STORM2K

Not much has changed from September - October. There may have been a slight improvement on the western edges but the poor Plains states are just painful to look at.

Here is the latest U.S drought situation.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

Here is the latest forecast for the next 3 months.

Here is the latest update as of January 1rst.



http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

I will be interested in seeing this map after the rains this week. East Texas should have gotten a lot of help, although they clearly are not the most drought stricken part of Texas.

I would expect some areas of SE TX to come out of drought after these rains. Many areas of Texas got some help from this storm system thankfully. It would be even better if areas in the Central Plains got help too.

The effects from the recent rain event in Texas will really be seen in next week's update.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DM_state.htm?TX,S

Not a lot of change for SE Texas after the recent rain event.

The NOAA January drough outlook until April 30 shows a big chunck of the plains and the SW corner of the U.S mainland that will continue to have drought conditions.

Here is a loop of the last two months and see how things have evolved.

No big change from last week to this week on the Texas map.

Here is the updated graphic. Some relief in the plains and SE areas.

This certainly can be removed but oh how I hope it verifies and crosses the Northern U.S. (I hope for Texas too but this one looks promising for the North).

We are under a cold blue warning where I live from Saturday until next Tuesday so you're getting your wish


(this is in SE PA)
(February 14, 2013) - The Montgomery County Commissioners, on the advice of the Montgomery County Department of Public Safety, have decided to issue a Code Blue Cold Weather Emergency for Montgomery County based on a review of forecasts from the National Weather Service.

The Code Blue Declaration has been issued for Montgomery County for the period beginning at 6:00pm on Saturday, February 16, 2013 through 9:00am on Tuesday, February 19, 2013.

I hope to see lots of pics of your snow Angelwing!

If I get it I will post:)

Here is the updated graphic of how the U.S drought is going and if you look at the plains,there has been some improvement.Hopefully the next few storms that move thru that area can aliviate a bit the drought in the plains.

http://www.droughtmonitor.unl.edu/12_week.gif

This 12 week drought animation shows that the little rain that the plains and the Midwest has received hasn't dimished the dryness around that core problem. Outside that issue there are clear signs that rain is beginning to fill in along the east and west coast.

It is good to see that the Severe Long term drought has left the East Coast. Florida got off easy in this last drought event. The early spring rains have been keeping the fire season away. I am sure that the collapse of Solar Cycle 24 has been the result of the closeness of Jupiter’s Perihelion. The scientific proof I am lacking, but the observation of the coincidence is evident enough to make the claim. Gravity is still a very mysterious phenomenon. With all of humanity’s scientific expertise this one basic force of nature is only understood in relative terms, the apple fell off the tree.

Now the Sun is getting smaller ( again in relative terms, that is the chromosphere is less active because of the diminishing number of sunspots) and Earth is moving away from the Sun, the plasmasphere will get a chance to cool off, and allow more low pressures to form, and more rain to fall.

If the Mayans were forecasting the-end-of-the-world the real story might been about rain. In Florida at least it is going to be hard for the 5 year moving rainfall average to catch up with the normal decadal increase in rainfall that have been the norm (for as long as records have been kept) without a series of yearlong frog strangling events. That is to say the collective annual rainfall totals are so low that a bad hurricane season or three will not fix it. What I am talking about is years of months with 6 inches of rain, and it has to happen to maintain the mathematical average.



Noah, where were you when we needed you?