Texas Summer 2024

[South Texas Storms]

Sitting here watching all the Beryl models and discussions and keeping an eye on local Mets. Still can’t decide if we’re gonna be dry, wet or flooded on the east side of Austin…

Most likely scenario is little to no rain from Beryl in SA, Austin, and Dallas. Unfortunate but not surprising.

[txtwister78]

Sitting here watching all the Beryl models and discussions and keeping an eye on local Mets. Still can’t decide if we’re gonna be dry, wet or flooded on the east side of Austin…

Most likely scenario is little to no rain from Beryl in SA, Austin, and Dallas. Unfortunate but not surprising.

True, but I'd bet folks across these areas today are enjoying this. Glass half full approach.

 https://x.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1809665996183208249

[Ntxw]

Yeah it looks like the areas along I-45 corridor that has seen a lot of rain this year will get drenched again. I'll take an inch or two!

[A1A]

0.78 in central Austin

[txtwister78]

SA metro getting some good pockets of rain now.

 https://x.com/i/status/1809736177936720067

[txtwister78]

Beryl is once again looking rough tonight. Hasn't been able to shake the dry air/shear and it's showing.

[utpmg]

0.78 in central Austin

Ha! Not me, just .3" and I'm just east of 35.
Kind of odd training went on, isolated pockets e.g., 3-4" just west of Llano, 2-3" near Johnson City. No complaints, it'll all help the lake.

[Portastorm]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

[Bhow]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

Just have to laugh seeing rain bands surviving the trek to Dallas today but couldn't survive long enough to make it to Austin lol. It's honestly shocking how close Austin will be to the center of this storm and will likely not receive a drop, you would think we would atleast get an outer rain band or two.

[Shoshana]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

Harvey was one of the few, I think it was still a cat1 over our house, but I agree!

[txtwister78]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

True. Funny that it was a trough however in July that did us in here, although we probably would've missed south to your point had it not been in place and high pressure dominated.

Typically, we look to August and early September as our peak time periods to watch, however to your point regarding the Pacific, we've definitely had our share of impacts from that region. One event (unfortunately both costly and tragic) that I'm sure you remember was the October flood of 98 (Hurricane Madeline influence). Frontal boundary with remnants of Madeline moving up created disaster.

On the bright aside, some areas yesterday did pretty well overall despite the scattered nature of the storms. Some healthy 2–4-inch totals with potentially more activity on Tuesday possible.

[South Texas Storms]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

You're right Porta, it sure does seem like south central TX almost always misses out on being impacted by tropical system. It takes the perfect scenario for a system to hit the mid TX coast and track WNW into our area. Almost always turns northward and passes east like Beryl or is shunted due west passing well south of us like Alberto.

[Cpv17]

As it relates to rain from tropical systems, those of us in south central Texas do better with recurving/Mexican Pacific coast land calling systems during El Niño. Beryl is Example no. 6,425 (it feels like) where we end up with little or nothing from a Gulf cane. However, those Nino Pacific storms in the fall have resulted in some epic flood events. Plus, given the time of year, they also will combine with frontal boundaries to add to the rain party.

Very few Gulf storms in my 40 years here (Austin area) have resulted in healthy rainfall totals. It’s usually a SE Texas event or a Rio Grande Valley event.

Best of luck to our members in SE Texas tomorrow, Stay safe!

You're right Porta, it sure does seem like south central TX almost always misses out on being impacted by tropical system. It takes the perfect scenario for a system to hit the mid TX coast and track WNW into our area. Almost always turns northward and passes east like Beryl or is shunted due west passing well south of us like Alberto.

It’s hard for a TC to get as far W as Texas period. That’s why so many of them hit LA and points east of there.

[funster]

East Dallas may get a little rain if Beryl continues its strong northward component. South Texas getting so many power outages. 2.5 million without power and counting :-O do not envy them

[cstrunk]

Tornado warnings are blowing up across East Texas and Western Louisiana. Several tornado debris signatures currently in progress.

[IcyTundra]

Wind gusts up to 75 mph at my house earlier this morning. Somehow I didn’t lose power.

[opticsguy]

Multiple tornadoes in far East TX.\

[Ralph's Weather]

Wild afternoon in East Texas with many tornadoes and wind gusts likely above 50mph across Deep East Texas. Plenty of rain also with some likely to get 6 plus inches. Thankfully the center is tracking a bit south so Tyler is not too bad with heavy rain and winds gusting in the 30s to 40s.

[Brent]

Most tornado warnings ever in Shreveports CWA apparently

Just a couple showers here

[WeatherNewbie]

East Dallas may get a little rain if Beryl continues its strong northward component. South Texas getting so many power outages. 2.5 million without power and counting :-O do not envy them

might be the exact opposite. dallas may get dry slotted and the westplex is picking up rain from one of the outer bands wrapping around now.