Caribbean - Central America Weather
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cycloneye
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- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Yes,thunder at the distance haved been occuring east of San Juan today.Only moderate showers haved moved thru San Juan so far today.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
000
FXCA62 TJSJ 082053
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
453 PM AST SAT JUL 8 2006
.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST NORTHWEST
OF THE AREA CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY WEST...BUT IS EXPECTED TO
TURN NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN. DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN WEAKLY OVER THE AREA...AND THE LOCAL AREA
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE NEXT WEEKEND WILL HAVE
ONLY SLIGHT GRADIENTS AND WEAK WINDS.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHEST HEIGHTS WILL THEN SHIFT TO OVER
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES.
AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A FIRM GRIP OVER
MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH CENTRAL PRESSURES CONTINUING
GENERALLY BETWEEN 30 AND 40 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. A PARADE OF
TROPICAL WAVES WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY
CROSSING OVER THE LOCAL AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THURSDAY...AND THE
FOLLOWING TUESDAY. MINOR BANDS OF MOISTURE MAY INTERVENE BETWEEN THESE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE 12Z SOUNDING WAS FOUND TO BE HEAVIER IN MOISTURE
AND WITH STRONGER INSTABILITY THAN YESTERDAYS SOUNDING...AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE THE RESULT OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE
HOURS OF GREATEST INSOLATION. SOME CELL TOPS PENETRATED THE 50
THOUSAND FOOT LEVEL IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO AND RADAR RAIN AMOUNTS
EXCEEDED 4 INCHES THERE. THIS RAIN PUT THE CULEBRINAS RIVER ON
THE RISE AGAIN AND WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED IN THE NEAR TERM...A
FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 430 PM AND WILL BE RECONSIDERED AT
745 PM. FLOODING IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF YESTERDAYS 15
FOOT MAXIMUM LEVEL AT THE MARGARITA DAM.
THE DRIER AIR FORECAST BY THE GFS AT 850 MB WILL BRIEFLY MAKE ITS
PRESENCE FELT TONIGHT AND IS ALREADY NOTABLE ON RADAR WHERE ALMOST
ALL ACTIVITY HAS CEASED OVER PUERTO RICO...THOUGH THAT IS ALSO
PARTLY DUE TO THE HEAVY OVERCAST OF HIGH CLOUDS THAT ENDED HEATING
EARLY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECASTS WERE LOWERED FOR RAIN-INDUCED
COOLING EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND TOMORROW NIGHT. AS THE NEXT
WAVE APPROACHES...THE DRY AIR WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOISTURE
AHEAD OF AND IN THE NEXT WAVE WHICH CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM 22
NORTH 62 WEST TO 17 NORTH 58 WEST. THE WAVE IS MAKING PROGRESS AT
ABOUT 11 TO 15 KNOTS AND SHOULD BEGIN TO BE FELT AFTER 09Z. THE
EULERIAN MASS MODEL SHOWS SOME RAIN REACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN EXTREME OF PUERTO RICO BY 12Z...WITH
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING DURING THE DAY.
THE MODEL SHOWS DRIER AIR TO THE NORTHEAST BY TUESDAY AT 00Z...AND
A MUCH STRONGER WAVE GROWING NEAR 50 WEST. THE MODEL COMES CLOSE
TO FORMING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OUT OF THIS WAVE BUT AS IT PASSES
NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IT APPEARS TO LOSE STRENGTH AND THE
GFS SHOWS THE TROUGH PASSING OVER PUERTO RICO BY 12Z THURSDAY WITH
THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE NORTH OF 20 DEGREES NORTH. DRIER
AIR...HOWEVER...DOES NOT ACTUALLY ENTER THE LOCAL AREA UNTIL AFTER
00Z ON SATURDAY. THUS...AS OPPOSED TO THIS WEEKEND...NEXT WEEKEND
IS FORECAST TO BE RELATIVELY DRY...THOUGH AT THIS EARLY DATE
CONFIDENCE IS LIMITED.
&&
.MARINE...WAVE WATCH MODEL IS BRINGING IN SWELL OF 8 TO 9 FEET
INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY. SWELL OF 7 TO 8 FEET ARE CURRENTLY EAST
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...BUT BLOCKING BY LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
HOLD ACTUAL SWELL BELOW THIS AND THE MODEL FORECAST...SO WILL HOLD
FORECAST TO NO MORE THAN 7 TO 8 FEET AT THIS TIME. IF WAVE MOVES
FAR ENOUGH NORTH ON THURSDAY...EVEN THOUGH IT IS STRONGER IT WILL
LIKELY NOT PRODUCE ANY HIGHER SEAS THAN THIS ON THURSDAY EITHER.
&&
.AVIATION...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE FROM EAST TO WEST BEGINNING
IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BEFORE DAWN AND SPREADING OVER MOST OF
PUERTO RICO BEFORE SUNSET AS THE TROPICAL WAVE ADVANCES WITH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. MOISTURE WILL NOT BEGIN TO CLEAR UNTIL
MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND HIGH TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS...AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...THOUGH LOW CLOUDS MAY NOT BE AS PREVALENT
AS MID CLOUDS THEN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FLOW PATTERN FOR NOW...AND
INCREASED MOISTURE...SOME FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE TRIGGER MECHANISM WILL BE
REMOVED HOWEVER AS LOW PRESSURE ALOFT RETREATS TO THE WEST.
CURRENTLY DO NOT FEEL THAT FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS WARRANTED SINCE
FLOODING WILL GENERALLY BE LOCALIZED...BUT WILL LEAVE OPTION
OPEN FOR LATER SHIFT.
Another loooooooooooong discussion from the San Juan NWS about what will we expect in the next few days.
It was a gray afternoon as high clouds from the thunderstorms in the west half of Puerto Rico covered the San Juan skie.
FXCA62 TJSJ 082053
AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
453 PM AST SAT JUL 8 2006
.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST NORTHWEST
OF THE AREA CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY WEST...BUT IS EXPECTED TO
TURN NORTHWEST AND WEAKEN. DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN WEAKLY OVER THE AREA...AND THE LOCAL AREA
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE NEXT WEEKEND WILL HAVE
ONLY SLIGHT GRADIENTS AND WEAK WINDS.
AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHEST HEIGHTS WILL THEN SHIFT TO OVER
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES.
AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN A FIRM GRIP OVER
MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WITH CENTRAL PRESSURES CONTINUING
GENERALLY BETWEEN 30 AND 40 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. A PARADE OF
TROPICAL WAVES WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF THIS HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY
CROSSING OVER THE LOCAL AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT...THURSDAY...AND THE
FOLLOWING TUESDAY. MINOR BANDS OF MOISTURE MAY INTERVENE BETWEEN THESE.
&&
.DISCUSSION...THE 12Z SOUNDING WAS FOUND TO BE HEAVIER IN MOISTURE
AND WITH STRONGER INSTABILITY THAN YESTERDAYS SOUNDING...AND
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE THE RESULT OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE
HOURS OF GREATEST INSOLATION. SOME CELL TOPS PENETRATED THE 50
THOUSAND FOOT LEVEL IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO AND RADAR RAIN AMOUNTS
EXCEEDED 4 INCHES THERE. THIS RAIN PUT THE CULEBRINAS RIVER ON
THE RISE AGAIN AND WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED IN THE NEAR TERM...A
FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED AT 430 PM AND WILL BE RECONSIDERED AT
745 PM. FLOODING IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF YESTERDAYS 15
FOOT MAXIMUM LEVEL AT THE MARGARITA DAM.
THE DRIER AIR FORECAST BY THE GFS AT 850 MB WILL BRIEFLY MAKE ITS
PRESENCE FELT TONIGHT AND IS ALREADY NOTABLE ON RADAR WHERE ALMOST
ALL ACTIVITY HAS CEASED OVER PUERTO RICO...THOUGH THAT IS ALSO
PARTLY DUE TO THE HEAVY OVERCAST OF HIGH CLOUDS THAT ENDED HEATING
EARLY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECASTS WERE LOWERED FOR RAIN-INDUCED
COOLING EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND TOMORROW NIGHT. AS THE NEXT
WAVE APPROACHES...THE DRY AIR WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO MOISTURE
AHEAD OF AND IN THE NEXT WAVE WHICH CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM 22
NORTH 62 WEST TO 17 NORTH 58 WEST. THE WAVE IS MAKING PROGRESS AT
ABOUT 11 TO 15 KNOTS AND SHOULD BEGIN TO BE FELT AFTER 09Z. THE
EULERIAN MASS MODEL SHOWS SOME RAIN REACHING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN EXTREME OF PUERTO RICO BY 12Z...WITH
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING DURING THE DAY.
THE MODEL SHOWS DRIER AIR TO THE NORTHEAST BY TUESDAY AT 00Z...AND
A MUCH STRONGER WAVE GROWING NEAR 50 WEST. THE MODEL COMES CLOSE
TO FORMING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OUT OF THIS WAVE BUT AS IT PASSES
NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IT APPEARS TO LOSE STRENGTH AND THE
GFS SHOWS THE TROUGH PASSING OVER PUERTO RICO BY 12Z THURSDAY WITH
THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE NORTH OF 20 DEGREES NORTH. DRIER
AIR...HOWEVER...DOES NOT ACTUALLY ENTER THE LOCAL AREA UNTIL AFTER
00Z ON SATURDAY. THUS...AS OPPOSED TO THIS WEEKEND...NEXT WEEKEND
IS FORECAST TO BE RELATIVELY DRY...THOUGH AT THIS EARLY DATE
CONFIDENCE IS LIMITED.
&&
.MARINE...WAVE WATCH MODEL IS BRINGING IN SWELL OF 8 TO 9 FEET
INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY. SWELL OF 7 TO 8 FEET ARE CURRENTLY EAST
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...BUT BLOCKING BY LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
HOLD ACTUAL SWELL BELOW THIS AND THE MODEL FORECAST...SO WILL HOLD
FORECAST TO NO MORE THAN 7 TO 8 FEET AT THIS TIME. IF WAVE MOVES
FAR ENOUGH NORTH ON THURSDAY...EVEN THOUGH IT IS STRONGER IT WILL
LIKELY NOT PRODUCE ANY HIGHER SEAS THAN THIS ON THURSDAY EITHER.
&&
.AVIATION...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE FROM EAST TO WEST BEGINNING
IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BEFORE DAWN AND SPREADING OVER MOST OF
PUERTO RICO BEFORE SUNSET AS THE TROPICAL WAVE ADVANCES WITH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. MOISTURE WILL NOT BEGIN TO CLEAR UNTIL
MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND HIGH TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS...AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...THOUGH LOW CLOUDS MAY NOT BE AS PREVALENT
AS MID CLOUDS THEN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FLOW PATTERN FOR NOW...AND
INCREASED MOISTURE...SOME FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE TRIGGER MECHANISM WILL BE
REMOVED HOWEVER AS LOW PRESSURE ALOFT RETREATS TO THE WEST.
CURRENTLY DO NOT FEEL THAT FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS WARRANTED SINCE
FLOODING WILL GENERALLY BE LOCALIZED...BUT WILL LEAVE OPTION
OPEN FOR LATER SHIFT.
Another loooooooooooong discussion from the San Juan NWS about what will we expect in the next few days.
It was a gray afternoon as high clouds from the thunderstorms in the west half of Puerto Rico covered the San Juan skie.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SUN JUL 9 2006
.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND FAR EASTERN PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING
IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST
NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS LOW...WHICH HAS MADE VERY LITTLE
MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THE PAST TWO DAYS...IS EXPECTED TO
FINALLY LIFT NORTHWEST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT
ENHANCED DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY DUE TO THE FORCING
PROVIDED BY THIS UPPER LOW...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
ONCE THIS UPPER LOW PASSES...THE FOCUS OF ATTENTION WILL TURN
TOWARDS A PASSING TROPICAL WAVE...EXPECTED TO REACH THE VI LATER
THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOME OVERNIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING MONDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS WAVE...AS WELL AS
SOME ENHANCED AFTERNOON CONVECTION ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WESTERN INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO. DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS
ALOFT...AND HENCE A REDUCTION IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...ARE THEN FORECAST
TO DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE REACHES THE REGION. THIS WAVE...CURRENTLY
NEAR 40W...IS WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CURRENTLY
SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION. CURRENT FORECAST MAINTAINS
AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WITH THIS WAVE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
Good morning fellow Eastern Caribbean members.Overnight it was quiet in San Juan with some lightening at the distance to my NE.Above is the discussion from this morning about what to expect today and in the next few days.Keep an eye on 96L.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
500 AM AST SUN JUL 9 2006
.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND FAR EASTERN PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING
IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST
NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS LOW...WHICH HAS MADE VERY LITTLE
MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THE PAST TWO DAYS...IS EXPECTED TO
FINALLY LIFT NORTHWEST OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT
ENHANCED DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY DUE TO THE FORCING
PROVIDED BY THIS UPPER LOW...ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
ONCE THIS UPPER LOW PASSES...THE FOCUS OF ATTENTION WILL TURN
TOWARDS A PASSING TROPICAL WAVE...EXPECTED TO REACH THE VI LATER
THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOME OVERNIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY TONIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING MONDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS WAVE...AS WELL AS
SOME ENHANCED AFTERNOON CONVECTION ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
WESTERN INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO. DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS
ALOFT...AND HENCE A REDUCTION IN SHOWER ACTIVITY...ARE THEN FORECAST
TO DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE
THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE REACHES THE REGION. THIS WAVE...CURRENTLY
NEAR 40W...IS WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CURRENTLY
SUPPORTING CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION. CURRENT FORECAST MAINTAINS
AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WITH THIS WAVE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
Good morning fellow Eastern Caribbean members.Overnight it was quiet in San Juan with some lightening at the distance to my NE.Above is the discussion from this morning about what to expect today and in the next few days.Keep an eye on 96L.
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The sun, which was JUST glaring off the water into my eyes, is now covered with the cloud line. This window looks out to the northeast and all I can see now is grey. The air temp has dropped a degree or two in the last few minutes as well. Nice!
A spitter of rain a little while earilier. We'll see what happens next...while I debate whether or not to water the gardens
A spitter of rain a little while earilier. We'll see what happens next...while I debate whether or not to water the gardens
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
This sunday was a variable day with clouds mixed with sun and a few passing showers.Let's see what the wave that will be moving thru brings tonight and on Monday.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Good morning fellow Eastern Caribbean members.A long overnight here that has continued this morning with heavy thunderstorms moving NW thru eastern Puerto Rico.This is the wave interacting with the trough.Let's see how this day goes in terms of the wet weather.Already there are flash flood watches and warnings for portions of Puerto Rico.
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bvigal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2275
- Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
- Location: British Virgin Islands
- Contact:
Good morning Luis and other neighbors!
Haven't seen Barbara since we moved to weather attic. Hope she knows we are still posting in this thread.
Plenty of booms and bolts during the night. I finally just closed all the windows, as the rain was blowing horizontally and even 1"open was getting things wet. It's died down a lot now, and am waiting for those winds we're supposed to get on the 'back side'.
EXCELLENT discussion this morning by your friend, Raphael Mojica at NWS!
FXCA62 TJSJ 100736 AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
330 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTION GENERATING QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY MOSTLY
OVER WATER EAST AND NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AS WELL AS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO GETTING THEIR
SHARE OF WEATHER. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN RATHER NUMEROUS TODAY ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA AND THUNDERSTORMS DEFINITELY SCATTERED. PERIODS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY BUT FAST MOVING SHOWERS WILL BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY BUT SWITCHING TO THE WEST HALF OF THE ISLAND BY LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. URBAN FLOODING WOULD BE THE MOST OBVIOUS RISK
TODAY WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO RETREAT NORTHWEST EFFECTS WILL STILL BE NOTICEABLE.
DRIER WEATHER IN STORE FOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL OCCUR BUT JUST WHAT IS
CONSIDERED THE NORMAL CLIMATE ACTIVITY. STRONGER WAVE TO APPROACH ON
WEDNESDAY AND POTENTIALLY BRING ACTIVE WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. MODIFIED FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR MORE WEATHER ON
THURSDAY SINCE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WAVE IS TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AND
TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
AT THE LOW LEVELS WE HAVE THE TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS TRACKING
ACROSS 66 WEST OR OVER PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS MORNING BASED ON 88D
CELL MOTION. WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ORIENTED
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS HISPANIOLA. UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT FURTHER NORTHWEST AND ALSO WEAKEN THROUGH THIS
EVENING. TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE ITS WAY INTO HISPANIOLA WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING AND PREVAILING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BRINGING ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS ARE INCREASING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE WAVE PROGRESSES.
88D VAD DEPICTING 20 KTS. NAVY WAVE MODEL MAINTAINING 6-8 FEET SEAS
ACROSS ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY..SITUATION
WHICH WAS HANDLE WELL BY PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAIN CONCERN ARE THE
GUSTY WINDS AT 30 KTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SURROUNDING THE LOCAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE.
&&
.AVIATION...
ACTIVE WEATHER TODAY AS THE WAVE CONTINUES ITS WESTWARD TRACK. FROM
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO CENTRAL PUERTO RICO WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE DURING THE MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD OVERLAND BY AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY BELOW 1 THOUSAND FEET AND 3 MILES. SAHARAN
DUST SHOULD WORKED ITS WAY IN AS THE SUBSIDENCE SETS BEHIND THE WAVE
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RIVERS LEVELS SO FAR WITHIN NORMAL RANGE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING WEST AT LEAST AT 20 KTS WHICH IS NOT IDEAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING. HOWEVER...ONCE THE WAVE AXIS MOVES OVER THE MONA PASSAGE
THE SOUTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND IS SPITE OF THE
FAST MOTION...TRAIN ECHO EFFECTS WILL CAUSE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT COULD INDUCE SMALL STREAM AND URBAN FLOODING. SO FAR RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVER LAND THROUGH 330 AM LESS THAN ONE INCH...BUT THIS
SCENARIO COULD CHANGE AS ADDITIONAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND. FOR THE U.S
VIRGIN ISLANDS URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WITH SOME OF THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS. USGS GAGES SHOWED AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF
AN INCH SO FAR.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 90 78 / 70 40 40 0
STT 85 77 86 77 / 70 20 20 20
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&
$$
RM
8am St. Thomas:
Wind from the ESE (120 degrees) at 13 MPH (11 KT)
Visibility 4 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Weather Heavy rain
Mist
Precipitation last hour 0.33 inches
Temperature 77.0 F (25.0 C)
Dew Point 73.0 F (22.8 C)
Relative Humidity 87%
Pressure (altimeter) 30.03 in. Hg (1016 hPa)
Pressure tendency 0.06 inches (2.2 hPa) higher than three hours ago
Haven't seen Barbara since we moved to weather attic. Hope she knows we are still posting in this thread.
Plenty of booms and bolts during the night. I finally just closed all the windows, as the rain was blowing horizontally and even 1"open was getting things wet. It's died down a lot now, and am waiting for those winds we're supposed to get on the 'back side'.
EXCELLENT discussion this morning by your friend, Raphael Mojica at NWS!
FXCA62 TJSJ 100736 AFDSJU
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
330 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTION GENERATING QUITE A BIT OF ACTIVITY MOSTLY
OVER WATER EAST AND NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. HOWEVER...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AS WELL AS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO GETTING THEIR
SHARE OF WEATHER. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN RATHER NUMEROUS TODAY ACROSS
THE ENTIRE AREA AND THUNDERSTORMS DEFINITELY SCATTERED. PERIODS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY BUT FAST MOVING SHOWERS WILL BE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TODAY BUT SWITCHING TO THE WEST HALF OF THE ISLAND BY LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. URBAN FLOODING WOULD BE THE MOST OBVIOUS RISK
TODAY WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO RETREAT NORTHWEST EFFECTS WILL STILL BE NOTICEABLE.
DRIER WEATHER IN STORE FOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL OCCUR BUT JUST WHAT IS
CONSIDERED THE NORMAL CLIMATE ACTIVITY. STRONGER WAVE TO APPROACH ON
WEDNESDAY AND POTENTIALLY BRING ACTIVE WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. MODIFIED FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR MORE WEATHER ON
THURSDAY SINCE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WAVE IS TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AND
TO AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA.
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
AT THE LOW LEVELS WE HAVE THE TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS TRACKING
ACROSS 66 WEST OR OVER PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS MORNING BASED ON 88D
CELL MOTION. WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ORIENTED
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS HISPANIOLA. UPPER TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DRIFT FURTHER NORTHWEST AND ALSO WEAKEN THROUGH THIS
EVENING. TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE ITS WAY INTO HISPANIOLA WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING AND PREVAILING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BRINGING ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS ARE INCREASING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS THE WAVE PROGRESSES.
88D VAD DEPICTING 20 KTS. NAVY WAVE MODEL MAINTAINING 6-8 FEET SEAS
ACROSS ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY..SITUATION
WHICH WAS HANDLE WELL BY PREVIOUS FORECAST. MAIN CONCERN ARE THE
GUSTY WINDS AT 30 KTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SURROUNDING THE LOCAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN PLACE.
&&
.AVIATION...
ACTIVE WEATHER TODAY AS THE WAVE CONTINUES ITS WESTWARD TRACK. FROM
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO CENTRAL PUERTO RICO WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE DURING THE MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD OVERLAND BY AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY BELOW 1 THOUSAND FEET AND 3 MILES. SAHARAN
DUST SHOULD WORKED ITS WAY IN AS THE SUBSIDENCE SETS BEHIND THE WAVE
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RIVERS LEVELS SO FAR WITHIN NORMAL RANGE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING WEST AT LEAST AT 20 KTS WHICH IS NOT IDEAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING. HOWEVER...ONCE THE WAVE AXIS MOVES OVER THE MONA PASSAGE
THE SOUTHEAST FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AND IS SPITE OF THE
FAST MOTION...TRAIN ECHO EFFECTS WILL CAUSE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT COULD INDUCE SMALL STREAM AND URBAN FLOODING. SO FAR RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OVER LAND THROUGH 330 AM LESS THAN ONE INCH...BUT THIS
SCENARIO COULD CHANGE AS ADDITIONAL BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND. FOR THE U.S
VIRGIN ISLANDS URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WITH SOME OF THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS. USGS GAGES SHOWED AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF
AN INCH SO FAR.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 78 90 78 / 70 40 40 0
STT 85 77 86 77 / 70 20 20 20
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&
$$
RM
8am St. Thomas:
Wind from the ESE (120 degrees) at 13 MPH (11 KT)
Visibility 4 mile(s)
Sky conditions overcast
Weather Heavy rain
Mist
Precipitation last hour 0.33 inches
Temperature 77.0 F (25.0 C)
Dew Point 73.0 F (22.8 C)
Relative Humidity 87%
Pressure (altimeter) 30.03 in. Hg (1016 hPa)
Pressure tendency 0.06 inches (2.2 hPa) higher than three hours ago
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
757 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
PRZ001>007-101600-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0018.060710T1157Z-060710T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...BAYAMON...
CAROLINA...CATANO...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...
TRUJILLO ALTO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA...
LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...RIO GRANDE...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...
PATILLAS...SALINAS...YABUCOA...AGUAS BUENAS...CAGUAS...CAYEY...
CIDRA...COMERIO...GURABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...SAN LORENZO...
ARECIBO...BARCELONETA...DORADO...FLORIDA...MANATI...VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...CIALES...COAMO...COROZAL...
JAYUYA...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS...VILLALBA...GUAYANILLA...
JUANA DIAZ...YAUCO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SANTA ISABEL
757 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO
RICO...EASTERN PUERTO RICO...NORTHERN PUERTO RICO AND SOUTHERN
PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL INTERIOR
OF PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR IN EASTERN PUERTO RICO...
EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST IN NORTHERN PUERTO
RICO...NORTH CENTRAL AND SAN JUAN AND VICINITY IN SOUTHERN PUERTO
RICO...PONCE AND VICINITY.
* UNTIL NOON AST TODAY
* * TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTERACTING WITH UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE REGION GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS
REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA
RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF
FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
757 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
PRZ001>007-101600-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0018.060710T1157Z-060710T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...BAYAMON...
CAROLINA...CATANO...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...
TRUJILLO ALTO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA...
LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...RIO GRANDE...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...
PATILLAS...SALINAS...YABUCOA...AGUAS BUENAS...CAGUAS...CAYEY...
CIDRA...COMERIO...GURABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...SAN LORENZO...
ARECIBO...BARCELONETA...DORADO...FLORIDA...MANATI...VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...CIALES...COAMO...COROZAL...
JAYUYA...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS...VILLALBA...GUAYANILLA...
JUANA DIAZ...YAUCO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SANTA ISABEL
757 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO
RICO...EASTERN PUERTO RICO...NORTHERN PUERTO RICO AND SOUTHERN
PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL INTERIOR
OF PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR IN EASTERN PUERTO RICO...
EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST IN NORTHERN PUERTO
RICO...NORTH CENTRAL AND SAN JUAN AND VICINITY IN SOUTHERN PUERTO
RICO...PONCE AND VICINITY.
* UNTIL NOON AST TODAY
* * TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTERACTING WITH UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE REGION GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS
REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA
RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF
FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
821 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING...
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS
CAROLINA
SAN JUAN
TRUJILLO ALTO
LOIZA
* UNTIL 1115 AM AST
* AT 818 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LOIZA...
NORTHEASTERN TRUJILLO ALTO...NORTHEASTERN SAN JUAN...NORTHWESTERN
CAROLINA AND NORTH CENTRAL CANOVANAS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1846 6589 1832 6593 1834 6609 1848 6609
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
821 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING...
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CANOVANAS
CAROLINA
SAN JUAN
TRUJILLO ALTO
LOIZA
* UNTIL 1115 AM AST
* AT 818 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LOIZA...
NORTHEASTERN TRUJILLO ALTO...NORTHEASTERN SAN JUAN...NORTHWESTERN
CAROLINA AND NORTH CENTRAL CANOVANAS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1846 6589 1832 6593 1834 6609 1848 6609
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
922 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING...
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS
CIDRA
CAYEY
AGUAS BUENAS
* UNTIL 1215 PM AST
* AT 914 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
THE PUBLIC ALSO REPORTED SEVERAL AREAS OF THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH
EITHER LOW LYING AREAS FLOODED AND SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS
AND OTHER RIVER LEVELS RISING STEADILY.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CENTRAL
AGUAS BUENAS...NORTH CENTRAL CAYEY...NORTHEASTERN CIDRA AND CENTRAL
CAGUAS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1825 6604 1813 6604 1811 6617 1826 6616
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
922 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING...
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES
IN PUERTO RICO
CAGUAS
CIDRA
CAYEY
AGUAS BUENAS
* UNTIL 1215 PM AST
* AT 914 AM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM OVER THE WARNED AREA.
THE PUBLIC ALSO REPORTED SEVERAL AREAS OF THESE MUNICIPALITIES WITH
EITHER LOW LYING AREAS FLOODED AND SMALL STREAMS OUT OF THEIR BANKS
AND OTHER RIVER LEVELS RISING STEADILY.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CENTRAL
AGUAS BUENAS...NORTH CENTRAL CAYEY...NORTHEASTERN CIDRA AND CENTRAL
CAGUAS.
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.
LAT...LON 1825 6604 1813 6604 1811 6617 1826 6616
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1129 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
PRZ001>007-110000-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-060711T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...BAYAMON...
CAROLINA...CATANO...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...
TRUJILLO ALTO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA...
LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...RIO GRANDE...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...
PATILLAS...SALINAS...YABUCOA...AGUAS BUENAS...CAGUAS...CAYEY...
CIDRA...COMERIO...GURABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...SAN LORENZO...
ARECIBO...BARCELONETA...DORADO...FLORIDA...MANATI...VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...CIALES...COAMO...COROZAL...
JAYUYA...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS...VILLALBA...GUAYANILLA...
JUANA DIAZ...YAUCO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SANTA ISABEL
1129 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...NORTHERN PUERTO RICO AND SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...
CENTRAL INTERIOR IN EASTERN PUERTO RICO...EASTERN INTERIOR...
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST IN NORTHERN PUERTO RICO...NORTH CENTRAL
AND SAN JUAN AND VICINITY IN SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...PONCE AND
VICINITY.
* UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING
* * TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTERACTING WITH UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE REGION GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1129 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
PRZ001>007-110000-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-060711T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...BAYAMON...
CAROLINA...CATANO...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...
TRUJILLO ALTO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA...
LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...RIO GRANDE...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...
PATILLAS...SALINAS...YABUCOA...AGUAS BUENAS...CAGUAS...CAYEY...
CIDRA...COMERIO...GURABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...SAN LORENZO...
ARECIBO...BARCELONETA...DORADO...FLORIDA...MANATI...VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...CIALES...COAMO...COROZAL...
JAYUYA...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS...VILLALBA...GUAYANILLA...
JUANA DIAZ...YAUCO...PENUELAS...PONCE...SANTA ISABEL
1129 AM AST MON JUL 10 2006
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...NORTHERN PUERTO RICO AND SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...
CENTRAL INTERIOR IN EASTERN PUERTO RICO...EASTERN INTERIOR...
NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST IN NORTHERN PUERTO RICO...NORTH CENTRAL
AND SAN JUAN AND VICINITY IN SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...PONCE AND
VICINITY.
* UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING
* * TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTERACTING WITH UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE REGION GENERATING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.
PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
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cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
It turned out to be a quiet afternoon after a very stormy morning with many flash flood watches and warnings issued.Now hazy skies are the rule for the next couple of days and then we will see after wednesday what effects on our weather 96L will have.
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bvigal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2275
- Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
- Location: British Virgin Islands
- Contact:
Good morning, neighbors! A very quiet night with no rain, and haze apparent this morning. Skies are partly cloudy, the sun is shining through. Winds are mostly east and light. Temp is 82, but it will be hot today.
Luis, I noticed the NHC said there were mud slides in Puerto Rico yesterday. I hope no one was injured!
Luis, I noticed the NHC said there were mud slides in Puerto Rico yesterday. I hope no one was injured!
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
bvigal wrote:Good morning, neighbors! A very quiet night with no rain, and haze apparent this morning. Skies are partly cloudy, the sun is shining through. Winds are mostly east and light. Temp is 82, but it will be hot today.
Luis, I noticed the NHC said there were mud slides in Puerto Rico yesterday. I hope no one was injured!
Good afternoon to the fellow members and especially to bvigal.No injuries reported with the event.But some houses were inundated.Quiet next couple of days before the wave 96L moves thru.
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cycloneye
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- Posts: 139601
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Good night to all the eastern Caribbean members.Nothing important is going on tonight,only a few scattered showers moving thru the Virgin Islands and Eastern Puerto Rico.Still watching that wave (96L) to see what kind of effects it will have on thursday in Puerto Rico.
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