STORM2K

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0471
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND N CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 121...

VALID 262251Z - 270015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 121 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE
EVENING...WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR TORNADOES...VERY LARGE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING GUSTS. A STRONG TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER
THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SHEAR INCREASE.

DISCUSSION...THERE HAS BEEN SOME MIXING OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
CENTRAL TX...TO THE S OF THE WEAKENING SUPERCELL IN ERATH COUNTY.
THE MIXING HAS RESULTED IN SOME REDUCTION IN BUOYANCY AND HIGHER LCL
HEIGHTS...BUT OBSERVATIONS A BIT FARTHER S SHOW MOISTURE RECOVERING
AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL INTO THE 80S. DEWPOINTS ARE
EXPECTED TO RECOVER INTO THE MID 60S THIS EVENING INTO THE ZONE OF
BACKED WINDS WITH THE RESIDUAL OUTFLOW/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY
FROM ABOUT WACO TO BROWNWOOD. ALSO...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE
IN RESPONSE TO THE SYNOPTIC WAVE EMERGING OVER W TX...WHICH SHOULD
SUPPORT A REJUVENATION OF THE TORNADO RISK BY ABOUT 00-01Z. IN THE
INTERIM...NEW STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP NEAR TRIPLE POINT CLOSE TO
BROWNWOOD...WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
GUSTS.

..THOMPSON.. 04/26/2015

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
618 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ERATH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 618 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF DUBLIN...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
STEPHENVILLE AROUND 640 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 9852 3238 9814 3208 9796 3208 9843
3214 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 250DEG 28KT 3220 9840

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$