Texas Spring 2026

[rwfromkansas]

I think there is a fair amount of hysteria about climate change, 10 year predictions of ice free poles and large sea level rises that don't happen.


OTOH. there seems a lot more red than blue on SST anomaly maps the past few years. It may not be all anthropogenic but there sure seems to be oceanic warming.

Yep, it's a cycle. I read a book in the library as a kid in the 90s that predicted a new ice age. It was written in the 70s and due to the patterns then, that's what was seen.

[rwfromkansas]

On a non-weather note, the June bugs are just awful this year. Anybody else notice this? They are taking over my yard. Never seen this before.

[Ntxw]

We get a nice, coolish weekend then the week will finish off the month ending the warmest March on record for DFW and on pace to beat soon to be #2 by a good margin nearly a degree. Austin is on the same pace, Houston and San Antonio top 3 with odds that they will be top 2 pretty high.

April typically is more reliant on rain for temperature averages, as well as the rest of the warm season. If it rains a lot we get closer to normal, if it doesn't rain it stays above. It's looking like a potentially wetter month overall but perhaps a slow start, thus start warm and eventually cool off.

[Cpv17]

On a non-weather note, the June bugs are just awful this year. Anybody else notice this? They are taking over my yard. Never seen this before.

I’ve barely seen any down here.

[vbhoutex]

We get a nice, coolish weekend then the week will finish off the month ending the warmest March on record for DFW and on pace to beat soon to be #2 by a good margin nearly a degree. Austin is on the same pace, Houston and San Antonio top 3 with odds that they will be top 2 pretty high.

April typically is more reliant on rain for temperature averages, as well as the rest of the warm season. If it rains a lot we get closer to normal, if it doesn't rain it stays above. It's looking like a potentially wetter month overall but perhaps a slow start, thus start warm and eventually cool off.

It wold be really nice if we get a normal month of rain in April! We need it badly. Areas of SE TX are all in severe drought and extreme is starting to show a lot too.

[TomballEd]

On a non-weather note, the June bugs are just awful this year. Anybody else notice this? They are taking over my yard. Never seen this before.

I’ve barely seen any down here.

Junebugs are in fairly decent numbers. Haven't see any of the toads that eat them yet.

[Brent]

Finally with this front for a day or two anyway

There are numerous places north and west of me that broke APRIL all time records this week

[HockeyTx82]

I just hope the front gives us a reprieve from the allergies.....

[TomballEd]

I just hope the front gives us a reprieve from the allergies.....

The winds behind the front will make the pollen counts go up. The only real reprieve is a solid rain shower washing some of the pollen ot of the air and down into creeks and storm sewers.

[Ntxw]

I just hope the front gives us a reprieve from the allergies.....

The winds behind the front will make the pollen counts go up. The only real reprieve is a solid rain shower washing some of the pollen ot of the air and down into creeks and storm sewers.

Yeah I do notice that! Luckily the spring and fall pollen doesn't bother me too much, just winter's mountain cedar which wind direction (fronts) do help blow them the other way from source region. Difference mechanisms in Spring, unfortunately.

[txtwister78]

Rain is always 7-10 days out. When it does arrive it underperforms.

Rain may now be only 5 days out but again what's the alternative considering the pattern we've been in?

Euro looks promising in that it pushes the frontal boundary deeper into Texas and so where that front establishes itself next week will be key to where storms develop. Severe weather may accompany the rain but we obviously need it.

12z ICON looks very similar btw now. Starting to come together folks. Just a little patience

[mmmmsnouts]

A big part of our decision to move out of Texas was looking at the evidence and figuring out what the climate will be like here in the future. To us that looks like not just hotter, but drier. We already have trouble with heat and allergies and dust, but we really do not want to be here when the dividing line between arid and subtropical climates reaches the I-35 corridor and the big cities start having serious water shortages.

[Stratton23]

Euro continues to look a lot better for rainfall further south compared to the GFS

[txtwister78]

AFD from EWX (Austin/San Antonio NWS office)

LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2026

With southerly flow in place many areas should warm into the 80s Sunday followed by even warmer highs (near 90) by Monday. Warmer and dry weather continues Tuesday, but by midweek, things may finally get interesting as a mid-level shortwave swings through north Texas on Wednesday.

Global models are having a difficult time regarding timing for our area so for the moment have kept pops more generally blended closer to the NBM with chances 20-30% until we get closer in time. Beyond midweek all signs point to a significant pattern change as the subtropical jet stream looks to become much more zonal along with high pressure sliding off to our east over the southeast US. This opens the door for a fetch of gulf moisture to approach our area allowing for any disturbances that move over us to tap into. While its too early to get into specifics at this time it does look like we could be seeing our dry pattern finally come to end.

[txtwister78]

Yeah that looks promising. Bring it!

[Stratton23]

Looks wet and potentially cooler with a couple of decent fronts moving through over the next 2 weeks, the longer we can delay summer temps, the better we will be off!

[Iceresistance]

Had some unexpected showers earlier today

[Brent]

April definitely looks to start cooler than half the winter at this point

I just hope it rains

[TomballEd]

For the I don't know how many days in a row, Euro ensembles in the 10 and 15 day precip are the only really encouraging ones, compared to the GFS and Canadian family, that show really meaningful rain. The good news, the GFS ensembles do look closer to the Euro than they had. Not there yet. But in the right direction.

Euro ensemble mean of 15 days at or above 1.5 inches for every part of the state except the immediate RGV, Big Bend and Panhandle would be a very good thing and I suspect 'normal' rain this time of year will happen even there because of their climatic norms. All of East Texas in excess of 2 inches.

[txtwister78]

This split flow upcoming pattern is giving models fits. 12z Euro op latest example of that.

Best to just let it play out than to watch and react to the windshield wiper model run parade under this scenario.