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JonathanBelles
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#4541 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed May 13, 2009 8:18 pm

Raining again. :cheesy:
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#4542 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed May 13, 2009 8:35 pm

Quite a bit of rain today!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Rainy season may have started

#4543 Postby NDG » Wed May 13, 2009 8:41 pm

18z gfs estimated potential rainfall totals for Monday-Friday of next week. If it materializes, east central and southern FL will get hammered:

[img]Image[/img]
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#4544 Postby NDG » Wed May 13, 2009 9:27 pm

If you have read all the locals' NWS offices AFDs from earlier this afternoon before the 12z euro had come out, it will be interesting to see what the local NWS offices across the peninsula have to say tomorrow morning if the 00z ECMWF model run comes out with something similar to its 12z run from earlier today. Their forecasts for early & middle of next week were conservative because they are banking on the euro's earlier conservative & more consistent run from yesterday, of course until the 12z run came out.
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#4545 Postby psyclone » Wed May 13, 2009 9:37 pm

Only about a tenth of an inch in my neighborhood. as i suspected earlier, the boundary collision down around wauchula was spectacular, and was soon repeated in hillsborough, it just took place about 10 miles west of where i expected. nice to see some good rains over parts of pinellas. another chance tomorrow, so fingers crossed.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Rainy season may have started

#4546 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed May 13, 2009 11:12 pm

NDG wrote:18z gfs estimated potential rainfall totals for Monday-Friday of next week. If it materializes, east central and southern FL will get hammered:

[img]Image[/img]

:eek:

Thats me in the white..
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#4547 Postby gatorcane » Thu May 14, 2009 8:31 am

If that were to verify above, it would wipe out alot of the rain deficits in many parts of FL, especially the Eastern half. :uarrow:
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Rainy season may have started

#4548 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu May 14, 2009 8:37 am

I can't see that image, so can someone tell me how much rain to expect next week?
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Rainy season may have started

#4549 Postby Sanibel » Thu May 14, 2009 10:14 am

Florida WV:


Image
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Rainy season may have started

#4550 Postby NDG » Thu May 14, 2009 10:36 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:I can't see that image, so can someone tell me how much rain to expect next week?


As of yesterday's 18z gfs, 4-7" in SE FL.
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#4551 Postby NDG » Thu May 14, 2009 10:40 am

Showers have already started popping here in the Orlando area, quite a bit earlier than yesterday.
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#4552 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 14, 2009 12:09 pm

Quite a few darker clouds today, much earlier than yesterday. Many clouds altogether.
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#4553 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 14, 2009 12:28 pm

An area of moisture moving over the Gulf has provided additional
upper level clouds and additional atmospheric moisture...leading
to a lot more clouds today and earlier storms.
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#4554 Postby HURAKAN » Thu May 14, 2009 1:19 pm

Image
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#4555 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 14, 2009 2:05 pm

Glopstorm (aka big scattered raindrops) with thunder right now.

Edit (3:15p): Raining pretty steady now
Last edited by JonathanBelles on Thu May 14, 2009 2:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4556 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 14, 2009 2:05 pm

Mostly cloudy for now. Calm wind.
Rain possibly west of me.
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#4557 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 14, 2009 2:35 pm

SVR east of Tarpon Springs covering Pinellas, Pasco, and Hillsborough counties.
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#4558 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 14, 2009 2:41 pm

With the southerly flow- I expect the strongest convergence
and storms to favor North Pinellas today...they missed out yesterday
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#4559 Postby psyclone » Thu May 14, 2009 3:05 pm

Pasco/pinellas storm has collapsed and sent an outflow boundary through here that could help fire new convection south of here. unfortunately, no rain yet for me but it is nice to see the convective roulette wheel spinning again...eventually my number will pop.
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#4560 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 14, 2009 3:07 pm

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... W&loop=yes
Two interesting boundaries are about to collide over Central
Hillsborough--- One is the west coast seabreeze...the other is
from polk county- presumably the east coast seabreeze sent
out by a large cell south of polk that is now dissapating...
given the strength of these boundaries I expect severe
weather is likely over Central Hillsborough.

Edit: Already colliding over central Manetee...expect big
storms to form a line from central Hillsborough south to central
Manatee...merging with storms over Central Sarasota county.
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