Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1044 AM AST SAT OCT 21 2006

PRZ001>006-008-009-012-013-VIZ001-002-220000-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0032.000000T0000Z-061022T0000Z/
/00000.0.OT.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-NORTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR-CULEBRA-
VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...BAYAMON...
CAROLINA...CATANO...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...
TRUJILLO ALTO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...LOIZA...
LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...RIO GRANDE...ARROYO...GUAYAMA...MAUNABO...
PATILLAS...SALINAS...YABUCOA...AGUAS BUENAS...CAGUAS...CAYEY...
CIDRA...COMERIO...GURABO...JUNCOS...LAS PIEDRAS...SAN LORENZO...
ARECIBO...BARCELONETA...DORADO...FLORIDA...MANATI...VEGA ALTA...
VEGA BAJA...AIBONITO...BARRANQUITAS...CIALES...COAMO...COROZAL...
JAYUYA...MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS...VILLALBA...AGUADILLA...
CAMUY...HATILLO...ISABELA...QUEBRADILLAS...ADJUNTAS...LARES...
LAS MARIAS...MARICAO...SABANA GRANDE...SAN SEBASTIAN...UTUADO...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES...ST THOMAS ST JOHN AND ADJACENT ISLANDS...
ST CROIX
1044 AM AST SAT OCT 21 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...NORTHERN PUERTO RICO...WESTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR IN EASTERN PUERTO
RICO...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST AND
VIEQUES IN NORTHERN PUERTO RICO...NORTH CENTRAL AND SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO...NORTHWEST AND WESTERN INTERIOR
IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN AND
ADJACENT ISLANDS.

* UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING

* THE BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS MOVED WEST OF THE
ISLANDS BUT A MOIST FLOW FROM THE SOUTH CONTINUES. THE
INSTABILITY PROVIDED BY THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER HISPANIOLA WILL
ALLOW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ALREADY
SATURATED GROUND OF CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS. THE MOIST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THESE
ISLANDS TODAY WITH A TREND TO DECREASE PAST THE WEEKEND.

* HEAVY RAIN IN THESE AREAS WILL MOST LIKELY RAISE RIVER AND GUT
LEVELS TO BANK-FULL OR JUST ABOVE FOR BRIEF PERIODS...AND MAY
CAUSE SOME MUDSLIDES. LOW LYING AREAS AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS
WILL ALSO BE VERY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. SOME AREAS IN SAINT
CROIX HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND THESE AREAS
WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDER PASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE ROCK AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

Flood watch has been extended in time until 8 PM and includes Culebra.

[caribepr]

Boy! It's all blue skies and hot here right now! It will be interesting to see what happens...

[cycloneye]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 211953
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
353 PM AST SAT OCT 21 2006

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE COVERS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AS A DEEP
LAYERED GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW PREVAILS. ALTHOUGH THERE IS
ABUNDANT MOISTURE...WITH MORNING SOUNDING AND STLT DERIVED PW
VALUES ALL SHOWING IN EXCESS OF 2.2 INCHES...THIS NEARLY
HOMOGENEOUS LAYER OF NEARLY STRAIGHT LINE SLY FLOW...AND LACK OF
SHEAR ALOFT ARE NOT ALLOWING FOR SUFFICIENT CONVERGENCE TO PRODUCE
MORE THAN SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY. I FEEL THIS WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE LOCAL AREA FROM
SEEING WIDESPREAD OR ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING.

CARIBBEAN MONSOON HAS BEEN IN FULL SWING THIS PAST WEEK...WITH THE
LLVL TROF NOW EXTENDING FROM THE TROPICAL EPAC...NE ACROSS CENTRAL
AMERICA...AND THEN CONTINUING NE ACROSS JAMAICA...W HISPANIOLA...
AND TO A LLVL VORT NORTH OF P.R. INVOF 23.5N 65.5W. ITCZ LIKE
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FIRE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIB ON S SIDE OF
TROF IN WSW MONSOONAL FLOW. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS CONVERGING WITH SLY FLOW ACROSS THE EAST CARIB ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL WAVE LONG LOST IN
TRANSLATION. UPPER HIGH CENTERED OVER THE EXTREME N LEEWARD
ISLANDS IS VENTING THIS CONVECTION NICELY ACROSS THE E CARIB...AND
IT IS THIS WEATHER THAT WILL THREATEN THE LOCAL AREA OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. GFS...AND THE NAM...WHICH HAS HANDLED THIS
MONSOON PATTERN RATHER NICELY...BOTH SHOW THE HIGHEST LLVL
MOISTURE CONTENT AND LLVL CONVERGENCE SHIFTING FROM THIS WEATHER
ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN...NW INTO SE AND S P.R. TONIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. RECENT STLT IMAGERY TRENDS WOULD SUGGEST THIS
OCCURRING MORE ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND E/SE P.R. UPPER HIGH
IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY WWD OVERNIGHT AND ACROSS P.R. ON
SUNDAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE ONLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS ALOFT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA NEXT 24-36HRS. THUS...VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS WILL
ADVECT INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND WIDELY SCATTERED TSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE LOCAL
AREA...BUT EXTREME RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF A FEW INCHES ARE NOT
EXPECTED ATTM. REGARDLESS...LOCAL SOILS ARE SATURATED...RIVER LEVELS
ABOVE NORMAL...AND WE STILL HAVE NO NWS 88D RADAR...SO A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA UNTIL 8 PM. ST
CROIX REMAINS PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE AS THEY HAVE BEEN THE
HARDEST HIT OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS IN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

LLVL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY BACK TO A MORE ELY FLOW OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS MONSOONAL PATTERN BREAKS DOWN...BUT AMPLE
MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION FOR GOOD RAIN CHANCES NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.



Today sunny skies (Surprise) prevailed in San Juan but late afternoon brought more clouds but no rain.It rained in the mountains of interior PR but not the rainfall totals of the last few days.But as they say it's not over as plenty of moist air is in the area so rainy periods will be present in the next few days.

[caribepr]

It's dry and windless here...well maybe a tiny breeze, but not much. The mosquitos have hatched and it is unbearable outside of screens. Some rain would be just fine.

[cycloneye]

More rain than yesterday is falling in interiorwestern PR.Also in SE PR some rain is falling too.But so far San Juan has not seen rain.Let's see during the rest of this afternoon what occurs.

[caribepr]

We got rain last night and this morning, around 6. Enough to stand on the already saturated ground. But for now it's blue skies, puffy grey and white clouds and a bit of a breeze. And eight zillion more mosquitos...

[cycloneye]

FXCA62 TJSJ 272008
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
408 PM AST FRI OCT 27 2006

.DISCUSSION...DIVERGENCE IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE
COMBINED WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND SOME CONVERGENCE OF THE
LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...LED TO THE
DEVELOPMENT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER ACTIVITY AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. WITH
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR CONTINUED SHOWER ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO
LAST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WENT AHEAD AND INCREASED THE
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING HORUS.

THE ANTICIPATED TROPICAL WAVE...APPROACHING THE ANTILLES THIS
AFTERNOON...IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS BY LATE
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE LINGERS THIS WAVE ACROSS
PUERTO RICO THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE PUSHING THIS WAVE
AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA. EXPECT AND
INCREASE IN WINDS AND WEATHER WITH THIS WAVE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS TOMORROW
THROUGH SUNDAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST
BEYOND DAY THREE.


Today it was a rainy day especially in the afternoon.As the discussion says it looks like a rather wet weekend so let's watch this wave that may try to develop in the Caribbean sea.

[cycloneye]

It has been a dry spell here in San Juan for almost 2 weeks.But it looks like a more normal pattern will establish in the next few days with more rain that is now needed.

This wednesday before thanksgiving day it's sunny with 80*F.

[cycloneye]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 252042
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
442 PM AST SAT NOV 25 2006

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN
TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ON TUESDAY. A SECOND TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH ON MONDAY.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES IN OVER THE CARIBBEAN FROM
THE TROPICAL CENTRAL ATLANTIC UNTIL A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER FLORIDA ON MONDAY
WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON FRIDAY...AND A CUTOFF LOW WILL
FORM NORTHEAST OF GUADELOUPE.

AT LOWER LEVELS...LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AT 30
DEGREES NORTH IS BEING SQUEEZED BY A HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND ANOTHER JUST EAST OF MASSACHUSETTS. A TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO A LOW IN THE
SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN THAT HAS TAKEN UP LONG TERM RESIDENCE. THIS
TROUGH WILL PASS OVER THE LOCAL AREA EARLY MONDAY AND CONTINUE
EAST CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST. ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE
HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF MASSACHUSETTS WILL BE REINFORCED FROM THE
NORTH AND FILL THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
AFTER THE TROUGH PASSAGE WITH THIS INCREASE IN GRADIENT. THE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL HAVE 1037 MB AT 28 NORTH 47 WEST BY FRIDAY. THE SAME
TROUGH THAT PASSED PUERTO RICO ON MONDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC AHEAD OF THE HIGH PRESSURE BUT WILL STALL IN THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC EAST OF US ON FRIDAY. IT WILL THEN REVERSE COURSE
AND RETURN TO JUST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON MONDAY IN THE
EASTERLY FLOW OFF OF AFRICA. THIS WILL PROLONG THE NORTHEAST FLOW
OVER THE AREA.


&&

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES STREAMING OVER THE AREA FROM THE
EAST AND EAST SOUTHEAST...PROVIDING SHOWERS ON THE EAST COAST IN
THE EARLY MORNINGS AND CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST AND
NORTH CENTRAL COASTAL PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
CONTINUES WITH SOME VARIATIONS ON SUNDAY...MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...WITH A FINAL BAND OF MOISTURE ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THEN...A
DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. THE GFS40
TIME HEIGHT SECTIONS OVER SAN JUAN SHOWS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PASSAGE HERALDED BY VERY STRONG CHANGES IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE.
WINDS AT 300 MB AT 12Z ON TUESDAY ARE 45 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
ON WEDNESDAY AT 18Z THEY SWITCH TO 45 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY GOES FROM 90 PERCENT TO NEAR ZERO AT THE SAME
HEIGHT DURING THE SAME TIME SPAN. WHILE THE LOW LEVEL EFFECTS WILL
NOT BE NEARLY AS DRAMATIC IT WILL HAVE THE EFFECT OF CHANGING THE
CHARACTER OF OUR SHOWERS FROM TYPICAL TROPICAL...TO SHALLOW...
LIGHT...AND RAPIDLY MOVING...EARLY WINTER TYPE SHOWERS...THAT WILL NOT
PENETRATE FAR INTO THE ISLAND. TWO THINGS BRING SOME UNCERTAINTY
TO THE FORECAST. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IN THE STRENGTH AND POSITION
OF THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DURING THE COMING WEEK IS HIGH...THE
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS AT 850 MB AND THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE PRESENT
MAY BOTH BE OVER-DONE...AND LEAD TO LESS SHOWER ACTIVITY THAN
FORECAST. ALSO IF WINDS ARE AS STRONG AS FORECAST...SHOWERS WILL NOT
LIKELY FORM IN THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOONS...BUT MAY
ACTUALLY BY PUSHED INTO THE CARIBBEAN OR SIMPLY NOT FORM AT ALL.
NEVERTHELESS FREQUENT SHOWERS ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OFTEN RESULT
FROM STRONG NORTHEAST FLOW WITH VERY GOOD...THOUGH
SHALLOW...MOISTURE IN HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS BEHIND COLD
FRONTS...AND THIS SEEMS TO BE THE SHAPE OF THINGS COMING UP.


&&

.MARINE...BRISK WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL STIR UP THE ATLANTIC
WATERS BEGINNING ON TUESDAY AND PEAKING ON FRIDAY. THEN SWELL FROM
THE NORTHEAST WITH 8 TO 10 SECOND PERIODS WILL KEEP SEAS HIGH
BEYOND THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL BE MOSTLY
SHELTERED BY THE ISLANDS...BUT PASSAGES COULD SEE WAVES AS HIGH AS
8 TO 10 FEET THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE WAVE WATCH SHOWS SEAS OF 14
FEET ON THURSDAY IN THE ATLANTIC...WINDS ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE AS
HIGH AS IT IS FORECASTING. NEVERTHELESS WAVES AS HIGH AS 10 FEET
COULD BE POSSIBLE AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF A HIGH SURF ADVISORY KEEPS
INCREASING AS WE NEAR THAT TIME FRAME.


&&

.AVIATION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSAGE. AT WHICH
TIME WINDS WILL INCREASE LEADING TO TURBULENCE OVER THE INTERIOR
AND POSSIBLY SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT LOCAL AIRPORTS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. SHOWERS WILL ALSO THEN BECOME MORE SHALLOW WITH
FEWER THUNDERSTORMS EXCEPT POSSIBLY ONE OR TWO IN THE SOUTHWEST
PART OF PUERTO RICO. MOISTURE WILL RETURN SOMEWHAT ON THE FIRST
MONDAY OF DECEMBER.

This is what we can expect in the next few days.A more moist pattern and also breezy.I like when the winter pattern comes to Puerto Rico a lot.

[caribepr]

Me too! A bunch of us were saying tonight, what happened to the wind? What happened to the cooler air? Today was hot and windless...we want it to c'mon back!

[cycloneye]

Mj,here comes the front. Winter weather for us from tommorow.But watch out for the waves as they will go up to around 8-11 feet starting on Wednesday.It's already breezy here.

[caribepr]

Yahoo!!!! I was in Fajardo today for a protest against Victor Gonzales who is a really bad guy tearing up places all over PR and Culebra, and noticed it right away (6:30 a.m ferry) and the trip home at 3 was beautiful. I was afraid we'd lost that cool air, Saturday and Sunday being freaking hot again and no wind.
The surfers will be out for sure! Enjoy, I sure will.

[cycloneye]

Fabulous winter weather for today.Rain and a fresh breeze here overnight and this morning.



Mj look at that radar how good it looks with the rain that is moving from the Northnortheast.

[caribepr]

Strange weather here Luis...rainy this morning, a little, then sun (a FANTASTIC huge rainbow), then cloudy. Then the wind picked up so much it was almost chilly. Now it has died down and the sun is back out. Sheesh!

[cycloneye]

The winds haved picked up this afternoon and they are fresh winds from the Northeast.It's variable in San Juan with rain in the morning and more sun this afternoon.But clouds are rolling in from the ocean and I can see some showers with the more bigger clouds on the ocean.

[cycloneye]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 281944
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
344 PM AST TUE NOV 28 2006

.DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH WEATHER WAS REPORTED OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
OF PUERTO RICO LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF
THE SHOWER CONCENTRATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO WERE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS PRODUCED
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES. ALTHOUGH NOT MUCH
WEATHER HAD BEEN REPORTED OVER PUERTO RICO WE STILL EXPECT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF PUERTO RICO THROUGH LATE
EVENING. ON WEDNESDAY A HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD OVER THE
LOCAL AREA. THE GFS AND THE ETA MODEL ARE SUGGESTING A
SIGNIFICANT DROP ON MOISTURE BUT ENOUGH WILL BE AVAILABLE TO
INTERACT WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHERN COAST OF PUERTO
RICO. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
EASTWARD...WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY. SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUST ALONG
LA CORDILLERA CENTRAL.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
SOUTHEAST AND MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...PUSHING THE
REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS
ON WEDNESDAY.


&&

.MARINE...DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT
AS WINDS AND SEAS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE ACROSS ALL LOCAL
WATERS. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT MARINE CONDITIONS DETERIORATING AS
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH THE +20 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
PRODUCING CONFUSES SEAS FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THEREFORE A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.



The discussion says it all about what to expect in the next dew says.Mj,for the first time in almost 10 months,I will use a blanket at bed tonight.I love it like this.I would want this kind of weather to stay all year around.

[caribepr]

Well, the rain came in last night! I'd gone out with some friends from St. Croix and the wind was absolutely cool and strong. We were chilly! Then after I got home it rained really hard. Yep, perfect sleeping weather!
I got my blanket out last week, but only used it two nights and put it away...it's out agaain now!
Wouldn't this temperature be GREAT all year??? Maybe we'd take it for granted though, if we didn't have the horrible heat...and tourists would be here year round!

[cycloneye]

It has been a winter day with fresh NE wind,some showers moving rapidly and very choppy seas.


000
FXCA62 TJSJ 291948
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
348 PM AST WED NOV 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE LOCAL
FORECAST AREA WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS REMAIN LOW AS
WINDS CONTINUED TO BE AT AROUND 20 MPH WITH AN OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUST.
THE GFS MODEL SUGGEST WINDS INCREASING EVEN MORE LATER TONIGHT.

A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE AND TIGHTER SURFACE GRADIENT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
LOCAL FORECAST AREA...AFFECTING MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO. THIS WEATHER SCENARIO WILL NOT CHANGE THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY AS THE GFS AND THE ESTA MODELS MAINTAINS A NORTHEAST FLOW
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. THEREFORE THE NIGHTTIME AND MORNING
SHOWER REGIME WILL PERSISTS THROUGH THE INCOMING WEEKEND.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS EN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE USVI.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST
OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES AND NORTHEASTERN U.S. COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...AND EXTENDED EAST AND SOUTHEASTWARD TO A COLD FRONT
STRETCHING FROM THE EAST CENTRAL ATLANTIC...SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
SHIFT EAST AND SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND...AND BUILD ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION.

&&

.MARINE.....THIS PREVAILING HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE A FRESH TO
STRONG EAST NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW. LOCAL COASTAL SEAS WILL CONTINUE
TO DETERIORATE RAPIDLY THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH HIGH SEAS PREVAILING
ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS INTO THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY ISSUES FOR ALL LOCAL WATERS.



It has been a winter day with fresh NE wind,some showers moving rapidly and very choppy seas.It looks like this winter pattern will persist thru the weekend.

[caribepr]

The ferry Atlantis had an engine catch on fire today....friends just back from US were on it. Jane said, I just was so glad we didn't have to change boats in those seas!!! They got the fire put out quickly but such a drag!!! Atlantis was our *fast* ferry, taking a bit more than an hour instead of an hour and a half, Fajardo to home. We'll probably not see it again for a long time.
The winds are still blowing hard, it's so beautiful!

[cycloneye]

Great winter weather continues here with fresh winds,maybe somewhat strong,showers that move rapidly and very high seas.