STORM2K

OH YEAH baby its raining buckets out here in H-TOWN

 https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1/status/1009550222945652736

FYI I read a news story were it says that storm systems are having a tendency to move much slower due to climate change (notice I did not put man made.. don't want to get involved in that) Weaker steering currents as well as increased precipitable water

0.6" in the last 20 minutes or so, hearing loud cracks of thunder...this line is going to produce.

stop!!!!! you folks in houston are rubbing it in too much! i want rain here in central tx where ive seen a 1/2" only. GRRRRRRR

The bayou near my House just shot up. 2 inches in 30 minutes. Its still running buckets.

Haris wrote:stop!!!!! you folks in houston are rubbing it in too much! i want rain here in central tx where ive seen a 1/2" only. GRRRRRRR

basically nothing in Del Rio.. other than a quarter city storm for 10 minutes the other day.

South Mayde creek may go out of its banks.

 https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1/status/1009557474305826817

I haven't seen a white color in S. TX for accumulation in a while. The Valley is getting soaked beyond belief and a lot of folks are not protected with good shelter or high ground. Head towards the island if you can and take a day off. Like that forecaster said "very very very very very" bad.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 11&loop=no

My Davis station recorded a peak of 5.54" per hour around 530 in the Spring area, just south of the Woodlands. 1.72" total for the day and 4.66" for past three days. I'll take this any day compared to the 26" I recorded here for Harvey.

Haris wrote:stop!!!!! you folks in houston are rubbing it in too much! i want rain here in central tx where ive seen a 1/2" only. GRRRRRRR

I know right... first Harvey now this

hriverajr wrote:FYI I read a news story were it says that storm systems are having a tendency to move much slower due to climate change (notice I did not put man made.. don't want to get involved in that) Weaker steering currents as well as increased precipitable water

It's no doubt that while we are not breaking much cold records...the maximum rainfall records have fallen quite frequently the past decade at various stations. Warmer air holds more water.

Damn Radar is starting to light up again...



MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0341
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
804 PM EDT WED JUN 20 2018

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH TEXAS

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

VALID 210003Z - 210603Z

SUMMARY...CONVECTION HAS ENHANCED EARLY THIS EVENING ON THE
EASTERN SIDE OF THE STATIONARY UPPER VORT OVER SOUTH TEXAS. SLOW
MOVEMENT AND TRAINING OF CELLS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...LITTLE MOVEMENT EXPECTED TO THE MCV OVER FAR SOUTH
TEXAS THIS EVENING. CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO ENHANCE ON THE EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF THIS MCV IN THE PERSISTENT AXIS OF MUCH
ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES...2.5 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE
MEAN. AT THE MOMENT...THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IS ON THE EASTERN
AND SOUTHEASTERN SIDE OF THIS NEARLY STATIONARY VORT ALONG THE
SOUTH TEXAS COAST. THIS IS ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE AXIS OF
VERY UNSTABLE AIR SITUATED JUST OFFSHORE...MUCAPE VALUES IN THE
2000-3000+ RANGE. WITH NO SIGNIFICANT MOVEMENT TO THIS MCV AND
PERSISTENT SOUTH SOUTHEASTERLY INFLOW OF VERY UNSTABLE AIR
OFFSHORE...EXPECT THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW MOVING AND TRAINING OF
CELLS TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ON THE EASTERN
SIDE OF THIS MCV ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH TEXAS.

SIMULATED RADARS FROM THE HRRX SHOW THIS TRAINING CONTINUING THRU
THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY HOURS OF THURSDAY. THE HRRR
HOWEVER...HAS A SHORTER PERIOD OF TRAINING AND ATTEMPTS TO DEVELOP
HEAVY PRECIP FARTHER INLAND ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN
LIEU OF COASTAL ACTIVITY. THE HRRX ALSO SHOWS THE INLAND ACTIVITY
BUT MAINTAINS THE TRAINING THREAT ALONG THE COAST. GIVEN THE
HISTORY OF TRAINING WITH THIS SYSTEM ALONG THE TX COAST AND THE
EXPECTED SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE MCV...BELIEVE THE HRRRX MAY HAVE A
BETTER HANDLE ON THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL GOING INTO THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.

ORAVEC

ATTN...WFO...BRO...CRP...

ATTN...RFC...WGRFC...

LAT...LON 28149783 27279643 25069699 25599920 26439962
27659907

Go Storms Go!

bubba hotep wrote:Go Storms Go!

West of me... but maybe the big airport will get something for once.

Brent wrote:

bubba hotep wrote:Go Storms Go!

West of me... but maybe the big airport will get something for once.

Yea, was pretty bummed with how hard west they have been building but it does look like the airport might pick it up.

Watching the cell in Fannin County, it looks like it might try to move westward into Collin County. There might be an outflow boundary for it to ride?

Wow, it's really coming down here.

Beautiful purple lighting as I was driving home from the Colony to Frisco. The deer were all out of the woods!