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Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:43 am
by weatherdude1108
Cpv17 wrote:
weatherdude1108 wrote::uarrow:
You beat me to it! :D Was about to add those maps. I'll go ahead and add the 3-4 outlooks, for consistency. :lol: :ggreen:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/gifs/WK34prcp.gif


I’ve been hearing for the past couple days that things were supposed to dry out next week, but those maps don’t indicate that and that’s perfectly fine with me! :ggreen:


Me too definitely :D, especially after the long, hot and mostly dry Summer we had, give or take a week in early July and early August here when he had several days of rain, followed by hot and dry which negated any moisture benefits. I'm definitely saturated now! :)

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:43 am
by JDawg512
Been super busy but I'm pretty happy about the amount that I've received so far at the Rain Cave unlike the last time I posted. 3 and a half inches which is still lower than what many other areas have received, however as much of a Rain Miser as I am, too much too quick is not good. The rain that has fallen in my area has soaked in nicely and is beneficial.

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 12:23 pm
by Brent
already a downpour here :rain:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 2:25 pm
by Yukon Cornelius
Its 88 here today with 58% humidity and sunny skies, and it feels like an oven compared to how pleasant and overcast its been for the last week or so.

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:10 pm
by Cpv17
Beautiful

Image

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:48 pm
by weatherdude1108
Ahhhhhhhhhhhh. Rain-soaked soils and cooler temperatures.

Good Texas football weather! :Touchdown:

Image

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:55 pm
by Haris
.61” at my house today .

Total for the month now 9.73” . Amazing

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:02 pm
by Brent
Pouring here again

If this is a sign of whats to come in the fall we better build some boats :lol:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:28 pm
by TheProfessor
Got AWIPS installed in our lounge on campus today. It's gonna be a fun year. :D

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 8:05 pm
by bubba hotep
Brent wrote:already a downpour here :rain:


That morning downpour came out of nowhere it seemed like. I was trying to load up some boxes in the truck and it started out as a sprinkle and gradually got more intense until it was a legit gully washer. Now another round of downpours :notworthy:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:14 pm
by Haris
Image

lets do it again tom

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:19 pm
by Ntxw
DFW picked up a little less than half an inch or so today bringing the monthly total so far to 3.13". That guarantees an above normal September in qpf. 2013 was the last time Sept was above (barely) and you have to go back to 2010 (Hermine) to get something substantial. So after years and years of putrid Septembers, this one has been good.

Edit: of note also DFW has not hit 90 or greater since Sept 7.

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:10 pm
by Brent
Ntxw wrote:DFW picked up a little less than half an inch or so today bringing the monthly total so far to 3.13". That guarantees an above normal September in qpf. 2013 was the last time Sept was above (barely) and you have to go back to 2010 (Hermine) to get something substantial. So after years and years of putrid Septembers, this one has been good.

Edit: of note also DFW has not hit 90 or greater since Sept 7.


ooh those were interesting winters that followed

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Fri Sep 14, 2018 11:05 pm
by weatherdude1108
Got a downpour around 6:30pm today. Dumped a quick quarter to half inch. I lost count of my totals. :lol: I think 6-7 inches since Labor Day

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:12 am
by Cpv17
weatherdude1108 wrote:Got a downpour around 6:30pm today. Dumped a quick quarter to half inch. I lost count of my totals. :lol: I think 6-7 inches since Labor Day


We’ve picked up about 10” here in the past 18 days. Not too shabby :lol:

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:27 am
by Brent
looking like next weekend may be our first shot at a bigger cold front, FWD even mentioned it:

It does appear that a decent cold front will move across the state
once the upper trough axis passes on the weekend. Rain/storms will
likely accompany the cold front followed by much cooler
temperatures.

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 12:37 am
by Cpv17
Brent wrote:looking like next weekend may be our first shot at a bigger cold front, FWD even mentioned it:

It does appear that a decent cold front will move across the state
once the upper trough axis passes on the weekend. Rain/storms will
likely accompany the cold front followed by much cooler
temperatures.


There’s also a possibility that the front could stall out somewhere across the state and be a focal point for heavy rains.

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:28 am
by Ntxw
Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:looking like next weekend may be our first shot at a bigger cold front, FWD even mentioned it:

It does appear that a decent cold front will move across the state
once the upper trough axis passes on the weekend. Rain/storms will
likely accompany the cold front followed by much cooler
temperatures.


There’s also a possibility that the front could stall out somewhere across the state and be a focal point for heavy rains.


There is also prospects of an Eastern Pacific system injecting into the overall pattern with a re-curve about the same time. This to me smells like the stuff we have been waiting for (further inland).

Image

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 5:09 pm
by Cpv17
Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:looking like next weekend may be our first shot at a bigger cold front, FWD even mentioned it:

It does appear that a decent cold front will move across the state
once the upper trough axis passes on the weekend. Rain/storms will
likely accompany the cold front followed by much cooler
temperatures.


There’s also a possibility that the front could stall out somewhere across the state and be a focal point for heavy rains.


There is also prospects of an Eastern Pacific system injecting into the overall pattern with a re-curve about the same time. This to me smells like the stuff we have been waiting for (further inland).

https://images2.imgbox.com/46/4b/u8fKNrae_o.jpg


Man, that would be one awesome setup!

Re: Texas Fall 2018

Posted: Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:27 am
by Ntxw
DFW forecast this coming week is low to mid 90s for highs and low to mid 70s for lows. This would be nice...in August..however we are now in the second half of September. Those temperatures are running 5-10F above normal. Mid 80s/mid 60s is where it should be. So the Florence warmth is on. For now.