Texas Fall-2015

[TheProfessor]

Still ugh and miserable here in Houston....79 degrees..

You think 53 and raining all day is better weather? Being stuck inside is no fun.

53 and all rain is fine, 40 and all rain isn't.

[wxman57]

No thanks, give me 95 and sunny any day over this. I'd rather be out on my bike with a nice salty crust on my forehead.

[Tireman4]

Still ugh and miserable here in Houston....79 degrees..

You think 53 and raining all day is better weather? Being stuck inside is no fun.

53 and all rain is fine, 40 and all rain isn't.[/quot




Indoor trainer like me sir! Treadmill too...8 mile run at 5 with the windows open...heaven. last nights run was disgusting...

[Tireman4]

No thanks, give me 95 and sunny any day over this. I'd rather be out on my bike with a nice salty crust on my forehead.

35 and brisk is great running weather

[MGC]

No thanks, give me 95 and sunny any day over this. I'd rather be out on my bike with a nice salty crust on my forehead.

It was 76 today in Gulfport, perfect walk on the beach weather or if you like a bike ride. Texas can keep that cold rain......MGC

[Brent]

GFS looks pretty seasonal and quiet through about 300 hours... nothing extreme or significant and then the pattern shows more activity but it it is fantasy land.

with this showing up at 384 hours.

[wxman57]

Snow is gone from 12Z GFS - big surprise...

[hriverajr]

Looks mostly boring for the next week

[Yukon Cornelius]

Boring sounds good to me for a while. 7.5 inches of rain is fine if you are sitting inside and watching it come down but it really sucks when you have to be out in it taking care of livestock. The flooded pastures don't help either!

[Brent]

[Ntxw]

Yeah it looks like North America will be in torch mode the first halfish of December. Again we are the cooler spot compared to everyone else, where it will likely be record warmth.

More on DFW rain records (continues too break). As of 4PM today it has been the wettest November on record with 9.72" of rainfall. Previous record was 7.94 in 1918. Also 3.45" fell on Nov 27 making it the wettest November day on record. Consequently coupled with the 9.82" in October, and 2.14" in September; Fall of 2015 (SON) has received 21.68" is the wettest on record beating out 18.11" in 1981. On the heels of the second wettest spring. 58.64" of rain to date annually.

I don't want to hear North Texans complain about lack of rainfall for another 5 years . Really...it's almost two year's worth of rain crunched into one.

[Brent]

Yeah it looks like North America will be in torch mode the first halfish of December. Again we are the cooler spot compared to everyone else, where it will likely be record warmth.

More on DFW rain records (continues too break). As of 4PM today it has been the wettest November on record with 9.72" of rainfall. Previous record was 7.94 in 1918. Also 3.45" fell on Nov 27 making it the wettest November day on record. Consequently coupled with the 9.82" in October, and 2.14" in September; Fall of 2015 (SON) has received 21.68" is the wettest on record beating out 18.11" in 1981. On the heels of the second wettest spring. 58.64" of rain to date annually.

I don't want to hear North Texans complain about lack of rainfall for another 5 years . Really...it's almost two year's worth of rain crunched into one.

It's hard to believe all this rain had a big dry and hot stretch in the summer...

[Ntxw]

It's hard to believe all this rain had a big dry and hot stretch in the summer...

It's been pretty crazy and anomalous both ways.

But overall long-term trends have been quite predictable across the globe. Just look at how the year has gone. It's been quite wet across the southern tier of the US and droughty/warmer across the north when looking at the big picture, we knew it was going to flip hard again to wet. Forecasting weather many weeks and months in advance is relatively easier (no easy task to start with). You just don't get something big like Strong El Nino/La Nina to give you insights very often. This December torch has been called for by just about everybody months and months ago.

If you go to page 1 of the Texas winter thread 2015-2016 you can see what I mean by easier forecast. Seeing so relative to normal our coldest months this year will likely be February and March. CFSv2 is seeing March as the most anomalous period (against normals). Analogs agree.

[Brent]

CFSv2 certainly hinting that a pattern flip will again come:

Look at the 3rd one

[gboudx]

Lake Lavon rose 10' since Friday. Wow.

[Tireman4]

:sleeping:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... mp.new.gif

Ughh...great..major sweat jobs on my runs again....why...ughhh

[gboudx]

Ughh...great..major sweat jobs on my runs again....why...ughhh

You could do like I did and develop a severe case of posterior tibial tendinitis, combined with a to-be-diagnosed form of arthritis in the knee on the same leg. You wouldn't have to worry about sweating during runs anymore because they wouldn't happen.

[wxman57]

:sleeping:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... mp.new.gif

Ughh...great..major sweat jobs on my runs again....why...ughhh

10-day meteogram for IAH has lows in the 40s-50s and highs only into the mid 60s through December 10th. I think you'll live. Above-normal in December doesn't mean hot. Normal for December is mid-40s to mid-60s.

[Tireman4]

Ughh...great..major sweat jobs on my runs again....why...ughhh

You could do like I did and develop a severe case of posterior tibial tendinitis, combined with a to-be-diagnosed form of arthritis in the knee on the same leg. You wouldn't have to worry about sweating during runs anymore because they wouldn't happen.

Yikes...and I just have Compartment Syndrome. I hope it heals...

[Texas Snowman]

Just a reminder, we'll all be migrating over to the Texas Winter 2015-16 thread with the start of meteorological winter on December 1st.