term drought/flood intervals.
2 likes
Re: Texas Spring 2022
A couple of nice downpours here in Austin so far today; seeing about 1.2"-2" around town. And raining again right now; yay. Thunder this morning.
1 likes
Re: Texas Spring 2022
cheezyWXguy wrote:I don’t own a home, but my parents and a few friends do, and all in all I’d say supercells are worth it if they’re you’re only source of rain in a drought period. Only a small portion of the storm, or even the hail core, would be producing hail large enough to cause significant roof damage, if it does at all, so the chances of taking those impacts are statistically low. Foundation problems seem like a worse and more widespread issue to me, which get worse in back to back long term drought/flood intervals.
I had this same sentiment until got hit twice in 2012 by baseball hail and lots of foliage and tree damage in that crazy wind storm June a few years ago, cleanup for that took weeks. Once it happens to you, mindset completely changes no matter the odds! I know Brent went through the same process after coming from Alabama, from his posts the Wylie hail a few years back gave him second thoughts.
3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:0.95" at the airport so pretty close to "1. Most were in that range 1-2" higher to the north and west. The further north higher totals is actually quite beneficial to the lakes as the runoffs end up downstream some so there's that, even if not excessive to the south.
The Drought Map is going to look better after this, I only managed to pick up 1.2 inches because the boundary was shoved further south than the models expected & the Supercells like to dodge my house
Supercells dodging your house is a good thing.
I rarely have to worry about supercells where I live. They’re very rare around this part of the state. I’ve only experienced a few of them down here with the worst one producing golf ball size hail and an Ef-0 that missed my house by about a half mile. Most of the time I’ll never say no to a supercell but I’m half crazy and just love the experience and plus I love the torrential rain rates. Plus I know where I live the weather usually doesn’t get too severe here, not even from supercells. The craziest event I’ve ever experienced here was definitely Harvey where I once got caught under a very heavy band and received 6” of rain in one hour. That was an absolute thrill for me to be completely honest.
2 likes
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Long term early May pattern looks like possibility for blocking (scenario 2 from prior post) which would assist keeping storm pattern active in the southern rockies and plains. Promising look at least to begin a new month.
3 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6151
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Big rains in Grayson County and the Red River Valley.
As much as 5.11 in sone parts of the Denison/Sherman area according to KTEN meteorologist Mandy Bailey!
[tweet] https://twitter.com/mandybaileywx/statu ... EqHqveMv0w[/tweet]
As much as 5.11 in sone parts of the Denison/Sherman area according to KTEN meteorologist Mandy Bailey!
[tweet] https://twitter.com/mandybaileywx/statu ... EqHqveMv0w[/tweet]
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
Browsing through qpf to date and interestingly DFW airport has been one of the wetter spots. Perception of Love Field getting more rain than the airport hasn't held up of late.
Some other microclimates.
Weather conditions for:
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 541 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.89743/-97.02196
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 10.38 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 16.92 inches
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 541 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.89743/-97.02196
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 10.38 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 16.92 inches
Weather conditions for:
Dallas Love Field, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 476 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.85416/-96.85506
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 8.02 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 15.78 inches
Dallas Love Field, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 476 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.85416/-96.85506
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 8.02 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 15.78 inches
Some other microclimates.
Weather conditions for:
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 722 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.97333/-97.31806
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 4.28 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 9.69 inches
Fort Worth, Fort Worth Alliance Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 722 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.97333/-97.31806
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 4.28 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 9.69 inches
Weather conditions for:
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 587 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.65829/-97.09509
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 6.71 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 11.71 inches
Arlington Municipal Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 587 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.65829/-97.09509
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 6.71 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 11.71 inches
Weather conditions for:
McKinney - McKinney National Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 584 ft; Lat/Lon: 33.17778/-96.59028
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 10.16 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 17.89 inches
McKinney - McKinney National Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 584 ft; Lat/Lon: 33.17778/-96.59028
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 10.16 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 17.89 inches
Weather conditions for:
Rockwall Municipal Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 564 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.93220/-96.43484
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 3.61 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 10.74 inches
Rockwall Municipal Airport, TX (NWS/FAA - FWD)
Elev: 564 ft; Lat/Lon: 32.93220/-96.43484
Current calendar year total (since January 1, 2022): 3.61 inches
Current water year total (since October 1, 2021): 10.74 inches
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Spring 2022
At least DFW will get more rain May 12-15. It always rains during the Byron Nelson golf tourney.
1 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: txtwister78 and 53 guests