C/S TX Weather: Seasonal with some rains

[srainhoutx]

And so it begins...

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
251 PM EDT THU SEP 10 2009

...VALID 18Z THU SEP 10 2009 - 00Z SAT SEP 12 2009...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 SSW SKF 20 WNW HDO UVA 20 WNW COT 30 SSW COT 25 NW LRD
50 NW MMNL 35 S MMPG 15 WNW MMPG 10 WSW DRT 35 NNW DRT E29
25 ENE E29 40 NNE JCT 35 NW 6R9 10 NNE 6R9 BMQ 10 NW AUS
10 SSE AUS 20 SE HYI 25 SSE BAZ 15 SSW SKF.


SCNTRL TX...

CONCERNS FOR HVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMTS ARE OVER SCNTRL TX
INVOF THE MID TO UPR LEVEL VORT MOVG ACRS THIS AREA. THERE ARE
SOME DIFFS WITH DETAILS OF THIS VORT/CLOSED LOW WITH THE GFS
FASTER TO PUSH IT EWD THAN THE NAM OR EC. THIS MAY BE DUE TO GRID
SCALE VORTS THE GFS DEVELOPS OVR THE WRN GULF. AT THE MOMENT...WE
FAVOR THE SLOWER EWD PUSH OF THE NAM AND ECMWF. WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS VORT...ABOVE NORMAL PW VALUES
AND UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE HILL COUNTRY...SHRT TERM PCPN AMTS OF
1-2" IN A HR OR TWO AND ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3-5" ARE POSSIBLE THIS
PERIOD.

ORAVEC

[Portastorm]

It has been a LOOOOOOONG time since I have seen one of these in our area and so widespread:

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC019-029-031-053-055-091-171-187-209-259-265-299-325-453-491-493-
102215-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0030.090910T1923Z-090910T2215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
223 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL BANDERA COUNTY...
NORTHERN BEXAR COUNTY...
BLANCO COUNTY...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL BURNET COUNTY...
NORTHWESTERN CALDWELL COUNTY...
COMAL COUNTY...
GILLESPIE COUNTY...
GUADALUPE COUNTY...
HAYS COUNTY...
KENDALL COUNTY...
EASTERN KERR COUNTY...
EXTREME SOUTHERN LLANO COUNTY...
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTY...
TRAVIS COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTY...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL WILSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT.

* AT 220 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED
WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING LOCALIZED FLOODING. ACTIVITY IS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE ESCARPMENT AND MOVE NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REPORTS OF
OVER 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE BEEN RECEIVED IN THE WARNED AREA..
SPECIFICALLY IN NEW BRAUNFELS. NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED IN
AND AROUND NEW BRAUNFELS WITH WATER RUNNING OVER THEM. IN
ADDITION..BULVERDE ROAD HAS BEEN CLOSED AT THE CIBOLO RIVER CROSSING
IN NORTHERN BEXAR COUNTY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PAYTON...
BLOWOUT...SANDY...ROCKY CREEK...HYE...FLUGRATH...ALBERT...
BLUMENTHAL...STONEWALL...GRAPETOWN...CAIN CITY...ROCKY HILL...
TIVYDALE...ECKERT...CRABAPPLE...HILLTOP...CHERRY SPRING...DOSS...
WELFARE...KREUTZBERG...NELSON CITY...WALNUT GROVE...CYPRESS
CREEK...ZORN...WOODCREEK...WINDEMERE...WINDCREST...WIMBERLEY...
WILLOW CITY...WEST LAKE HILLS...WARING...UNIVERSAL CITY...UHLAND...
TWIN SISTERS...TIMBERWOOD PARK...THE DOMINION...TERRELL HILLS...
TANGLEWOOD FOREST...ST. HEDWIG...SPRING BRANCH...SPICEWOOD...
SMITHSON VALLEY...SISTERDALE...SHAVANO PARK...SELMA...SEGUIN...
SCHERTZ...SAN MARCOS...SAN ANTONIO...ROUND MOUNTAIN...
ROLLINGWOOD...PFLUGERVILLE...PEDERNALES FALLS STATE PARK...ONION
CREEK...OLMOS PARK...NIEDERWALD...NEW BRAUNFELS...NEW BERLIN...
MCQUEENEY...MARION...MANSFIELD DAM...MANOR...LUCKENBACH...LIVE
OAK...LEON VALLEY...LEON SPRINGS...LBJ STATE PARK...LAKEWAY...LAGO
VISTA...KYLE...KIRBY...KINGSBURY...KERRVILLE...KERRVILLE STATE
PARK...KENDALIA...JOHNSON CITY...HOLLYWOOD PARK...HILL COUNTRY
VILLAGE...HENLY...HELOTES...HARPER...GUADALUPE RIVER STATE PARK...
GERONIMO...GARDEN RIDGE...FREDERICKSBURG...FISCHER...FAIR OAKS
RANCH...ENCHANTED ROCK STATE PARK...DRIPPING SPRINGS...DRIFTWOOD...
CYPRESS MILL...CROSS MOUNTAIN...COMFORT...CIBOLO...CENTER POINT...
CANYON LAKE DAM...BULVERDE...BUDA...BOERNE...BLANCO...BERGSTROM...
BERGHEIM...BEE CAVE...BANKERSMITH...AUSTIN...ANDERSON MILL AND
ALAMO HEIGHTS.

[Shoshana]

My weather radio just went off with a Flash Flood Warning!

(warning text deleted cause everyone else posted as I posted!!!!)

So far we haven't seen any rain... but .... looks gray out there!!!!

[Shoshana]

Well, so far we have a damp rain gauge. That's about it. A trace? Maybe more tomorrow...

[Portastorm]

We probably got between a quarter and a half inch of rain. Won't know for sure until I see some of the spotter totals later. Dang, I need to get a rain gauge!

Will be interesting to see tomorrow how the precip pattern develops.

[Shoshana]

As of an hour ago we had .5" in our rain gauge. Since then it's started raining again.

Of course the pup wants to go out now, while it's raining steadily... she just sits on the porch cause since we've had her, it's barely rained and she doesn't like it much. And I'd rather she not get wet cause when she does we have odour d'skunk...

[Portastorm]

Glad you're getting some of that liquid joy, Shoshana! Travis County looks pretty well covered on the radar at lunchtime.

Just heard a report that I-35 is at a standstill in Jarrell, both northbound and southbound, due to 8 inches of rain in the area since last night! Poor Jarrell ... they always seem to get the worst weather!

[CajunMama]

I'm glad to see y'all getting some moisture. It's not alot but it's a start. Hopefully you don't get a deluge that will just runoff because it can't soak into the ground.

[srainhoutx]

NWUS54 KEWX 111906
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
206 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N JARRELL 30.85N 97.60W
09/11/2009 M6.90 INCH WILLIAMSON TX COCORAHS

SINCE 1115 AM. THATS 12.9 SINCE 730 AM

[Ptarmigan]

Now they got over 13 inches of rain. Looks like they are getting closer to being away from the drought.

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
255 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2009

TXC453-491-112245-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0034.000000T0000Z-090911T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WILLIAMSON TX-TRAVIS TX-
255 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
TRAVIS AND WILLIAMSON COUNTIES...

AT 239 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN MOVING
WESTWARD ACROSS WILLIAMSON COUNTY. ADDITIONAL STORMS WERE MOVING ACROSS
BASTROP COUNTY AND WILL BE MOVING INTO EASTERN TRAVIS COUNTY
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM. RAINFALL RATES ACROSS WILLIAMSON COUNTY WERE
ESTIMATED AT 1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR.

A COCORAHS OBSERVER HAS REPORTED THAT OVER 13 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
IN THE JARRELL AREA SINCE 730 AM THIS MORNING.

BERRY CREEK IS RISING RAPIDLY AND IS IN FLOOD JUST EAST OF SERENADA IN
WILLIAMSON COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3088 9761 3079 9736 3074 9726 3071 9724
3032 9748 3005 9776 3036 9815 3067 9801
3090 9783

$$

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.p ... od+Warning

[Shoshana]

It rained for about an hour after I last posted and we got .9" more So the gauge is reading 1.4" since last night. More than we've had all summer here I think. We have fill topsoil over sand over clay at our house. I've dug 3 feet down for fenceposts and didn't find limestone/caliche. Rain soaks right in. If it rains really hard it will run off but it has to rain really hard for a long time.

I think Jarrell area got 10" of rain, shutting down I35 for a while but it should be open again by now.

[southerngale]

I'm glad to see y'all getting some much needed rain!

13 inches in what, 8 or so hours? Geezaloo!!

[Shoshana]

Jarrell's got 15" so far now. That's about 30 miles or so north of Austin.

[srainhoutx]

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
648 PM CDT FRI SEP 11 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0641 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW NEW BRAUNFELS 29.68N 98.14W
09/11/2009 COMAL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

MORNINGSIDE AT SOLMS ROAD AND WEST SAN ANTONIO STREET
AT LOOP 337 IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING.

[Ptarmigan]

Looks like drought ends with heavy rain and floods.

[A1A]

I'm curious where that Low is at right now - what is the best real time map that would have that?

[Portastorm]

Steady, welcomed rains continue to fall this Saturday morning in the AUS metro area. We had some convective activity around 4 am but otherwise it has been slow, steady rain. The grass and trees are enjoying this, I'm sure!

The upper low continues to slowly spin literally right on top of us so the forecast remains "wet." And that is great news for us in parched south central Texas.

A1A -- try this link for a good satellite loop of Texas:

http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/sa ... &itype=vis

[CajunMama]

That's the kind of rain you want! Slow and steady! Congrats on the precip!!!!!!!

I know around here that when we've been in an extended drought people start to complain if it rains 2 days in a row. Hopefully no one (not our members) start complaining.

[somethingfunny]

15" of rain is too much!

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1116 AM CDT SAT SEP 12 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BURNET COUNTY...
WESTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTY...

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT.

* AT 1113 AM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETERMINED THAT
RAINFALL ESTIMATES FROM DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE FLASH FLOODING
FROM PERSISTENT RAINS OVER THE WARNED AREA. AREA CREEKS ARE
ALREADY RUNNING FULL AND ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL BRING THEM OUT OF
BANKS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WATSON...
FLORENCE AND BRIGGS.