Texas Spring 2022

[bubba hotep]

Springtime in Texas

https://i.ibb.co/PzWBtKn/CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-regional-southcentral-13-01-31-Z-20220502-map-data-20-1n-10-100.gif

[dpep4]

"50 mile wide wedge tornado!" - Jeff Blue Shed

[dpep4]

Oops, looks like that image is dynamic. Update removed the humongous 50+ mile wide single tor warn box. It was all of Pecos County, TX.

[Lagreeneyes03]

It's all died down pretty quickly though....saved by "The Cap".

[Iceresistance]

Dallas had a severe storm blow through them.

[gpsnowman]

Dallas had a severe storm blow through them.

Not sure how much rain we got but the thunder and lightning were impressive. Time to get up now.

[HockeyTx82]

1.52 inches of rain here. No real severe weather.

[rwfromkansas]

The wind in warnings out west was impressive, speaking of 80 or 90 mph gusts.

Glad storms survived. I was on a northern edge and got a little over a half inch. Not bad. Some got a lot more.

[cheezyWXguy]

Dallas had a severe storm blow through them.

Mainly some heavy rain and a ton of lightning. I don’t recall any hail or notable winds, but then again, I was barely awake lol

[ElectricStorm]

Small 15 hatched tornado area added for N OK, the rest of the moderate risk including Tulsa is for a 45 hatched wind risk. Enhanced risk for OKC/Norman area including a 10 hatched tor risk. Entire area could get interesting but I'm thinking this will be a mostly linear event with embedded supercells. Still a very dangerous day though.

[rwfromkansas]

GFS and Euro still look good for DFW regarding rain, and the GFS has significantly shifted the heaviest rain west from Arkansas originally. Hope that stays. Euro not as widespread with heavy, heavy totals, but it will be a good drought-denting even either way if this verifies.

[Brent]

Small 15 hatched tornado area added for N OK, the rest of the moderate risk including Tulsa is for a 45 hatched wind risk. Enhanced risk for OKC/Norman area including a 10 hatched tor risk. Entire area could get interesting but I'm thinking this will be a mostly linear event with embedded supercells. Still a very dangerous day though.

Yeah that's pretty much what I'm expecting here. The supercells will probably be closer to 35.

In other news apparently Roger Edwards who works at the SPC had a stroke last night chasing in Amarillo he's fine but there's a big post on his Facebook

[bubba hotep]

For tonight, I wouldn't be surprised to see that line of storms move southward faster than what models are showing. Faster forward motion might be enough to get more rain into DFW. As of now, models have that line weakening on approach and not much rain makes it south into DFW.

[mcallum177]

At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if it overperforms.

For tonight, I wouldn't be surprised to see that line of storms move southward faster than what models are showing. Faster forward motion might be enough to get more rain into DFW. As of now, models have that line weakening on approach and not much rain makes it south into DFW.

[ElectricStorm]

Whoa 90/70 probs

[Brent]

:eek:
Whoa 90/70 probs
https://i.imgur.com/3UhUZD2.gif

I'm still wondering if it becomes linear fairly quick but that's definitely alarming

It's still only 64 here btw.... Not really your typical ugly severe day

[rwfromkansas]

GFS flip-flopped back to heavier rain long-term being along KS-AR corridor. Euro still looks good.

[ElectricStorm]

:eek:
Whoa 90/70 probs
https://i.imgur.com/3UhUZD2.gif

I'm still wondering if it becomes linear fairly quick but that's definitely alarming

It's still only 64 here btw.... Not really your typical ugly severe day

Yeah I'm thinking it goes linear pretty quick. But any embedded supercells could be trouble. And of course if anything can become discrete. Definitely a lot of potential

[Ntxw]

Small line might cross Oklahoma tonight but probably won't survive into North Texas.

Late weekend qpf has been diminishing on the models, a more random localized higher qpf but broadly looking maybe 0.5 to 0.75.

DFW airport got 0.70". A few higher totals west and north. Made for a loud late night to early morning.

Guessing additional 1" to 1.5" this week.

[rwfromkansas]

Going to Abilene to see the wife’s family this weekend. Supposed to be 102! Holy cow.