SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

[PTrackerLA]

Temp read 37 at my house this morning but 39 officially at the airport. Saw some frost on roofs this morning too and there will probably be more tomorrow morning as winds completely die off. It was great to fire up the fireplace in October, it's been years since I've had to do that!

[Extremeweatherguy]

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
804 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

.FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING
OVERHEAD...CALM WINDS AND A COLD AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN EARLY
MORNING FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

TXZ176-195>200-210>213-226-227-290915-
/O.EXA.KHGX.FZ.W.0001.081029T0600Z-081029T1400Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HARRIS-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MONTGOMERY-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...
BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...
CONROE...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EL CAMPO...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...KATY...LAKE SOMERVILLE...LIBERTY...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...NAVASOTA...PASADENA...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...
RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...SEALY...SUGAR LAND...THE WOODLANDS...
TOMBALL...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS
804 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY.

AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR WILL
SEE WIDESPREAD FROST AND TEMPERATURES DIPPING TO THE FREEZING
MARK FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AROUND 4 TO 7 AM. SOME LOW LYING AREAS
MAY SEE TEMPERATURES OF 30 TO 32 DEGREES FOR 3 OR 4 HOURS...ESPECIALLY
AREAS THAT HAD FROST THIS MORNING. AREAS ROUGHLY INSIDE OF THE 610
LOOP WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THOUGH SOME PATCHY LIGHT
FROST MAY BE POSSIBLE.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 1 OR 2 AM FOR AREAS TO
THE NORTH OF A LINE FROM COLLEGE STATION TO CONROE TO LIBERTY...WITH
THE LOWEST READINGS OCCURRING BETWEEN 5 AND 7 AM. THE TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY WARM ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

[vbhoutex]

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
804 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

.FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING
OVERHEAD...CALM WINDS AND A COLD AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN EARLY
MORNING FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

TXZ176-195>200-210>213-226-227-290915-
/O.EXA.KHGX.FZ.W.0001.081029T0600Z-081029T1400Z/
AUSTIN-BRAZOS-BURLESON-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GRIMES-HARRIS-LIBERTY-
MADISON-MONTGOMERY-WALLER-WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...
BRYAN...CALDWELL...CLEVELAND...COLLEGE STATION...COLUMBUS...
CONROE...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EL CAMPO...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...
HUMBLE...KATY...LAKE SOMERVILLE...LIBERTY...MADISONVILLE...
MISSOURI CITY...NAVASOTA...PASADENA...PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...
RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...SEALY...SUGAR LAND...THE WOODLANDS...
TOMBALL...WEIMAR...WHARTON...WILLIS
804 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY.

AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR WILL
SEE WIDESPREAD FROST AND TEMPERATURES DIPPING TO THE FREEZING
MARK FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AROUND 4 TO 7 AM. SOME LOW LYING AREAS
MAY SEE TEMPERATURES OF 30 TO 32 DEGREES FOR 3 OR 4 HOURS...ESPECIALLY
AREAS THAT HAD FROST THIS MORNING. AREAS ROUGHLY INSIDE OF THE 610
LOOP WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THOUGH SOME PATCHY LIGHT
FROST MAY BE POSSIBLE.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 1 OR 2 AM FOR AREAS TO
THE NORTH OF A LINE FROM COLLEGE STATION TO CONROE TO LIBERTY...WITH
THE LOWEST READINGS OCCURRING BETWEEN 5 AND 7 AM. THE TEMPERATURES
WILL LIKELY WARM ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS MAY KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

If this happens it will be over a month ahead of our normal first freeze. They have expanded the area greatly from earlier this evening. Currently 50ºf at the house.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Dewpoints near 5ºC may save the immediate Houston area from a bizarre and early freeze disaster.

[r22weiss]

Here in Katy we got to 39 tues morning and 42 this morning on my thermometer.

[vbhoutex]

43º in Spring Branch which was warmer than Tuesday morning. Still early for these temps on any normal basis.

[vbhoutex]

I have decided to put our SE TX weather on HOLD for the rest of the winter!!!!!

WHAT GORGEOUS WEATHER WE ARE HAVING!!!!!

[CajunMama]

Gorgeous here too. Yesterday the family went to the country club we belong to which is adjacent to the airport. From where we sat in the parking lot we had a perfect view of the thunderbirds performing their airshow. It was a tad bit warm in the sun though.

[vbhoutex]

I watered again today. We have had a couple of heavy storms since Hurricane Ike but nothing that would keep the yard on an even keel as it goes into its' dormancy period. Hopefully the yard will come back better in the spring.

[vbhoutex]

What a beautiful day it was today!! Very cool in the am-upper 40's, but managed a nice 78ºF this afternoon. May not be so nice Monday and/or Tuesday.

[Jagno]

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
540 AM CST MON NOV 10 2008

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-111145-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
540 AM CST MON NOV 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS WILL SPREAD OUT OF TEXAS TODAY AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER LAKES AREA OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALTHOUGH THE BEST
CHANCES APPEAR WELL TO THE WEST BEYOND THE BRAZOS RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR INTO WEDNESDAY. A CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH COOL AND DRY
CONDTIONS THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

SWEENEY

[vbhoutex]

Well, It hasn't quit raining at my house all day long. Fortunately it has been basically a steady rain as opposed to storms dropping heavy amounts all at one time so it has had some time to soak in instead of running off. However, if Jeff's latest is correct we may be floating by this time tomorrow night. Of course with all the rain we got up to a blazing 71º today before dropping back into the 60's for most of the day. There is talk of freezing temperatures this weekend. If that happens we will be a full month early for first freeze.

Total precip for the day was 1.42".

[Jagno]

Puleeeeeeze, don't let it freeze already. My garden is definitely doing the happy dance with some precip but will go into coma if it freezes. We've barely gotten a drizzle here all day and could stand to use the moisture. I'm praying we also get some of the slow and steady wet stuff here.

[CajunMama]

Doesn't look like we're going to get the rain that was forecasted for us for today. Precip to the north/northwest of us again. Hopefully that 70% chance that is forecasted for tomorrow pans out. It's getting dry here. There were three grass fires on saturday alone here.

[jasons2k]

Formidable line moving thru:


Shot at 2008-11-11

[jasons2k]

Shot at 2008-11-11

[jasons2k]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2371.html

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2371
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX AND SWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 111906Z - 112000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON FROM SE TX INTO
SW LA...WITH AN ADDITIONAL THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
EXCEEDING 1 IN/HR.

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS/REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED NEW
TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAD INCREASED IN INTENSITY FROM WALLER TO SAN
JACINTO COUNTIES JUST AHEAD OF THE SEWD ADVANCING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHICH EXTENDED FROM W CENTRAL LA SWWD TO FAYETTE COUNTY TX.
STRONGER SURFACE HEATING IN THE MOIST WARM SECTOR IS SUPPORTING
MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG...WITH THIS GREATER INSTABILITY REFLECTED IN
THE MORE VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS SUGGESTED BY THE RADAR DATA AND COLDER
CLOUD TOPS NNW OF HOU. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 35-40 KT COMBINED WITH
THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THE STRONGER CORES MAY PRODUCE
HAIL NEAR OR EXCEEDING SEVERE VALUES.

IN ADDITION TO THE ISOLATED HAIL THREAT...VWP/S INDICATED GREATER
LOW LEVEL SHEAR VALUES ACROSS SWRN LA...WITH A CONTINUED WEAKNESS IN
THE 2-3 KM AGL LAYER WITH SWWD EXTENT THROUGH THE HOU AREA TO THE
MIDDLE TX COASTAL AREA. THIS SUGGESTS ANY SUSTAINED STORMS
APPROACHING FAR SE TX/SW LA MAY POSE A GREATER TORNADO THREAT...BUT
INSTABILITY TENDS TO BE WEAKER INTO THIS REGION. THUS...THIS SHOULD
LIMIT THE UPDRAFT STRENGTH AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO SW LA AND MINIMIZE
THE SEVERE THREAT.

..PETERS.. 11/11/2008


ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...EWX...

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looked like a real quick tornado warning had been posted for either Jasper or Newton counties, when I refreshed the NWS radar, but it was there just a few frames and is gone now.

[Ed Mahmoud]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
600 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

TXC021-287-453-491-120010-
/O.EXP.KEWX.TO.W.0031.000000T0000Z-081112T0000Z/
WILLIAMSON TX-TRAVIS TX-LEE TX-BASTROP TX-
600 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL BASTROP...EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN LEE...EXTREME NORTHEAST TRAVIS AND SOUTHEASTERN
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

LAT...LON 3046 9715 3037 9742 3052 9748 3067 9724
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 246DEG 25KT 3049 9733

[vbhoutex]

Looiks like we are in for a long night!!

WGUS64 KHGX 112321
FFAHGX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
521 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

TXZ197>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-121100-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.A.0002.081111T2321Z-081112T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-GRIMES-
HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVIN...ANAHUAC...ANGLETON...BAY CITY...
BELLVILLE...BRENHAM...BROOKSHIRE...CLEVELAND...COLUMBUS...
CONROE...DAYTON...EAGLE LAKE...EDNA...EL CAMPO...FREEPORT...
FRIENDSWOOD...GALVESTON...HEMPSTEAD...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...
LAKE JACKSON...LEAGUE CITY...LIBERTY...MISSOURI CITY...
MONT BELVIEU...NAVASOTA...PALACIOS...PASADENA...PEARLAND...
PIERCE...PRAIRIE VIEW...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...SEALY...
SUGAR LAND...TEXAS CITY...THE WOODLANDS...TOMBALL...WEIMAR...
WHARTON...WILLIS...WINNIE
521 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES...AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...
FORT BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...WALLER...WASHINGTON AND WHARTON.
* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
* THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FOCUS ALONG AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED SLOW
MOVING FRONT WHICH IS LOCATED ACROSS THE MIDDLE COUNTIES OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIN ALONG THIS
FRONT AS IT PUSHES SLOWLY SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST RESULTING IN A FURTHER
ENHANCEMENT OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 5
TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED IN MOST
AREAS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CAUSE RUNOFF AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH
AREA...CHECK PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE
READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS
HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF
FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO ESCAPE
FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

WGUS44 KHGX 120130
FLWHGX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
730 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRING...AFFECTING HARRIS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES
FOR SPRING CREEK AT SPRING, MINOR FLOODING IS FORECASTED.
THE CURRENT WEATHER IS DOMINATED BY A COLD FRONT THAT IS SLOWLY APPROACHING
SOUTHEAST TEXAS FROM WEST. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGING
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES. THE EXTENDED
OUTLOOK IS FOR CLEARING CONDITIONS STARTING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THESE STREAMS SHOULD KEEP ALERT TO RISING WATER AND
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT THEIR PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK INTO
FLOODED AREAS THE DEPTH AND WATER VELOCITY COULD BE TOO GREAT FOR YOU TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD AVOID ANY WATER COVERED ROADS AND FIND AN ALTERNATE
ROUTE. LIVESTOCK AND EQUIPMENT SHOULD BE REMOVED FROM THE FLOOD PLAIN
IMMEDIATELY.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR FURTHER UPDATES.
TXC201-339-121330-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FL.W.0033.081112T2324Z-081114T0036Z/
/SPNT2.1.ER.081112T2324Z.081113T0600Z.081113T1236Z.NO/
730 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SPRING CREEK NEAR SPRING.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
CANCELLED.
* AT 0645 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 22.0 FEET...94.6 MSL...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS AS FLOW ESCAPES INTO
SECONDARY CHANNELS.

Coverage is definitely increasing to our West and some to the SW. Looks like some areas are going to have a very tough night of it if these rains don't stop training soon and begin to move. The areas under warning right now are in the Northern areas of Houston Metro.