Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
231 PM AST TUE SEP 24 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND EXTENDS INTO THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN NORTH OF THE AREA. LOW PRESSURE CUTS OFF ON SUNDAY
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND EXTENDS OVER WESTERN CUBA ALLOWING
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD OVER THE AREA EARLY IN THE WEEK. A TUTT LOW
IN THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC NEXT TUESDAY WILL MOVE OVER SAINT
JOHN BY THE FOLLOWING FRIDAY.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM CUBA INTO THE ATLANTIC
JUST NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. WHEN A LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY...THIS HIGH WEAKENS OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND STRENGTHENS OVER THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL
ATLANTIC WHERE IT CONTINUES. IT SLOWLY DRIFTS BACK TO THE BAHAMA
ISLANDS NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE CENTRAL
SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC FROM PUERTO RICO EAST. THIS MAINTAINS
SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW UNTIL MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. A WEAK TROUGH
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ON
FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AT 700 MB NEAR 20 NORTH 40 WEST WILL
BRING MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH BANDS OF MOISTURE SATURDAY MORNING
AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. AS THE FLOW TURNS EASTERLY
DURING NEXT WEEK MOISTURE WILL TAPER OFF.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER NORTHWEST
PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON BUT COVERAGE WAS ONLY SCATTERED AS OF
2:30 PM AST. MIMIC IMAGERY INDICATED THAT WE WERE ENTERING A DRIER
PERIOD THAT WILL LAST UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE THEN INCREASES
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL FAVOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON SATURDAY...BUT DUE TO THE WIDE RIDGE
OVER THE AREA EXACT DYNAMICS WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. OVER
LAND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM OVER NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO DURING
THE AFTERNOONS. NEVERTHELESS WOULD EXPECT WEEKEND CONVECTION OVER LAND
DURING THE DAYS AND MORE THAN USUAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
LOCAL WATERS DURING THE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...GENERATING BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS
OVER TJMZ AND TJBQ THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL TAF SITES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
LLVL WINDS WILL BE ESE TO SE 5 TO 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 6 KFT.

&&

.MARINE...GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS NOT GENERATING
MUCH WAVE ACTION OVER THE AREA AND THE WATERS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S.VIRGIN ISLANDS ARE MOSTLY UNDER 3 FEET. NEAR SHORE
FLOW AROUND PUERTO RICO ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH COASTS IS
TENDING TO PEAK IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AT 14 TO 17 KNOTS AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AT LEAST.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 92 78 92 / 10 20 0 20
STT 80 89 80 89 / 20 20 30 30

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Mainly dry conditions will prevail for the next couple of days in PR. INteraction between a Tropical Wave and an upper trough will increase the showers starting on Monday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
532 AM AST WED SEP 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA
MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOCAL AREA CONTINUES UNDER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WHICH
IS MAINTAINING RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. SOME
LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVERNIGHT...MAINLY OVER THE LOCAL
WATERS. ALTHOUGH SURFACE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED MORE EASTERLY
OVERNIGHT...STILL EXPECT A HOT AFTERNOON MAINLY ALONG THE NORTH
COAST OF PUERTO RICO. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT
IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY.

FOR THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK...COMPUTER MODELS ARE FORECASTING A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY. THIS WAVE WILL
COINCIDE ALSO WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH WILL INTERACT WITH
THE WAVE. THESE TWO FEATURE WILL COMBINED TO PRODUCE A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHRA/TSRA NEAR OR ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ POSSIBLE
AFTER 25/18Z. LLVL WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE ESE WITH SEA BREEZE
VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 4 FEET AND WINDS UP TO 17 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 79 89 79 / 10 0 10 0
STT 90 80 89 80 / 20 10 10 10

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
315 PM AST WED SEP 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST AREA...AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER EAST OF LOCAL ISLANDS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
AN EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY...WITH LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY. WINDS WERE
ESE WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S
ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS.

A GENERALLY FAIR AND MAINLY STABLE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...
WITH THE PREVAILING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...STILL EXPECT A FEW ISOLATED
TO LOCALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE WATERS AS WELL AS EASTERN PR
AND USVI IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...FOLLOWED BY
SOME AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SOMEWHAT ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY AS A WEAK EASTERLY WAVE MOVES OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...DOMINANT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL LIMIT ITS EFFECTS
ON CONVECTION LEADING TO MINOR ENHANCEMENT. THE AFOREMENTIONED
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE WARM TO HOT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS...BUT ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.

A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OVER THE AREA AND
RIDGE PATTERN ERODES IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING POLAR TROUGH ACROSS
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THROUGH 26/16Z. FEW SHRA/TSRA NEAR OR ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ POSSIBLE
TIL 25/23Z. FEW SHRA E-SE COAST PR WITH SOME MTN OBSCURATIONS
OVERNIGHT. LLVL WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE ESE WITH SEA BREEZE
VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH SEAS OF UP TO
4 FEET AND WINDS 16 KNOTS OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 90 78 90 / 10 10 0 20
STT 80 89 80 89 / 10 10 10 20

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Warm and mainly dry weather will prevail today in PR and adjacent islands.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
544 AM AST THU SEP 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST AREA...AND AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER EAST OF LOCAL ISLANDS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
AN EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH SOME
AFFECTING THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND OTHERS AFFECTED
BRIEFLY SAINT CROIX IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. WINDS HAVE SHIFT
ONCE AGAIN TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL MAINTAIN HOT
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE LOCAL AREA. THEREFORE...EXPECTED LITTLE
SHOWER ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND
NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WILL BE SUNDAY...
WHEN A TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST.
MODELS SHOWS BETTER MOISTURE ARRIVING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND LAST
THROUGH MONDAY. BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THIS WAVE...GENERALLY DRY
AND HOT WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LOCAL AREA. IN
THE LONG TERM...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EVENTS ARE FORECAST TO
AFFECT THE REGION AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHRA/TSRA IN AND AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ POSSIBLE
AFTER 26/18Z UNTIL AROUND 27/01Z. LLVL WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE ESE
WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS OF 15 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS UP TO 4 FEET ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 88 78 / 10 0 20 10
STT 89 80 89 80 / 10 10 20 20

[msbee]

This looks to be a very large system



I hope it has no chance to develop before ti gets to us.

[cycloneye]

This looks to be a very large system

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg

I hope it has no chance to develop before ti gets to us.

Hi Barbara. NHC mentions it with a 10%-20% chance to develop but according to them,it will move NW and not west towards the islands. But we have to watch it just in case it moves more west than expected.

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS
IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME...AND
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

[msbee]

hi Luis
thanks for the update... yes,w e have to watch it.. Hope NHC is right!

[cycloneye]

Wow,another hot day here with 94F in San Juan.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
218 PM AST THU SEP 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DOMINATES THE FORECAST AREA...AND AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER EAST OF LOCAL ISLANDS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
AN EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HOT CONDITIONS PREVAIL OF THE ISLANDS TODAY AS WIND
DIRECTIONS CONTINUE TO BE FROM EAST SOUTHEAST. AT THIS MOMENT THE
HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE LLM INTL AIRPORT WAS 94. CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR HIGH TEMPERATURE TO REACH THE LOW 90`S THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO.ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AFFECTED WESTERN
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO FROM MOCA SOUTH TO MAYAGUEZ. AT THIS MOMENT
THESE SHOWERS ARE GENERATING SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
AND MOST OF THEM WILL DISSIPATE AT AROUND SUNSET.
TONIGHT...ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS COULD MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS AND AFFECT THE USVI AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. ON
FRIDAY...EXPECTED LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE WESTERN INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...WILL BE SUNDAY...
WHEN A TROPICAL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA FROM THE EAST.
MODELS SHOWS BETTER MOISTURE ARRIVING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND LAST
THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT
BUT INCREASING WINDS WILL GENERATE A SLIGHT CHOP ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS. EXPECT SEAS BETWEEN 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 88 78 / 10 0 20 10
STT 89 80 89 80 / 10 10 20 20

[Gustywind]

hi Luis
thanks for the update... yes,w e have to watch it.. Hope NHC is right!

Keep watching it in case of, even if September is awfully calm here . But Mother Nature is sometimes so silent... be on our guard islanders. Cycloneye, impressive fair weather at this time of the year in the Atlantic Ocean and hot temperatures here in Guadeloupe.

[msbee]

calm here too Gusty..not a bit of wind for days
and HOT!

[cycloneye]

8 PM TWO:

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW.
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH. AFTER THAT
TIME...CONDITIONS WILL BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

[Gustywind]

calm here too Gusty..not a bit of wind for days
and HOT!

YEAH feeling hot hot hot hottttttttt

[cycloneye]

The hot conditions will continue for the next few days.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
829 PM AST THU SEP 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...NARROW UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH SUN THEN
BROADEN AND STRENGTHEN EARLY NEXT WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 53W IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE ERN CARIB SUN THEN DISSIPATE MON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOOKS LIKE HOT WX WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FOREESABLE
FUTURE UNDER MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SOUTHEAST SFC FLOW. EXPECT
ISOLD/SCT THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST PR EACH AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 53W THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE AS
IT APPROACHES THE AREA SUN INTO MON AND MODELS DO NOT LONGER SHOW
ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE WITH THIS WAVE TO REALLY
ENHANCE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY. OVERALL...PERSISTENCE FORECAST
SHOULD WORK WELL NEXT SEVEN DAYS WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS
OVER NORTHWEST PR AND MAXT IN THE 90S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXCEPT FOR ISOLD SHRA/TSRA PSBL IN AND AROUND
TJMZ AND TJBQ POSSIBLE FM 27/18Z-27/22Z. THIS MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR
CONDS AND MTN TOP OBSCR OVR W INTERIOR SECTION OF PR. SFC WNDS WILL
BE LIGHT FROM THE ESE TO SE WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15
KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 2-3 FT BUILDING UP TO 4 FT NEXT TUE. SE SFC WINDS
AROUND 10 KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 91 78 90 / 0 10 10 10
STT 82 89 82 89 / 10 10 20 20

[Gustywind]

The hot conditions will continue for the next few days.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
829 PM AST THU SEP 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...NARROW UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH SUN THEN
BROADEN AND STRENGTHEN EARLY NEXT WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 53W IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE ERN CARIB SUN THEN DISSIPATE MON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOOKS LIKE HOT WX WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FOREESABLE
FUTURE UNDER MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SOUTHEAST SFC FLOW. EXPECT
ISOLD/SCT THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST PR EACH AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 53W THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE AS
IT APPROACHES THE AREA SUN INTO MON AND MODELS DO NOT LONGER SHOW
ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE WITH THIS WAVE TO REALLY
ENHANCE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY. OVERALL...PERSISTENCE FORECAST
SHOULD WORK WELL NEXT SEVEN DAYS WITH TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS
OVER NORTHWEST PR AND MAXT IN THE 90S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXCEPT FOR ISOLD SHRA/TSRA PSBL IN AND AROUND
TJMZ AND TJBQ POSSIBLE FM 27/18Z-27/22Z. THIS MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR
CONDS AND MTN TOP OBSCR OVR W INTERIOR SECTION OF PR. SFC WNDS WILL
BE LIGHT FROM THE ESE TO SE WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15
KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 2-3 FT BUILDING UP TO 4 FT NEXT TUE. SE SFC WINDS
AROUND 10 KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 91 78 90 / 0 10 10 10
STT 82 89 82 89 / 10 10 20 20

[cycloneye]

Good morning. More warm days are expected this weekend with a few showers mainly in the afternoon.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
557 AM AST FRI SEP 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATES THE
LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AND WEAKENING. A LINE OF
MOISTURE WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED NEAR 55B WEST LONGITUDE EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
ARRIVE TO THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS HAVE BEEN INCREASING FROM EAST TO WEST
ACROSS THE SURROUNDING LOCAL WATERS OVERNIGHT...AS AN AREA OF
MOISTURE APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA. LATEST SATELITE IMAGES AND
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT FROM CIMSS SHOWED THIS AREA
MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD TOWARDS THE LOCAL AREA. THEREFORE...AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO.

IN GENERAL...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...AS DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED
WITH LOCAL EFFECTS. ON MONDAY...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT THE LOCAL REGION. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL
AREA MONDAY MORNING...AND WILL LAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE AND SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
FEATURE BOTH DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF SITES FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXCEPT FOR SHRA/TSRA PSBL IN AND AROUND TJMZ AND
TJBQ AT 27/18Z-27/22Z. THIS MAY LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR CONDS AND MTN TOP
OBSCURATIONS OVR W INTERIOR AND NW SECTIONS OF PR. SFC WNDS WILL BE
LIGHT FROM THE ESE TO SE WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS UP TO 3 FEET AND WINDS OF 17 KNOTS OR LESS ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 79 90 79 / 10 20 20 0
STT 89 82 89 82 / 10 20 20 10

[cycloneye]

At least,there will be less warm couple of days ahead as a wave and trough move thru Sunday thru Monday.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
306 PM AST FRI SEP 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
LOCAL AREA. NEXT WEEK HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
BUILD...LEAVING A RIDGE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL SUB TROPICAL ATLANTIC
WILL MOVE WEST TO CUBA BY THE SATURDAY AFTER NEXT PASSING NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY. MID LEVELS
REMAIN DRY EXCEPT FOR MONDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A SMALL PORTION OF THE THE MOISTURE FROM A
TROUGH THAT EXTENDS NORTH NORTHEAST FROM A LOW NEAR 11.5 NORTH 56
DEGREES WEST TO NEAR 21 NORTH 47 DEGREES WEST WILL SPLIT OFF AND
MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. LOW LEVEL FLOW
TURNS TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE
IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC MOVES INTO CANADA...BUT RETURNS TO THE
SOUTHEAST WHEN ANOTHER LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPED
ACROSS NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO AND MOVED INTO SOUTHEAST PUERTO RICO
AS HEATING REACHED ITS MAXIMUM THIS AFTERNOON. OWING TO THE SMALL
AND TRANSIENT NATURE OF THE SHOWERS...ACCUMULATIONS WERE MINOR.
SHOWERS WERE ALSO NOTED UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM FROM SAINT CROIX.

THE GENERALLY DRY PATTERN CONTINUES TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...WITH
ONLY MINOR INCREASES IN MOISTURE AND SHOWERS. ON SUNDAY STRONG
DIVERGENCE AT UPPER LEVELS MOVES INTO THE MONA PASSAGE AND ACROSS
PUERTO RICO SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH AN
INFLUX IN MOISTURE FROM THE WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ALMOST 1200 MILES EAST OF SAN JUAN. ALTHOUGH THE MAIN
BODY OF THE DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE NORTH AND DISSIPATE...SOME
OF THIS MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CARIBBEAN ON SUNDAY AND CROSS
THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY
BE THE BEST PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE WEEK AS
THE MOISTURE DIPS QUICKLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE FROM THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL INCREASE SHOWERS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FEW SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE IN AND
AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ UNTIL 27/22Z. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER FLYING
HAZARD ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SFC WNDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT.


&&

.MARINE...GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND
ATLANTIC WATERS WILL MAINTAIN SEAS AT 4 FEET OR LESS FOR THE NEXT
7 DAYS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 80 93 80 92 / 10 20 10 10
STT 83 89 83 90 / 20 20 10 10

[cycloneye]

Hopefully,a relief in the hot temperatures comes soon.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
757 PM AST FRI SEP 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER
ANTILLES WILL DISSIPATE BEFORE REACHING THE ERN CARIB.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUED HOT AND DRY THROUGH SUNDAY UNDER MID-UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AND SOUTHEAST FLOW. TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BEFORE IT REACHES THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN MON. HOWEVER...REMNANT MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO
YIELD MORE CLOUDS AND BETTER SHOWER CVRG LATE SUN NIGHT THROUGH
MON AFTERNOON AND MAY KNOCK DOWN MAXT A FEW DEGS. HOT DRY WEATHER
WILL RETURN TUE AND LAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A SHARP
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FCST TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE WRN ATLC AT THE
END OF NEXT WEEK WITH RIDGE FLATTENING ACCORDING TO THE 12Z ECMWF.
THIS MAY BE BRING A RELIEF TO THE HOT WX PATTERN AS OF LATE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL LOCAL TAF SITES
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FEW SHRAS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR TJBQ BETWEEN
28/18Z-28/22Z HOWEVER NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT DIRECTLY.
OTHERWISE...NO OTHER FLYING HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA. SFC WNDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 2-3 FT THROUGH MON BUILDING 3-5 FT TUE-WED.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-15 KT BECOMING MORE EASTERLY MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 80 91 80 91 / 20 20 10 10
STT 81 90 81 90 / 20 20 10 10

[cycloneye]

Good morning. It will be mainly dry and hot this weekend with only a few showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
449 AM AST SAT SEP 28 2013

.SYNOPSIS...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL REMAIN
THE DOMINANT WX FEATURE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. TROPICAL
WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES MAY WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY
BEFORE REACHING THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS OVERNIGHT WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
WATERS AS WELL. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO
THE LAST FEW DAYS...WHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF PUERTO RICO IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS WHILE THE REST OF PUERTO RICO...AS WELL AS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...REMAIN WITH LITTLE TO NO WEATHER AND ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND IT IS
NOT UNTIL MONDAY WHEN THE WINDS SHIFT A LITTLE BIT MORE TO THE
EAST. THESE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES THAT WE HAVE OBSERVED FOR THE
PAST FEW DAYS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TODAY AND SUNDAY...AT THE VERY
LEAST...BUT WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE WEAKENING AS IT
APPROACHES...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AS WELL. HOWEVER...LATEST GFS INDICATES THAT THE SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE MORE FROM THE EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST STARTING LATE
MONDAY INTO THE REST OF THE WEEK. IF THIS WERE TO
VERIFY...TEMPERATURES FOR THE NORTH COAST OF PR MAY NOT BE AS HIGH
ALTHOUGH THE SAME COULD NOT BE SAID FOR THE SOUTH AND WEST
SECTIONS OF PR. THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD OBSERVE
TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO 90 DEGREES FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FEW SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE IN AND
AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ UNTIL 28/22Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 2-3 FT THROUGH MON BUILDING 3-5 FT TUE-WED.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-15 KT BECOMING MORE EASTERLY LATE MONDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 91 78 90 78 / 20 0 20 0
STT 89 79 90 80 / 20 20 20 40

[cycloneye]

A tied record of maximum temperature was set in San Juan with 95F. But some relief is comming next week.



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
304 PM AST SAT SEP 28 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE
AREA THROUGH MONDAY AND THEN MOVES WEST TO CUBA BY WEDNESDAY. A
RIDGE FROM THAT HIGH ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE NORTH OF THE AREA...BUT
WILL MOVE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON
THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY A TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN SEA.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE SUB TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC
WILL MOVE WEST AND PASS JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO MID WEEK NEXT
WEEK...DOMINATING THE CARIBBEAN WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND KEEPING MID
LEVELS MOSTLY DRY EXCEPT FOR MONDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

LOWER LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMA ISLANDS WILL
MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST ALLOWING THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE SUB
TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC TO FORM A RIDGE FROM THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES TO ABOUT 300 MILES NORTH OF THE AREA. SOUTHEAST FLOW AROUND
THE HIGH TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY RETURN TO TRADE WIND FLOW BY
TUESDAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS FORMED IN NORTH WEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
PUERTO RICO...BUT EVEN OVER THE LOCAL WATERS LITTLE SHOWER
ACTIVITY WAS SEEN. TEMPERATURES SOARED TO RECORD LEVELS TODAY
ALONG THE NORTH COAST AS FLOW FROM THE SOUTHEAST WAS ABLE TO KEEP
COOLER MARINE AREA AWAY FROM THE AREA.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT BUT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING ON THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO
RICO AND IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AS MOIST AIR FOLLOWS. THIS
WILL USHER IN BETTER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND PERHAPS BLUNT
THE HEAT TO THE LOWER 90S.

THE GFS IS BRINGING IN BETTER MOISTURE CONSISTENT WITH WHAT THE
MIMIC PRODUCT INDICATES ON SUNDAY NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
ALSO MOVES OVER PUERTO RICO AT THAT TIME AND SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY LINGER OVERNIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY. AFTER MONDAY LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE EASTERLY AS HIGH
PRESSURE IS FOUND IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. THEN...HAVING LOST ITS TROPICAL SOURCE OF MOISTURE THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE ONLY MODESTLY MOIST AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH. A LESSER MAXIMUM IN MOISTURE IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST FOR THURSDAY AND THE FOLLOWING TUESDAY AND WOULD EXPECT A
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...BUT MID LEVELS REMAIN
RELATIVELY DRY AND WILL NOT SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO RETURN CLOSER TO NORMAL...THOUGH WILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ONLY FEW PASSING SHRA ARE
POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND UNTIL
28/22Z...WITH SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS UNTIL 29/01Z. SFC WNDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN QUIET FOR NOW. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.CLIMATE...THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT SAN JUAN`S LUIS MUNOZ MARIN
AIRPORT REACHED 95 DEGREES AT 1818Z THIS AFTERNOON AND TIED THE
RECORD FOR THIS DATE SET IN 1978.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 79 93 79 91 / 10 20 20 30
STT 80 88 81 89 / 30 30 50 40

[cycloneye]

Good morning. A small relief from the very warm temperatures is expected on Monday as winds change direction from the east. Also scattered showers will move thru PR tonight thru Monday as a weak Tropical Wave moves thru.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
553 AM AST SUN SEP 29 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE LOCAL AREA IS
SLOWLY MOVING WEST AND IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER CUBE BY WEDNESDAY.
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS MOVING TO THE EAST
NORTHEAST AND THEN DIG INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY THE END OF
THE WEEK. A SURFACE LOW NORTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTH WHILE A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE LOCAL AREA BY TUESDAY. THIS SURFACE PATTERN SHOULD KEEP A
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW UNTIL LATE MONDAY...THEN TURNING MORE EASTERLY
STARTING ON TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A FEW SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS
OVERNIGHT AND OVERALL SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY IS EXPECTED TO BE
SOMEWHAT HIGHER THAN IN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AS A TROPICAL WAVE
APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND MOISTURE INCREASES. ACCORDING TO
LATEST GUIDANCE...CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED IN THE UPPER LEVELS
TODAY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA EXCEPT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF
PUERTO RICO. THIS WOULD MEAN THAT TODAY...THE NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO HAVE THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
YET AGAIN WHILE THE REST OF THE AREA RECEIVES LITTLE TO NO
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL. HOWEVER THAT CHANGES FOR TONIGHT WHERE THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT AND ON MONDAY. GFS MODEL SEEMS TO BE
CONSISTENT WITH THE SATELLITE DERIVED PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGES...AND THE MODEL THEN TAKES THAT MOISTURE OVER THE AREA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...GOING AS HIGH AS OVER 1.9 INCHES
OF TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER...WHICH WOULD BE THE HIGHEST IT HAS
BEEN SINCE LAST SUNDAY. EVEN WITH THIS MOISTURE MOVING
IN...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE ABOVE AVERAGE ONCE AGAIN TODAY
FOR THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA SINCE THE SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND NOT DURING THE
DAYTIME.

WINDS WILL START TURNING MORE EASTERLY ON TUESDAY...WHICH MAY KEEP
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. IN ADDITION...PATCHES OF MOISTURE WILL BE MOVING IN
WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS FROM TIME TO TIME.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS LOCAL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FEW SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE IN AND
AROUND TJMZ AND TJBQ BETWEEN 29/18Z UNTIL 29/22Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
MAINLY SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS.


&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN QUIET FOR NOW...AND SEAS WILL
BE UP TO 3 FEET TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT EARLY
NEXT WEEK...BUT STILL EXPECTED TO BE ONLY UP TO 4 TO 5 FEET AND
WINDS UNDER 18 KNOTS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE NOT EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 92 79 92 78 / 30 30 30 20
STT 90 80 89 80 / 50 50 40 20