Texas Spring 2023

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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#401 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Mar 16, 2023 1:45 pm

Cells firing along the dryline west of DFW.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#402 Postby Quixotic » Thu Mar 16, 2023 1:49 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Quixotic wrote:Been here 12 years. Only the second time the basketball goal went over.


Was the first time when y'all recorded that tornado and NWS told y'all to shove it?

ETA: IIRC, I thought it was a legit tornado.


Sorry just saw this. No because it was just off to the south. My son saw it and got the video. It was a legit TOG. Power flashes. May of 2015. I have on YouTube somewhere.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#403 Postby Edwards Limestone » Thu Mar 16, 2023 1:57 pm

Furman! Cannot believe that game...March Madness baby
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#404 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:07 pm

Cells coming off the dryline are a mixed bag. Looks like the northern couple of cells are struggling, but the cell due west of DFW looks to be getting its act together rather quickly.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#405 Postby Quixotic » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:08 pm

I normally take these with a grain of salt but got bad vibes about this setup.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#406 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:18 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Cells coming off the dryline are a mixed bag. Looks like the northern couple of cells are struggling, but the cell due west of DFW looks to be getting its act together rather quickly.


That cell west of DFW went from fledgling updraft to anvil with overshooting tops with the quickness.

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#407 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:24 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Cells coming off the dryline are a mixed bag. Looks like the northern couple of cells are struggling, but the cell due west of DFW looks to be getting its act together rather quickly.


That cell west of DFW went from fledgling updraft to anvil with overshooting tops with the quickness.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrXSIqOaUAUA-_u?format=jpg&name=small


What's the expected storm motion for these?

I'm not liking the placement of that one......
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#408 Postby TarrantWx » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:30 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Cells coming off the dryline are a mixed bag. Looks like the northern couple of cells are struggling, but the cell due west of DFW looks to be getting its act together rather quickly.


That cell west of DFW went from fledgling updraft to anvil with overshooting tops with the quickness.


The couplet on that storm is really tightening up. Wouldn't be surprised to see it go TOR warned soon.

ETA: It actually looks a little less impressive in the last couple frames
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#409 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:38 pm

SPC removed the 10% tornado area, probably due to the cooler conditions/less instability from the earlier convection.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#410 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 16, 2023 2:38 pm

TarrantWx wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Cells coming off the dryline are a mixed bag. Looks like the northern couple of cells are struggling, but the cell due west of DFW looks to be getting its act together rather quickly.


That cell west of DFW went from fledgling updraft to anvil with overshooting tops with the quickness.


The couplet on that storm is really tightening up. Wouldn't be surprised to see it go TOR warned soon.

ETA: It actually looks a little less impressive in the last couple frames


The couplet is still there, it could be going on a Mesocyclone Replacement Cycle.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#411 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:07 pm

Severe threat ramping up across DFW (mean looking storm/hailer approaching Mineral Wells), but the HRRR is still delivering its own version of "don't stop believing" for snow if you're in the South Central Texas region. I refuse to believe the snow making into the SA metro for now but nonetheless I may not have to drive too far. Crazy!

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#412 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:16 pm

Mineral Wells is getting hammered.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#413 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:20 pm

Definitely seeing some weak rotation per radar now with the storm moving east toward Fort Worth approaching Weatherford (monster storm).

Edit: Those splits are typically not a good sign with the "right mover" now heading toward Fort Worth. At a minimum big hail producer. Heads up Forth Worth region
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#414 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:28 pm

Several Fort Worth TXDOT Cameras have a good visual of the Fort Worth Supercell, that thing is mean.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#415 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:29 pm

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#416 Postby Ntxw » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:30 pm

Hailer..yay. Claims.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#417 Postby Ntxw » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:33 pm

Velocity is showing in the hook. Probably tor warned soon.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#418 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:36 pm

We have our cars in the garage, but we just replaced a bunch of shingles from the last wind storm.

We are having to change insurance policies because they are jacking up our rate by almost $1500 a year despite no claims. But, that means we now will have a 2% deductible on wind/hail roof damage instead of 1%.

I think I am north of where any potential tornado will go through, but this storm looks nasty.

So nasty I may pull out the old PC I never use to just use GRlevelx.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#419 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:37 pm

For those interested Reed Timmer is live chasing the storm approaching Fort Worth via YouTube/Facebook stream.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#420 Postby Quixotic » Thu Mar 16, 2023 3:42 pm

Ntxw wrote:Hailer..yay. Claims.


No. Just had the roof done. 1% deductible is a lot.
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