SE TX weather thread #4 - Severe weather Fri/Sat

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JenBayles
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#301 Postby JenBayles » Fri Dec 15, 2006 1:15 pm

Just started breaking up under the BC Dome around 11:30. Now it's getting HOT and steamy. Had to get the summer shorts and sleeveless shirts out. Bummer...
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#302 Postby weatherrabbit_tx » Fri Dec 15, 2006 9:11 pm

break out the tan lotion, sunglasses, and the skeeter spray :lol:
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#303 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Dec 15, 2006 9:28 pm

another dense fog advisory is out for tonight and as of 8pm, the airport visibility reports look like this:

IAH = 0.25 miles
HOOKS = 5.0 miles
HOBBY = 0.5 miles
CONROE = 7.0 miles
GALVESTON = 0.25 miles
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#304 Postby JenBayles » Sat Dec 16, 2006 12:27 pm

rabbit - you're not kidding about the skeeter spray! They invaded the house through an open window last night and I'm still swattin' 'em. Back to the shorts and tank tops today...
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#305 Postby Johnny » Sat Dec 16, 2006 9:42 pm

This weather sucks rocks!
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#306 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Dec 16, 2006 10:04 pm

visibility here is 7.9 miles.
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#307 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Dec 18, 2006 9:53 am

http://www.srh.weather.gov/productview. ... =CRPAFDCRP

http://www.srh.weather.gov/productview. ... =HGXAFDHGX

Looks like the plain ol weather is about to come to an end. Could be a decent rain event setting up over the week with decent PWS values for this time of year.

A good sign for parts of the state that really need the rain....
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#308 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Dec 18, 2006 5:31 pm

I have been under a strady downpour for the last 30-45 minutes here and it continues to get heavier and heavier. I certainly did not expect this when I went to bed last night!
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#309 Postby weatherrabbit_tx » Mon Dec 18, 2006 6:54 pm

JenBayles wrote:rabbit - you're not kidding about the skeeter spray! They invaded the house through an open window last night and I'm still swattin' 'em. Back to the shorts and tank tops today...


I do believe it and the skeeters are big enough to pick u up and take you away!
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#310 Postby JenBayles » Mon Dec 18, 2006 8:45 pm

How about dat? We got a decent rain under the Dome today. I'll take it! I'll take it! :lol:
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#311 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Dec 18, 2006 10:13 pm

JenBayles wrote:How about dat? We got a decent rain under the Dome today. I'll take it! I'll take it! :lol:



They got roof problems? :lol:
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#312 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Dec 19, 2006 6:50 am

Here is a part of the latest Houston AFD talking about the heavy rain and severe threat coming up:

EVENING ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS INCREASED SINCE
YESTERDAY WITH 850 MB DEWPOINTS OF 10-12C. MODELS SHOW A SURGE OF
EVEN DEEPER MOISTURE (PWS OF 1.5+ INCHES) SPREADING NORTH INTO
SE TX THIS AFTN AND LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE...A
DISTURBANCE IN THE SUBTROPICAL JET NEAR BAJA WILL PUSH QUICKLY
EASTWARD AND WILL MOVE ACROSS SE TX WEDNESDAY MORNING. COMBINATION
OF INCREASING LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE...HIGH
PWS...AND DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WILL FAVOR DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA TONIGHT/WED MORNING. LATEST MODEL
RUNS SHOW AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS SPREADING NORTH INTO
THE CWA LATE TONIGHT/WED MORNING AS COASTAL TROUGH MOVES INLAND.
GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS 12-18Z WEDNESDAY SHOW LIS -2 TO -4 AND
CAPES OF 1000+ SOUTH OF I-10. SHEAR PROFILE IS VERY IMPRESSIVE
WITH HELICITIES OF 150-300 M2/S2 AND PLENTY OF TURNING IN THE LOW
LEVELS. CONCERNED THAT ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER
THE COASTAL ZONES AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT...WITH A LOW END SEVERE
THREAT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY. HAVE DECIDED TO MENTION
SEVERE FOR THE COASTAL ZONES LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL MENTION THREAT
FOR LATE TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY IN THE HWOHGX. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE A POSSIBILITY. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY FAST
STORM MOTION MAY HELP TO MITIGATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
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#313 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Dec 19, 2006 8:02 am

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
643 AM CST TUE DEC 19 2006

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-201300-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
643 AM CST TUE DEC 19 2006

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL
COUNTIES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH SOUTHEAST TEXAS
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE TO
PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THE ATMOSPHERE MAY BECOME UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO FAVOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORMS OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. MINOR FLOODING OF STREETS...FEEDER
ROADS...UNDERPASSES...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAY TWO...WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH THE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY THE
EVENING HOURS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE ON WEDNESDAY. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
ISOLATED TORNADOES OR DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING
OF STREETS...FEEDER ROADS...UNDERPASSES...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

.DAY THREE...THURSDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS PRODUCING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW OF THESE
STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED
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#314 Postby JenBayles » Tue Dec 19, 2006 9:07 am

AnnularCane wrote:
JenBayles wrote:How about dat? We got a decent rain under the Dome today. I'll take it! I'll take it! :lol:



They got roof problems? :lol:


Hi there Annular! That would be the "Bear Creek Dome" over here in West Houston. You could say we have roof problems of a sort: every storm system that swings through is usually repelled by the almost permanent cap that exists over my subdivision. :lol:
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#315 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Dec 19, 2006 12:49 pm

JenBayles wrote:
Hi there Annular! That would be the "Bear Creek Dome" over here in West Houston. You could say we have roof problems of a sort: every storm system that swings through is usually repelled by the almost permanent cap that exists over my subdivision. :lol:


Hmmmmmm, I wonder why there is a cap over your area? It's forested if I recall.
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#316 Postby JenBayles » Tue Dec 19, 2006 3:49 pm

Nope - flat rice fields with mostly sun-baked squares of new construction with maybe a seedling tree stuck in the front yards. I'm in an older more established subdivision, but the general area is completely flat. We're just outside the edge of the Piney Woods but really more coastal-type plains. <puts on aluminum foil hat> It was really the ALIENS you know... :lol: :lol:
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#317 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Wed Dec 20, 2006 2:32 pm

rain and storms developing to our SW this afternoon:

Image
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#318 Postby JenBayles » Wed Dec 20, 2006 3:35 pm

Been watching that myself Extreme, and waiting to see if the Power of the Dome will hold... so far today, it has. :lol:

While Yankeegirl and I were having coffee at Starbucks yesterday, we noticed a black cloud over towards the Bear Creek Dome. Looked like it had failed for once, but nooooooo! Not a stinking drop!
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#319 Postby Janie2006 » Wed Dec 20, 2006 4:24 pm

Let no one question the power of the Dome. :notworthy:
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#320 Postby JenBayles » Wed Dec 20, 2006 5:13 pm

Janie2006 wrote:Let no one question the power of the Dome. :notworthy:


:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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