STORM2K

The Falls under the gun again, seems like they've been under Tor Watches all week.

FWD is officially at 7.28" for May and the 00z Euro has 3" more before the end of the month. Many stations around DFW are already over 10" so FWD is a bit on the low side for May.

bubba hotep wrote:FWD is officially at 7.28" for May and the 00z Euro has 3" more before the end of the month. Many stations around DFW are already over 10" so FWD is a bit on the low side for May.

Also, the 29th looks like a potential svr wx day and then the 1st week of June looks very active.

We are leaving on a Caribbean cruise next weekend with school out so hopefully not too severe. At the same time, it would be nice to have some photogenic supercells closer.

As we get into June the dryline tends to stay close to NM it seems.

Ok wow, so thankfully Monday wasn't the catastrophic day tornado wise like a lot of us feared. Unfortunately the flooding lived up to the hype(which I feel like we don't put enough emphasis on just how dangerous flooding is and it remains to be our number 1 killer.). I ate something on vacation and got sick on Tuesday. Next thing I know there's a pretty back outbreak Wednesday evening and night. I haven't seen a night outbreak like that in quite a while. Flooding is still the issue for the plains and Midwest though, hopefully is doesn't get to be as bad as the snowmelt flooding that occurred this past March. Anyways I'm back home, feeling well and back to job searching.

The flooding in the central and southern plains (North of the Red River) has been 1957-eque. Which is why a cooler than normal summer is probably on tap. Hard to really feedback the ridge with soft/cooler soil. The southeast US is where the heat will be relative to normal. North gulf ridge a prominent feature this summer. I think this year will be a 2007 redo minus the excessive summer rains.

I do think heat is the #1 killer as on average more Americans die from it than any other weather phenomenon. But that doesn't make flooding any less dangerous and for the most part, flooding deaths can be avoidable.

Ntxw wrote:The flooding in the central and southern plains (North of the Red River) has been 1957-eque. Which is why a cooler than normal summer is probably on tap. Hard to really feedback the ridge with soft/cooler soil. The southeast US is where the heat will be relative to normal. North gulf ridge a prominent feature this summer. I think this year will be a 2007 redo minus the excessive summer rains.

I do think heat is the #1 killer as on average more Americans die from it than any other weather phenomenon. But that doesn't make flooding any less dangerous and for the most part, flooding deaths can be avoidable.

Nice analysis. Unfortunately what I see as a possibility is that the W GOM may have to be on alert more than usual when we talk the tropics, not that we ever don't watch. A heat ridge to our East is definitely not ideal when it comes to steering currents. We shall see.

vbhoutex wrote:

Ntxw wrote:The flooding in the central and southern plains (North of the Red River) has been 1957-eque. Which is why a cooler than normal summer is probably on tap. Hard to really feedback the ridge with soft/cooler soil. The southeast US is where the heat will be relative to normal. North gulf ridge a prominent feature this summer. I think this year will be a 2007 redo minus the excessive summer rains.

I do think heat is the #1 killer as on average more Americans die from it than any other weather phenomenon. But that doesn't make flooding any less dangerous and for the most part, flooding deaths can be avoidable.

Nice analysis. Unfortunately what I see as a possibility is that the W GOM may have to be on alert more than usual when we talk the tropics, not that we ever don't watch. A heat ridge to our East is definitely not ideal when it comes to steering currents. We shall see.

Yeah I told my parents about this recently. They live on the north side of Lake Pontchartrain now and in the case of a hurricane going west of New Orleans they wouldn't only be in the northeast eyewall but the flow of the water would also be moving northward towards them instead of southward towards New Orleans. We'll be working on their hurricane kit this week.

Interesting article about how 5G networks on a certain frequency could negatively affect everyone in the U.S and would be very scary if it were to happen as described in this article.

https://physicstoday.scitation.org/do/1 ... feedburner

significant tornado in Oklahoma near El Reno(yes again), reportedly deaths at a hotel

Meanwhile down to the south..

Active wx returning to the rest of the state after hanging out in the Panhandle the past week

Horrific tornado may have just passed through Dayton, Ohio suburbs. Radar scans, velocities and debris ball signatures were certainly disheartening.

Many prayers for Ohio tonight. Early scanner traffic and calls for mutual aid and house-to-house search and rescue seems eerily similar to Joplin in 2011.

I sure hope daylight reveals something far less than expected.

Scanner: phrases like “multiple building collapses,” “numerous injuries,” and “large debris field” heard.

So far, no reports (that I’ve heard) of serious injuries.

Texas Snowman wrote:Scanner: phrases like “multiple building collapses,” “numerous injuries,” and “large debris field” heard.

Yeah it looks pretty bad. Pics I’ve seen saw far are indicative of ef4 or 5 damage.

what a crazy couple weeks its been to our north

Wednesday continues to look interesting for the metroplex, the NAM's are in disagreement but it looks at least there will be at least one MCS(maybe two) with a severe threat and definitely a flood threat

New Day 2 is enhanced