STORM2K

TORNADO WARNING for Tallahassee, FL Until 12 PM EST/11 AM CST!

TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU LIVE IN Tallahassee, FL!

This storm is moving East at 55 mph, not very much time to get down!

TORNADO ON THE GROUND HEADING INTO TALLAHASSEE, FL!!!!!


PDS TORNADO WARNING FOR TALLAHASSEE, FL

The Tornado has blown through the South Side of Tallahassee, FL

Damage reported near the TLH Airport & through Southwood

Weather Dude wrote:https://mobile.twitter.com/CityofTLH/status/1354482737688797184

What does that say?

I can't get on to Twitter

Iceresistance wrote:

Weather Dude wrote:https://mobile.twitter.com/CityofTLH/status/1354482737688797184

What does that say?

I can't get on to Twitter

Some airport damage

Today is a prime example of why every level of risk needs to be taken seriously. Even marginals

Weather Dude wrote:Today is a prime example of why every level of risk needs to be taken seriously. Even marginals

I don't take ANY chances with any severe weather risk either.

One time a few years ago, there was a Marginal Risk for severe storms, but there was 80 mph winds & Golf Ball size hail

Fortunately for Tallahassee, it doesn't appear to have been a very strong tornado. Based on the damage pics I've seen, I don't see how they can rate it anything higher than EF1. The radar site was hit and was down for a bit but it's back up now and fully operational. Still though, 2 major cities taking a hit 2 days apart is something nobody wants to see.

Preliminary survey has rated the Tallahassee storm an EF0.

I have been monitoring patterns of previous years to this one and it does not bode well. I was mistaken in my previous post about an inactive 2021 storm season with a pattern shaping up with consistent cold air to the East and warm air to the west. With a powerful jet stream prevailing south east, shear will be perfect for shaping rotating storms embedded within fronts spawned by the Atmospheric river feeding into the west USA. Buckle up storm2k.

InfernoFlameCat wrote:I have been monitoring patterns of previous years to this one and it does not bode well. I was mistaken in my previous post about an inactive 2021 storm season with a pattern shaping up with consistent cold air to the East and warm air to the west. With a powerful jet stream prevailing south east, shear will be perfect for shaping rotating storms embedded within fronts spawned by the Atmospheric river feeding into the west USA. Buckle up storm2k.

Does that mean we are going to have another 2019 Storm Season?

There is no science to this post whatsoever, but I have noticed that over the past decade or so, the odd years have been more active/impactful for severe weather/tornadoes than the even years (with the possible exception of 2015/16) in the plains. Not like the even years were not significant (for the most part...looking at you 2018), but for whatever reason, the odds have out performed the evens recently. Again, no science at all here, just an observation. We'll see if 2021 continues that trend. Again this is just for the plains and not the whole country.

Weather Dude wrote:There is no science to this post whatsoever, but I have noticed that over the past decade or so, the odd years have been more active/impactful for severe weather/tornadoes than the even years (with the possible exception of 2015/16) in the plains. Not like the even years were not significant (for the most part...looking at you 2018), but for whatever reason, the odds have out performed the evens recently. Again, no science at all here, just an observation. We'll see if 2021 continues that trend. Again this is just for the plains and not the whole country.

2013, 2019, 1999, 2003, & 2007 were bad in Oklahoma

(Don't forget 2010!)

Watching Saturday for a very small chance for severe weather in the NE OK, SE KS, and SW MO area. There won't be much of a moisture return due to the cold shot over the last couple of days but there will still be a limited change at a few severe storms. SPC has a general T-storm risk for Saturday right now but I could see us possibly getting a marginal out of this. It won't be much as it's January but we would be talking about something big if this was later in the spring.

Marginal Risk for NE Oklahoma, SW Missouri & NW Arkansas for 65 mph winds & maybe a Tornado

Well today was quite the marginal risk event in NE OK/SE KS/SW MO. At one point there were 6 tornado warnings active at once... Definitely would have verified as a slight risk.

Weather Dude wrote:Well today was quite the marginal risk event in NE OK/SE KS/SW MO. At one point there were 6 tornado warnings active at once... Definitely would have verified as a slight risk.

Also 2 tornado reports in Nowata County, OK

All the tornado action was NE of me today but we still ended up with a few storms at my location. The problem is, if we're getting a day like this in a marginal risk in January... how bad is it going to be in April and May...

Weather Dude wrote:All the tornado action was NE of me today but we still ended up with a few storms at my location. The problem is, if we're getting a day like this in a marginal risk in January... how bad is it going to be in April and May...

I don't know, but this is looking like a bad storm season.