Florida Weather

[boca]

I saw the NAO is slowly creeping back up to positive which is not good for winter if you want cooler weather. It’s been negative since April for most part and when we need it it goes positive.

[TheStormExpert]

It wouldn’t surprise me if we get a tropical threat in November this year as we seem to be at least a month behind on the calendar.

Was just thinking the same thing, considering just a few weeks ago we saw a very rare TD off the west African coast.

[HurricaneBelle]

It wouldn’t surprise me if we get a tropical threat in November this year as we seem to be at least a month behind on the calendar.

1985 was known for its autumn, which featured a persistent trough in the western US and a persistent ridge in the east, and we ended up with Juan in late October and Kate in mid-to-late-November. So yeah, if the pattern doesn't change soon a November threat remains a real possibility.

[TheStormExpert]

I saw the NAO is slowly creeping back up to positive which is not good for winter if you want cooler weather. It’s been negative since April for most part and when we need it it goes positive.

This has been the case since 2011. The NAO just doesn’t seem to want to hang in the negative territory during the winter/cold front season. It only makes it harder to get any sort of significant cool down here in the FL peninsula. Slowly we’re becoming more tropical than subtropical.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Predicted high of 87F here in Tampa. We're still seeing summer time popup showers and thunderstorms throughout the evening and it's nearly November. I wonder how much of November we can go through without the peninsula seeing a single cold front?

[gatorcane]

The Euro has no significant fronts for peninsula Florida for the entire 10 day run.

Good round of afternoon and evening storms here in coastal Palm Beach County as the rainy season continues.

Reading this NWS Miami discussion today, if you didn’t know the date, you would think we were in the middle of the rainy season with mention of a chance of storms every afternoon each day.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=0

[boca]

I think we have the same climate as Cuba due the weather changes during our winter patterns the last 10 years. It’s rare we get below 60 and growing up in the 70s and 80s we would drop to the 30s and 40s quite often.The storm expert is correct that we are turning tropical.

[psyclone]

SERW (south east ridge warning)
valid: Now
expiration: Never

[gatorcane]

Looks like some convection is blowing up over the interior areas of Southern Florida along the sea breeze which has pushed inland. Summer in full-effect.

Looks like the GFS is trying hard to bring in some relief the weekend after Halloween but the Euro insists it will stay to our north.

[Bluehawk]

Looks like some convection is blowing up over the interior areas of Southern Florida along the sea breeze which has pushed inland. Summer in full-effect.

Looks like the GFS is trying hard to bring in some relief the weekend after Halloween but the Euro insists it will stay to our north.

Meanwhile, Boca Raton real feel: 101 F Summer indeed.

[psyclone]

NWS forecasts are finally showing some cooling late in the period. Hopefully some relief trickles down state in subsequent forecasts..

[HurricaneBelle]

NWS forecasts are finally showing some cooling late in the period. Hopefully some relief trickles down state in subsequent forecasts..

and this time Lucy tells Charlie Brown that she REALLY won't pull the football away next time he goes to kick it

[psyclone]

I think it's actually going to happen. Can't recall being so excited for some near normal temps!

[Patrick99]

It wouldn’t surprise me if we get a tropical threat in November this year as we seem to be at least a month behind on the calendar.

1985 was known for its autumn, which featured a persistent trough in the western US and a persistent ridge in the east, and we ended up with Juan in late October and Kate in mid-to-late-November. So yeah, if the pattern doesn't change soon a November threat remains a real possibility.

Yeah, I'm really having a hard time believing that the W Caribbean will go untouched the whole season. All we need is for some fronts to stall a bit further south and latch on to some wave energy down there.

Some years the fronts start in early October, other years we get very little until around or even after Thanksgiving. I have a feeling this is one of those years where we'll have one week of "cold" in mid December, another week in early January, and that'll be about it. hahaha

[psyclone]

It is just insanely cold in the west. crazy. tough to complain about our warmth when compared with the alternatives.. especially with some moderation in the pipeline. This October is going to be one for the record books with many places comfortably in the #1 warmest spot..

[Bocadude85]

I’m really missing the Florida weather, the weather here in Honolulu is consistently boring for the most part. I hope you all get that cool down sometime soon.

[boca]

Here is South Florida the NAO is already expected to go positive which means no cold fronts will make it down here. We are supposed to be subtropical but for the last few years I’m thinking we are switching slowly to tropical climate. The low 90s in late October is crazy and November looks to be the same as October.

[HurricaneBelle]

This graph confirms what I've experienced anecdotally over my last 40+ years in Florida

 https://twitter.com/FLClimateCenter/status/1189558754381107200

[NDG]

Officially Orlando will break the record for the hottest October on record by almost a full degree, what is the most unusual is that we saw highs at 90 or above for 20 days, this is incredible. Cool fronts over the next few days will bring us back down to average to slightly below average, with the continuing mostly -PNA any -NAO will not do much to central and south FL over the next few days because the cold fronts will not have move push to the south.

[TheStormExpert]

Any idea when this flipping heat and humidity will let up? Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's?