Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

Good morning Gusty
We are doing fine here.
You had a good amount of rain in a short time. Glad it wasn't any worse.
We had a considerable amount of thunder and lightning last night but NO rain! It was so surprising! Everyone was prepared for heavy rainfall but it didn't happen.
High seas and light winds this morning but still no rain..
the sun is trying to peek through here too.

Thanks for that report. Glad to see that nothing bad occurs. Yeah huge amount of water and numerous thunderstorms, lightnings. Looks like it's my only my area in the island who have experienced this strong episode of tstorms, rains. Things try to improve a bit, but we stay on our guard as things could redeteriorate during the next hours...

Anyway, let's continue each other to monitor carefully the situation in case of.

[msbee]

Take care PR and VI..We hope all goes well

[cycloneye]

2 PM TWD.

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE AT 05/1800 UTC IS
NEAR 17.8N 68.4W. THIS POSITION ALSO IS ABOUT 49 NM TO THE
SOUTH OF PUNTA CANA IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. GABRIELLE IS
MOVING NORTHWESTWARD 8 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1011 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON GABRIELLE
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCPAT2...AND FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2. GABRIELLE IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ABOUT 260 NM TO
THE EAST OF GABRIELLE. THIS WAVE IS ALONG 62W/64W TO THE SOUTH
OF 20N. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 19N TO
22N BETWEEN 61W AND 64W. NUMEROUS STRONG IS REACHING SOUTHERN
COASTAL PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. NUMEROUS STRONG
ALSO COVERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS FROM GUADELOUPE
TO DOMINICA TO MARTINIQUE. CLUSTERS OF RAINSHOWERS COVER THE
REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN 60W AND 70W. THE 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
05/1200 UTC... ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN...ARE 2.07 IN ST. THOMAS IN
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND 0.85 IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
346 PM AST THU SEP 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE LOCAL
AREA NOW THROUGH SUNDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS A LOW ENTERS THE CARIBBEAN ON TUESDAY AND
MOVES ACROSS PUERTO RICO ON WEDNESDAY. A SECOND LOW PUSHES TOWARD
THE AREA FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST LATE NEXT WEEK BUT REMAINS IN THE
ATLANTIC.

AT MID LEVELS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ON SUNDAY IN A NARROW RIDGE FROM THE
NORTHEAST WHERE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES AND GRADUALLY EDGE TO
THE WEST AS A TROUGH SLIDES SOUTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST AND BE JOINED BY TROUGHING FROM THE EAST AND MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PULL TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER
THE AREA. DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY IN THE
WEEK TO SET UP A DRYING TREND AND A RETURN TO THE TRADE WINDS WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE RETURNING LATER NEXT WEEK FROM THE EAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A SPECIAL 05/18Z SOUNDING REVEALED DEEP MOISTURE
WITH A PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT OF 2.42 INCHES...BUT WITH
LIMITED INSTABILITY AND A LIFTED INDEX OF MINUS 4.2. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FORMED SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO IN AND BEYOND THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING AND SOME MOISTURE HAS PUSHED NORTH
ONTO THE ISLAND PROVOKING RIVERS TO RISE AND SOME MINOR STREET FLOODING. A
RAIN BAND ALSO SET UP OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND BROUGHT
HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING EARLIER TODAY. THIS RAIN HAS NOT ENDED BUT
HAS BEEN DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT. FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF PUERTO RICO AND SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE
WHILE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE RISK OF FLOODING
APPEARS TO BE CONSIDERABLY LESS AFTER FRIDAY...BUT WILL CONTINUE
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL THEN.

BECAUSE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES IN THE NORTHEAST CENTRAL ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS...ONCE THE DEPRESSION THAT PASSED
THROUGH OUR AREA MOVES NORTH INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND IS OUT
OF THE WIDER AREA...HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN BE ABLE TO BRING BACK
THE TRADE WIND FLOW. BY MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. WEAK LOW PRESSURES AND
WAVES THAT ARE REGULARLY MOVING OFF THE AFRICAN COAST SLOWLY
DETERIORATE IN STRENGTH AS THEY TRAVEL ACROSS THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MODELS. STRONGER STORMS ALSO MOVE
NORTHWEST AFTER LEAVING AFRICA. THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA IN
THE NEXT 12 DAYS...AND SOME AFRICAN DUST MAY BE SEEN AGAIN AFTER
10 SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGS AND AREAS OF MTN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL FLYING AREA...AND MAINLY ON THE SOUTH COAST OF PR THIS
EVENING AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE MOVES NW JUST OUTSIDE OF
THE REGION IN THE MONA CHANNEL. TIST/TISX...AND TJSJ WILL CONTINUE
WITH OCNL MVFR CONDS AND SHRA/TSRA ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE
TERMINALS. EXPECT TSRA IN TJPS TILL AT LEAST 06/06Z. LLVL WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE ARE 20-30 KTS FROM THE SSE AND STRONGEST NEAR 10
KFT WINDS WEAKEN AFT 06/00Z TO 10 TO 20 KT BY 06/12Z.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS REMAINED AGITATED BY THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO BUT OTHERWISE CONTINUE AT 4 FEET OR LESS EXCEPT IN THE
NORTHERN OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS WHERE SEAS UP TO 7 FEET ARE
EXPECTED. BUOY 41043 REACHED 9 FEET TODAY...BUT HAS RECEDED TO
BELOW 7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
SUBSIDE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AS LONG AS GABRIELLE DOES NOT
UNEXPECTEDLY REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTERMITTENTLY OVER LOCAL WATERS
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 88 77 90 / 50 50 50 50
STT 77 86 78 90 / 70 70 60 60

[Gustywind]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
500 PM AST THU SEP 05 2013

...GABRIELLE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 68.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...
15 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE AREA TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AS THE CENTER PASSES NEAR OR OVER
THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Scattered showers will continue to move thru PR and USVI today as whats left of Gabrielle and another disturbance north of the islands combine to bring rain to the area.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
510 AM AST FRI SEP 6 2013

.SYNOPSIS...REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE ARE STILL PRODUCING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...BRINGING PERSISTENT RAIN TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE LOCAL WATERS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. CLOUD COVER AND SUBSIDENCE MAY LIMIT THE RAINFALL
ACTIVITY OVER MAINLAND PUERTO RICO.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE INT HE UPPER LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THEN IT MOVES
TO THE NORTHEAST AS AN UPPER LOW DIGS DOWN OVER THE HISPANIOLA BY MIDWEEK.

REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE ARE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH
NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH THIS MOTION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ABUNDANT MOISTURE...THAT IS WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OF 2 INCHES OR HIGHER...ARE FORECAST BY THE GFS UNTIL
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE INDICATIVE OF
DECENT CLOUD COVER AND AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE SUBSIDENCE. THIS
MEANS THAT CONVECTION OVER PUERTO RICO MAY BE LIMITED TO AREAS
WHERE THE CLOUDS BREAK SO THAT THERE CAN BE SIGNIFICANT DAYTIME HEATING.

FOR THE WORKWEEK... RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MOVES IN BUT IT WILL
STILL BE MOIST ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHEN
COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECTS. BY MIDWEEK...THIS
AVAILABLE MOISTURE MAY COMBINE ALSO WITH AN UPPER LOW WEST OF OUR AREA
WHICH COULD CAUSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOCAL AREA.


&&

.AVIATION...P6SM OVC100 AT ALL TAF SITES XCPT AT USVI AND LEEWARD
TERMINALS WHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL LIKELY NEXT 24
HRS WITH MVFR CIGS. SFC WINDS MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS ARE SUBSIDING BUT THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM THIS MORNING. SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS DUE TO WINDS OF UP TO 19 KNOTS AND ALSO AROUND THE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CLOSE TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 75 89 77 / 50 40 50 20
STT 85 77 89 80 / 70 70 60 20

[Gustywind]

Guadeloupe back off yellow alert this morning, back to green code , while given our Pro Mets of Meteo-France... the Northern Leewards stays in yellow at till this afternoon 5 PM. Be patient Msbee, looks like things will improve tonight.

Weather alert map: http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/bulletin/vi ... ilance.php

Northern Leewards weather alert forecast: http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_in.pdf
See below

Latest Weather Forecast for the Northern Leewards

Level of vigilance: yellow

Danger: Heavy rains and thunderstorms

Validity: ongoing until Friday, September 06, 2013 5 PM.

Current situation: Tropical Depression Gabrielle, located in Puerto Rico, was downgraded to tropical wave status.
The second system, which is tropical wave n ° 30 wave located to the North of Lesser Antilles is confused with the first, these two waves forming a single system which is materialized by a pocket of moist, unstable air that leaves hanging out behind thunderstorms that still threaten the the Northern Leewards Islands.

Forecasts: Because of the proximity of this system, the stormy risk and heavy rains is still present even though so far, St. Barth and St. Marteen have been rather spared by the strong rains.

Observed data: Thunderstorm activity, which remains, and heavy rains remained essentially at sea or in vicinity of the Virgin Islands.
No rainfall have been measured in rain gauges of St. Barth and St. Marteen.

Next newsletter: Friday, September 6, 2013 around 5 PM.

[Gustywind]

Here is a recap of the rainfall in Guadeloupe during the last 3 days.

Latest Weather Vigilance for Guadeloupe ( green code): http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_gd.pdf

Datas observed during the episode (in millimeters):
Despite a persistent rain, the stormy episodes of high intensity were fairly short.


-Baie-Mahault-Convenance: 181 mm (very close to my area, approximately 1 kilometer in vicinity)

-Les Mamelles: 158 mm

-Sainte-Rose: 98 mm

-Abymes -Chazeau: 92 mm

-Capesterre-Belle-Eau: 78 mm

-Le Raizet (Meteo-France Weather Station): 74 mm

-Gourbeyre: 71 mm

-Vieux-Habitants: 68 mm

-Anse-Bertrand: 60 mm

-Le Moule: 56 mm

[msbee]

good morning
Thank you Gusty and Luis for the updates.
all is quiet here on St. Maarten. Amazingly over the past few days, sandwiched in between 2 systems, St Maarten has barely received any rainfall.
Weather is strange sometimes

[Jimsot]

It was weird being sandwiched between those two systems. Wednesday night had one of the best lightening displays we had ever seen no matter which compass direction you looked at. And yes we never really got the kind of rains you would have expected. Here is what we had on the southeast coast of Anguilla: WED:.42,THU:.15,FRI:.06. We are not complaining as both of our cisterns are currently full.

[Gustywind]

good morning
Thank you Gusty and Luis for the updates.
all is quiet here on St. Maarten. Amazingly over the past few days, sandwiched in between 2 systems, St Maarten has barely received any rainfall.
Weather is strange sometimes

No problem for the updates . If i've more from our Pro Mets i will share that... Good news for you nothing while you were snadwiched If the weather cans stay strang till the end of November will be excellent but as all know Mother Nature is very strange too . So let's be on our guard islanders we're far away from the end of the season!

[Gustywind]

It was weird being sandwiched between those two systems. Wednesday night had one of the best lightening displays we had ever seen no matter which compass direction you looked at. And yes we never really got the kind of rains you would have expected. Here is what we had on the southeast coast of Anguilla: WED:.42,THU:.15,FRI:.06. We are not complaining as both of our cisterns are currently full.

Thanks Lord nothing bad occurs but nice amounts of water for your cisterns: a pleasure!

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
248 PM AST FRI SEP 6 2013

.SYNOPSIS...LINGERING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
GABRIELLE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND LOCAL
ISLANDS. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SUNDAY AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST SATELLITES IMAGES THIS AFTERNOON DEPICTED A
LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. THIS
MOISTURE WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE.
THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ACROSS THE SURROUNDING
COASTAL WATERS. THE GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE LINGERING
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND FOR THE
REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE
CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...A RELATIVELY DRIER AIR WILL
ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM THE EAST...WITH A RETURN TO THE TYPICAL
SUMMER WEATHER PATTERN WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER WESTERN AND INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN SHRA AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AT USVI TERMINALS...TJPS
AND POSSIBLY TJBQ THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ELSEWHERE...
VFR CONDITIONS. SFC WINDS MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10
KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS OF 5 FEET OR LESS AND WINDS OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 90 77 90 / 40 50 20 40
STT 78 88 78 87 / 70 60 20 20

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye, by the way, do you any infos about totals rainfall in PR? I supposed that all is ok en la isla del encanto? What are the latest news in your island in terms of possible ( minors) damages, if any?

Regards.

Gustywind

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

Cycloneye, by the way, do you any infos about totals rainfall in PR? I supposed that all is ok en la isla del encanto? What are the latest news in your island in terms of possible ( minors) damages, if any?

Regards.

Gustywind

Nothing big in terms of damage occurred here. No big flooding occurred nor mudslides. Our friend HURAKAN posted the graphic of rainfall.

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye, by the way, do you any infos about totals rainfall in PR? I supposed that all is ok en la isla del encanto? What are the latest news in your island in terms of possible ( minors) damages, if any?

Regards.

Gustywind

Nothing big in terms of damage occurred here. No big flooding occurred nor mudslides. Our friend HURAKAN posted the graphic of rainfall.

OK, thanks to you and Hurakan too. So, we could say that Gaby spared PR and all the others carib islands even if Guadeloupe get some heavy rains but nothing bad . Right now, lest's see what will happen during the next couple days.

[Macrocane]

A 6.5 struck Guatemala this afternoon, it was felt even in El Salvador. A few homes have been damaged and a a few injuries have been reported in the area near the epicenter.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
919 PM AST FRI SEP 6 2013

.UPDATE...SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S VIRGIN
ISLANDS WAS MINIMAL THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE RAINFALL REMAIN
OVER WATERS...WITH A SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE ATLANTIC
WATERS AND THE MONA PASSAGE. CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE CONTINUES
TO MOVE WEST INTO HISPANOLA AND THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC.
SATELLITE PWAT ANALYSIS ARE STILL SHOWING DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
OVER THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. AS A RESULT...ANY BREAKS IN THE
CLOUD COVER WILL HELP TO TRIGGER SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THEREFORE HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. A drying trend will establish from next Monday but for the weekend scattered showers will move from south to north.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
359 AM AST SAT SEP 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SUBEQUATORIAL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH MON. TUTT ACROSS
THE CNTRL ATLC WILL AMPLIFY DURING THE NEXT 36 HRS AND RETROGRESS
TOWARD PR BY MID NEXT WEEK THEN FILL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FORMER TS
GABRIELLE LOCATED OVR THE MONA PASSAGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND
MERGE WITH A BROAD TROUGH TO THE NORTH MON. LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL
RETAIN A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT THROUGH MON WITH TRADES FINALLY
ESTABLISHING OVR THE AREA TUE. ANTICIPATE SCT SHOWERS MAINLY ON
THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PR...USVI AND COASTAL WATERS UNDER DEEP
LAYERED SSE FLOW THROUGH SUN. DENSE MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUD DECK WILL
CONTINUE TO INHIBIT SEA BREEZE CYCLE NEXT TWO DAYS AND LIMIT
AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVR WRN/NWRN PR. SHARP DRYING IS EXPECTED SUN
NIGHT AS SAHARAN AIR LAYER ESTABLISHES OVER THE REGION. FOR THE
REST OF NEXT WEEK...TRADES WILL PREVAIL WITH A RETURN TO NORMAL WX
PATTERN OF ISOLD/SCT AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND T-STORMS OVER WRN PR.
OVERALL...PATTERN LOOKS RATHER QUIET WITH BELOW NORMAL PRECIP ALL
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...HI MOISTURE STREAMING FM SE CONT THRU AT LEAST TONITE.
SCT SHRA/TSRA...SOME WI MVFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES AND IFR PSBL WI
LO VSBYS. SOME OBSCD MTNS BY AFT TOO. S TO SE WINDS SFC-FL100
10-22 KT TDY WEAKEN TO 10-15 KT TONITE.

&&

.MARINE...SOUTH SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10KT BECOMING EASTERLY TUE.
SEAS 2-4 FT WITH ISOLD T-STORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 79 86 79 / 10 20 40 10
STT 83 82 83 81 / 40 30 40 20