Texas Spring 2024

[txtwister78]

Big storm with hail moving through San Antonio

Yep, several reports of quarter to golf ball size hail across SA this hour. HRRR did a pretty good job indicating the potential for an isolated severe storm impacting SA this evening.

Sure did. Temps reaching close to 90 really helped to destabilize the atmosphere. Once that storm hit Hondo it really took off.

[Edwards Limestone]

3/4 of the radars in the US down tonight. Hacked maybe?

Not great NWS…not great.

[Ntxw]

A little encouraging news the last 24 hours worth of models runs have trended that some parts of Texas might split the gap on eclipse day between systems. An earlier ULL should depart and perhaps help with some subsidence before the SW trough kicks in. Fingers crossed we keep trending a better!

[rwfromkansas]

I don't normally go to the main Storm2k page, just load this thread only. But, I discovered the eclipse model page yesterday. It does seem to be trending better the last few runs for North TX at least. Still cloudy, but 30-40 percent is much better than 70-80. Should be able to see enough if that's accurate.

I assume it will still get dark even if cloudy, just won't see the sun. Lol.

[ElectricStorm]

Need to watch Saturday 4/6 for the next chance of severe weather. SPC has added a 15% area for day 5, but the GFS has been trending faster the last few runs adding greater uncertainty. I have concerns about instability and moisture, and don't expect this to be a big event at all, but it could end up being a nice slight risk day. Something to watch.

[aspen]

A little encouraging news the last 24 hours worth of models runs have trended that some parts of Texas might split the gap on eclipse day between systems. An earlier ULL should depart and perhaps help with some subsidence before the SW trough kicks in. Fingers crossed we keep trending a better!

Yeah it seems like the models have been trending stronger with a system over the Plains, which brings more rain on Sunday but in exchange drags in a dry slot over parts of Texas and Arkansas on Monday. If this holds, we’d only have to worry about the thickness of upper-level clouds. Also the formation of additional storms from the jet streak would get pushed back, so I might not have the worry about flight delays and turbulence on my fight home Tuesday morning.

I just need it to be clear enough for photos of totality. Clear would be ideal, but I think I should still be able to get shots with my setup if the only clouds are upper-level outflow and not too thick

[Stratton23]

Fingers crossed the models keep trending drier for monday! I think we can all agree the rain can stay far far away from the state on that day

[Anti-freeze]

3/4 of the radars in the US down tonight. Hacked maybe?

Not great NWS…not great.

It's amazingly how routinely craptastically bad the NWS internet radar is. Trying to follow the eastern tornadoes on national but I'm getting the usual squares of either missing radar or missing alert outlines, that randomly appear and disappear as I zoom in or out, but rarely can get everything to show. That is nothing new, has been happening for months, but more frequently lately. I don't think Google Chrome on a Win11 laptop is an exotic combo (probably one of the most popular). Similar problems often on my Android phone. Last night DFW high res radar was losing resolution and I had to reset it. Twice in 45 minutes.

Probably IT underfunded while $$$ going to politicized projects.

[Brent]

The CMC apparently has way less clouds for the eclipse than the GFS Euro. The TV met did say he was more optimistic than he has been

[Iceresistance]

I posted this, filmed on 4.1 (Not an April Fools Joke)



Link: https://youtu.be/n6luQXTuOY4

[rwfromkansas]

So the models are trending well for the eclipse, except the NBM is going the other way. Not great, but I think that model starts very conservative and slow to ramp up in general due to its nature, so unless it goes up even more, it may not be a lost cause.

[Brent]

SPC put up a severe risk for eclipse day but it appears to be mostly after the eclipse. Hopefully...

[cstrunk]

One good effect that the solar eclipse itself creates, is that as the sun continues to be covered, there is less solar radiation and surface heating which can cause cumulus clouds to dissipate. Now this probably doesn't help if we're socked in with mid-upper level clouds, but hopefully if there's cumulus clouds around it may help.

[Brent]

Not ideal outside of a spot in Illinois and Maine it's pretty blah everywhere actually and I thought the northeast was good yesterday

[aspen]

GFS is a little worse today but is still showing dry mid to low-levels (>400 mb) for Dallas on eclipse day. Storms don’t start popping until late in the afternoon at the earliest it seems. The longer that dry air sticks around, the better odds of Texas only having to deal with some upper-level clouds, which hopefully shouldn’t impede viewing and photography all that much.

[cajungal]

GFS is a little worse today but is still showing dry mid to low-levels (>400 mb) for Dallas on eclipse day. Storms don’t start popping until late in the afternoon at the earliest it seems. The longer that dry air sticks around, the better odds of Texas only having to deal with some upper-level clouds, which hopefully shouldn’t impede viewing and photography all that much.

I wish today was Eclipse day. Both gorgeous here in SE Louisiana and where I will be for the eclipse 50 miles east of Dallas. Point, Texas. Lake Tawakoni

[Brent]

GFS is a little worse today but is still showing dry mid to low-levels (>400 mb) for Dallas on eclipse day. Storms don’t start popping until late in the afternoon at the earliest it seems. The longer that dry air sticks around, the better odds of Texas only having to deal with some upper-level clouds, which hopefully shouldn’t impede viewing and photography all that much.

I wish today was Eclipse day. Both gorgeous here in SE Louisiana and where I will be for the eclipse 50 miles east of Dallas. Point, Texas. Lake Tawakoni

Oh I know... Not a cloud in the sky

[Iceresistance]

GFS is a little worse today but is still showing dry mid to low-levels (>400 mb) for Dallas on eclipse day. Storms don’t start popping until late in the afternoon at the earliest it seems. The longer that dry air sticks around, the better odds of Texas only having to deal with some upper-level clouds, which hopefully shouldn’t impede viewing and photography all that much.

I wish today was Eclipse day. Both gorgeous here in SE Louisiana and where I will be for the eclipse 50 miles east of Dallas. Point, Texas. Lake Tawakoni

Oh I know... Not a cloud in the sky

I so wished it was today as well!

[rwfromkansas]

Another bright sunny day before clouds destroy an event that hasn't happened in lifetimes.

[aspen]

Another bright sunny day before clouds destroy an event that hasn't happened in lifetimes.

And of course the day before will be sunny, and it’s clouding up in typically the least cloudy state in April.

I should’ve gone to upstate NY instead of flying halfway across the country.