Caribbean - Central America Weather

[expat2carib]

I wonder what could happen in Martinica? Juicy convection is abating in this island given the sat pic presentation...
Erika making a come back ?...! She's rebursting a bit be careful islanders

It's Martinique and Dominica having the worst the last 4 hours. Constant showers and thunderstorms right now. I followed it on the radar and guadeloupe weather was relatively mild. Guadeloupe will follow....... Don't worry

Be safe!

[caribsue]

Winds still gusting in Barbados at this time still out of the SSE amazing in fact they seem to be stronger than a couple hours agon .... no rain.right now..... what is Erika doing

[artist]

how is the weather now everyone? Take care and stay safe.

[Gustywind]

Since 30 minutes in my location in Guadeloupe: moderate showers with numerous lightnings, thunder is rumbling frequently, some gusts sometimes but not too strong...
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 030548
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009
200 AM AST THU SEP 03 2009

...ERIKA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...
GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6
WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...WEST OF GUADELOUPE AND ABOUT 275
MILES...445 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.
THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND APPROACH THE U. S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER
PUERTO RICO...3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.2N 62.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[artist]

Since 30 minutes in my location in Guadeloupe: moderate showers with numerous lightnings, thunder is rumbling frequently, some gusts sometimes but not too strong...
Gustywind

well, we will hope it does no more than it is right now gusty!

[Gustywind]

Since 30 minutes in my location in Guadeloupe: moderate showers with numerous lightnings, thunder is rumbling frequently, some gusts sometimes but not too strong...
Gustywind

well, we will hope it does no more than it is right now gusty!

Yeah for sure tkanks my friend. Seems that the showers are making the come back, weather is grey overcast, winds are calm in my area. For the moment no damages to report in my area, whereas the level of river in the locality of Goyave (Guadeloupe) has been up. Hearing the radio we should continue all the day with a risk of strong tstorms, showers and gusts. Let's see what pan's out during the next couple of hours. Convection has grown during the last given the sat pic, so sudden burst can occur anywhere in the Leewards even portions of the Northern Leewards.
Be safe all my friends in the islands

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 030835
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062009
500 AM AST THU SEP 03 2009

...ERIKA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...
GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...
SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7
WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...WEST OF GUADELOUPE AND ABOUT 260
MILES...420 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ERIKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING AND APPROACH THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER PUERTO RICO...3 TO 5 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.5N 62.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[Gustywind]

Here is some measurements in Guadeloupe last night related to TS ERIKA:
Meteo-France reported 92 millimeters of water in Basse-Terre near HUC location and 52 millimeters at les "SAINTES" 45 millimeters. Stay tuned hoping that another measurements could occur...
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

Anothers measurements this time given Meteo-France Martinica:
Yesterday night 40 to 120 millimeters have been reported on the island, especially in the North and the area strecthing form St Esprit to St Marie: 118 milllimeters at Trinité, 91 millimeters at St Esprit, 87 millimeters at St Pierre and from 37 to 77 millimeters near Fort-de- France! Not so bad for a weak TS
Sometimes the intensity has been strong! For example between 2AM to 4AM we have reported: 50 millimeters at Trinité, 40 at St Marie, 32 millimeters at St Joseph. These amounts of water have been accompanied by tstorms.

[Gustywind]

How are you my friends?
What's the weather like in your island?

[Gustywind]

Luis are you ok in PR? What the latest news?

[cycloneye]

Luis are you ok in PR? What the latest news?

Here some scattered showers are moving thru San Juan with the sun coming out by intervals.Preparations are underway by the goverment to deal with the copius amounts of rain that are expected here starting tonight.Of course,I will post any news from here as they come.

[Gustywind]

Here is the latest weather forecast for Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards Islands during the next 24H
Code orange for Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards (whereas Martinica has put an orange code not related with the TS effects but for strongs showers and tstorms, just an info my friends, as Martinica is our neighbour from the south )

Forecast at 6AM this morning:
TS Erika is always a disorganized system but who stretches this time from the Northern Leewards until south of Martinica (Ste Lucia). Center of Erika was estimated at 5AM near 16,5N 62.7W at 140 kilometers west of Guadeloupe. Erika is moving slowly at 11kilometers withs sustained winds at 35 kts (65 kilometers per hour) and gusts near 45 kts (80 kilometers per hour). So it's a weak TS but associated with an important convective activity brigining strong showers and tstorms.
Yesterday night, Basse-Terre has experienced 92 millimeters of water and " les Saintes" 45 millimeters


Today the weather is once again very perturbed and bad. Strong tstorms and rain showers are in store, with some periods of accalmies are expected. Tonight these showers, rains, tstorms and gustywinds will in a decreasing trend.
Everybdoy should be prudent,because of a risk of flooding, muslides are highly possible during the next 24H.

[Gustywind]

Luis are you ok in PR? What the latest news?

Here some scattered showers are moving thru San Juan with the sun coming out by intervals.Preparations are underway by the goverment to deal with the copius amounts of rain that are expected here starting tonight.Of course,I will post any news from here as they come.

Glad to see you my friend. Showers are coming back here, many shools are closed right now due to the bad weather conditions. It's awfull to se that this the day of the arrival of Erika that the institutions related to the school do not anticipate the effects of Erika. Troubles ahead of the students...
Be safe Luis.

[msbee]

where's the rain? we have had no rain here in St. Maarten. none!
Is it likely we will see rain later today?
I am glad Erika is fizzling out but I really do want some rain.
It sounds like you are OK in Guadeloupe, Gusty, and I hope everyone in PR will be ok too.
let it rain but not too much

Barbara

[HUC]

I 'm back ,after a night of violent TStorms in Basse-Terre:400 strikes ,92 mm of rain,gusts from the south 50kh,seas choppy.I felt ERIKA Be back later becaused we got TS again...So take Erika seriously. See you later...

[expat2carib]

Good Morning!

We had heavy showers and Tstorms all night. Still rain and thunder. Looks like it will last all day as well.

Good to hear everybody is OK. Moderate storm but very powerful energy and large.