SE TX / SW LA - Heavy rains this week-Tues. and Fri???

[ncupsscweather]

[img][/img]

National Weather Service has also issued a " Tornado Watch " for portions of Southwestern Texas.

[ncupsscweather]

Tornado Watch for the United States
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 57
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2007

TORNADO WATCH 57 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC043-081-103-105-137-235-267-271-327-371-383-385-413-431-435-
443-451-461-465-120200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0057.070311T1900Z-070312T0200Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BREWSTER COKE CRANE
CROCKETT EDWARDS IRION
KIMBLE KINNEY MENARD
PECOS REAGAN REAL
SCHLEICHER STERLING SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$


ATTN...WFO...MAF...EWX...SJT...

[JenBayles]

Thar she blows! Dave has to drive to Dallas tomorrow - hope he doesn't drown the Crown Vic!

[Extremeweatherguy]

The watches keep coming, and the discussions are saying that the storms will progress east tonight. I wonder if we will ever need a watch in SE Texas too?


^^latest watch reaches all the way to Austin^^

[jasons2k]

Well kudos to the GFS this time.

[Ptarmigan]

I expect a lot of rain this week. I would say up to 8 inches is possible by Wednesday.

[Extremeweatherguy]

There sure has been a lot of lightning with these storms...

[jasons2k]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
649 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2007

TXC031-171-120015-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-070312T0015Z/
GILLESPIE TX-BLANCO TX-
649 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR BLANCO
AND GILLESPIE COUNTIES...

AT 648 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 14 MILES WEST OF ROUND
MOUNTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL APPROACH THE TOWN OF ROUND MOUNTAIN BY 715 PM.
PEOPLE NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF ROUND MOUNTAIN CAN ALSO EXPECT LARGE
HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS
DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF GILLESPIE COUNTY BY 705 PM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100
AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3051 9870 3038 9867 3034 9826 3047 9827
3050 9837 3051 9845

$$





======================================================================
WFUS54 KEWX 112342
TOREWX
TXC031-171-120015-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0001.070311T2342Z-070312T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
642 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
GILLESPIE
BLANCO

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 640 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 17
MILES WEST OF ROUND MOUNTAIN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WILLOW CITY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM THROUGH 7 PM.

IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100
AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3051 9870 3038 9867 3034 9826 3047 9827
3050 9837 3051 9845

[ncupsscweather]

[img][/img]

[Extremeweatherguy]

those are some nasty storm clusters out there right now!

[jasons2k]

From earlier:



More current:

[jasons2k]

[JenBayles]

jschlitz - I was thinking the same thing about the GFS. Score one for once! I'm not liking the looks of that purple cell around Blanco. It's headed right for my MIL in Wimberley. Think I'll send Dave out to lower the pool umbrellas before we hit the hay tonite...

[JenBayles]

So how long before the big guns get to Houston I wonder? Will the Dome repel everything to our North? Sure wish we had our own weather model for the Bear Creek Dome. Can you just imagine the coding for that one? LOL!

[weatherrabbit_tx]

maybe another 4 hours?

[double D]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH S CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 58...

VALID 120209Z - 120415Z

THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS OVER CNTRL THROUGH S CNTRL TX.
THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND ALSO EXISTS WITH STRONGER STORMS
AND EXPECIALLY WITH SQUALL LINE FROM CALLAHAN SWD TO VAL-VERDE
COUNTY.

VWP DATA SHOW LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS HAVE INCREASED IN SIZE OVER THE
LAST SEVERAL HOURS AS THE SELY LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENED WITH 0-1
KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY FROM 200 TO 300 J/KG. NUMEROUS STORMS
INCLUDING A FEW DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR OVER CNTRL THROUGH S CNTRL TX. ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WITHIN
ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SELY LOW LEVEL
JET AND VORT MAX ROTATING NEWD THROUGH BASE OF UPPER TROUGH.
GREATEST TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN WITH DISCRETE STORMS
DEVELOPING IN WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF LINE. RUC SOUNDING DATA SUGGEST
STORMS ARE STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO SURFACE BASED TO SUPPORT A TORNADO
THREAT...ESPECIALLY WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND WITH LOW TO MID 60S DEWPOINTS.

STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD PERSIST OVER SRN HALF OF WW 57 NEXT FEW
HOURS WHERE MOIST UNSTABLE INFLOW WILL BE MAXIMIZED. INSTABILITY
DROPS OFF RAPIDLY WITH ERN EXTENT TOWARD E CNTRL TX WHERE DEWPOINTS
ARE ONLY IN THE 40S. HOWEVER...AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS SERN TX WILL
BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW LATER THIS EVENING.

..DIAL.. 03/12/2007


ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...

29949740 28309793 27999955 28960009 30989874 30709753



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[ncupsscweather]

[img][/img]

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio, Tx has issued a Tornado Warning
for Comal County, Tx until 945pm CDT

Trained Spotter Reported Funnel Cloud near Fischer or about 6 miles NW of
Canyon Lake Dam moving to the E at 10mph.

[ncupsscweather]

Radar showing possible Tornado moving to the NE at 11 knots headed toward Eagle Pass, Texas

[weatherrabbit_tx]

new cells forming in austin county west of houston moving into waller county

[Yankeegirl]

This is definately getting closer... Maybe here before midnight?