Some pretty tornado photos out there. It was a nice one.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2021 7:58 pm
by bubba hotep
Looks like that is about it for DFW as storms are starting to push off to the east. Maybe that line of storms that is coming together up in Oklahoma will dip down to clip us later tonight. Some localized very heavy rain but a lot of areas picked up very little.
I can't remember the last time we had an April that didn't see at least a couple of big MCS pushing across DFW. Maybe in May?
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2021 8:11 pm
by jasons2k
That supercell SE of San Antonio is a right-turner and looks very intense. Needs to be closely monitored.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2021 8:38 pm
by storm_in_a_teacup
Did the middle part of the dry line just not form storms? I thought something would be hitting Houston around now but there seems to be almost nothing. EDIT: unless the previous post meant the supercell being a right turner mean it’s heading to Houston? I don’t know much about this stuff.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2021 9:05 pm
by storm_in_a_teacup
Never mind I looked at the radar and there definitely is a supercell sneaking up on us. And of course it had to happen when all the stuff from the flooded garage has been sitting under tarps in our yard
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Fri Apr 23, 2021 10:33 pm
by jasons2k
Looks like a bust for metro Houston.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Sat Apr 24, 2021 6:56 pm
by bubba hotep
It would be a great start to May if the 12z GFS were to verify for Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Sun Apr 25, 2021 2:07 pm
by Ntxw
Flow next week looks like it may be more meridional. This will limit an outbreak but very good at rainmaking.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Sun Apr 25, 2021 3:47 pm
by bubba hotep
Ntxw wrote:Flow next week looks like it may be more meridional. This will limit an outbreak but very good at rainmaking.
And return flow has already started, so there should be rich deep moisture in place across most of Texas next week.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Sun Apr 25, 2021 4:16 pm
by bubba hotep
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Sun Apr 25, 2021 4:20 pm
by Ntxw
bubba hotep wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Flow next week looks like it may be more meridional. This will limit an outbreak but very good at rainmaking.
And return flow has already started, so there should be rich deep moisture in place across most of Texas next week.
A very wet end for April if the 12z HRRR verifies . . .
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:37 am
by rwfromkansas
HRRR cuts off the rainfall rather quickly, with eastern DFW getting much less. Doesn't seem to match other expectations.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:42 am
by Iceresistance
Observation at Tecumseh, OK
Time: 10:35 AM CDT or 1525z
Current Conditions: Cloudy Temperature: 70°F Dew Point: 64°F Relative Humidity: 81% Wind: S at 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph Pressure: 29.70 InHg or 1007 MB
Watches & Warnings: None
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 10:50 am
by bubba hotep
rwfromkansas wrote:HRRR cuts off the rainfall rather quickly, with eastern DFW getting much less. Doesn't seem to match other expectations.
Don't put much stock in the HRRR beyond 6 - 12 hrs. The NAMs & other hi-res are better for the 1st 36 - 48hrs.
Also, models are coming very close to breaking the cap across DFW this afternoon. Any storm that can break through would have the potential to quickly go svr. FWD thinks the cap will hold, by the way.
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 11:40 am
by Iceresistance
Observation in Tecumseh, OK
Time: 11 AM CDT or 1600z
Current Conditions: Cloudy Temperature: 70°F Dew Point: 64°F Relative Humidity: 82% Wind: S at 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph Pressure: 29.75 InHg or 1007.5 MB
Watches & Warnings: Flood Watch until Thursday Morning
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Posted: Tue Apr 27, 2021 12:20 pm
by Iceresistance
Noon Observation in Tecumseh, OK
Time: 12 PM CDT or 1700z
Current Conditions: Cloudy Temperature: 71°F Dew Point: 65°F Relative Humidity: 80% Wind: S at 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph Pressure: 29.76 InHg or 1008 MB
Watches & Warnings: Flood Watch until Thursday Morning
