Florida Weather

[HURAKAN]

What a week!

[HURAKAN]

If you like the rain, you're in luck!!!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Nothing major going on- but I thought I might ramble
about the artistic and meteorological beauty of a cloud.

A storm cell near the SE side of Tampa Bay is producing
notable vertical air advection in the form of a downdraft...
The flow spreads more horizontally as it reaches the surface...
This makes for a very interesting looking cloud...with the main
cloud consisting of a long line of low level clouds below it
that seem to
point anterior-inferiorly (outward ahead of the cloud and below
it- DOWN FORWARD).
These low level clouds are quite low.

Considering this it may be breezy around Southern Pinellas.
Nothing major- I just thought the entire cumilonimbus apparatus
looked really neat.

[HURAKAN]

Talk about being in the right place, at the right time! 0.84 inches of rain.

MIA: 0.17 inches
Tamiami: 0.00 inches

[Sanibel]

Yeah, we got an inch the first night of that rainy spell from a single cell right over us. There was no rain anywhere else that night. We had 4 inches in the first 36 hours and only 1/3rd of an inch for the rest of the rainy spell. Dry shadow.


TBH: Wicked clouds lately over the mainland like nuclear blasts.

[HURAKAN]

Since May 17, 9.46 inches of rain. Thanks 90L!

[jinftl]

MIA (Miami Intl Airport) has seen 4.94" and FLL (Fort Laud-Hwd Int'l) has seen 4.06" since May 17....gotta love the variation from street to street with patterns like this....esp this time of year.

Believe it or not, the official reporting stations have not reached the average May rainfall (for entire month) yet.....it could happen in 20 minutes though with this pattern! Not impossible that it could still end up being a Lushine May (technically using airport totals)....

Month to Date:
Miami Int'l = 5.04" (average total May rainfall = 5.96")
Ftl-Hwd Int'l = 4.48" (average total May rainfall = 6.33")

Since May 17, 9.46 inches of rain. Thanks 90L!

[HURAKAN]

METROPOLITAN MIAMI DADE FL-INLAND MIAMI-DADE FL- 316 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS MIAMI DADE COUNTY...

AT 312 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MICCOSUKEE RESORT...WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING TO THE NORTHEAST. THESE STORMS ARE NEARLY STATIONARY.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

RURAL CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING... GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...PEA-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2596 8042 2575 8032 2572 8060 2579 8063 TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 234DEG 2KT 2574 8054

[Evil Jeremy]

STW (is that the proper abbreviation for Severe Thunderstorm Warning?) in effect for Broward County as well, and the storm should be over my house soon. Ill try to take pictures.

[HURAKAN]

Code: Select all

1945   175    SUNRISE    BROWARD    FL   2617    8028   SUNRISE POLICE OFFICER REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL BETWEEN UNIVERSITY DRIVE AND WEST OAKLAND BLVD (MFL)

Impressive cell.

[Lurker]

I think you can throw the Lushine May out the window now. South Florida is locked into the rainy season with high POP's the rest of the week and MIA at 5.83, Ft Lauderdale at 5.74 and the big winner West Palm Beach at 10.67 inches - gotta love those AM thunderstorms!

MIA (Miami Intl Airport) has seen 4.94" and FLL (Fort Laud-Hwd Int'l) has seen 4.06" since May 17....gotta love the variation from street to street with patterns like this....esp this time of year.

Believe it or not, the official reporting stations have not reached the average May rainfall (for entire month) yet.....it could happen in 20 minutes though with this pattern! Not impossible that it could still end up being a Lushine May (technically using airport totals)....

Month to Date:
Miami Int'l = 5.04" (average total May rainfall = 5.96")
Ftl-Hwd Int'l = 4.48" (average total May rainfall = 6.33")

Since May 17, 9.46 inches of rain. Thanks 90L!

[gatorcane]

We are looking at 60% chance of POPS for the next 7-10 days for SE FL with a light SW windflow at the surface and aloft, the activity will repeatedly line up right along the East coast metro areas each day, each afternoon.

[Sanibel]

I'm curious if a big hurricane will come to Florida anyway Lushine or not.

Like Ike except it doesn't dive south.

Warm and humid in the morning now. Sleeping without a blanket.

[jinftl]

Well for south florida, the 'real' hurricane season is from August 15-October 15....about 90% of our hurricanes happen during that window (interesting that wilma was past that window). We need to keep our eyes to the southwest as much, if not more, than to the east....strikes from wilma-type tracks are actually more common.

That leads to no clear cut answer if we are at risk...ridges and troughs can be our friend or enemy....we want troughs to turn storms to our east out to sea....but a trough approaching with a storm off the yucatan could push it right over us....timing is everything (and location). One thing that can be guaranteed....the water is/will be warm enough to support any tropical system to our coast.

I'm curious if a big hurricane will come to Florida anyway Lushine or not.

Like Ike except it doesn't dive south.

Warm and humid in the morning now. Sleeping without a blanket.

[gatorcane]

Well for south florida, the 'real' hurricane season is from August 15-October 15....about 90% of our hurricanes happen during that window (interesting that wilma was past that window). We need to keep our eyes to the southwest as much, if not more, than to the east....strikes from wilma-type tracks are actually more common.

That leads to no clear cut answer if we are at risk...ridges and troughs can be our friend or enemy....we want troughs to turn storms to our east out to sea....but a trough approaching with a storm off the yucatan could push it right over us....timing is everything (and location). One thing that can be guaranteed....the water is/will be warm enough to support any tropical system to our coast.

I'm curious if a big hurricane will come to Florida anyway Lushine or not.

Like Ike except it doesn't dive south.

Warm and humid in the morning now. Sleeping without a blanket.

I'd extend that range to make Aug. 1st through Oct 31st the months where South Florida is mostly likely to be impacted by a major hurricane, CAT 3+ status.

Keep in mind Charley in 2004 impacted SW Florida Aug. 13th, hence another reason why I would expand this range.

Also, June can be another active month for Florida with systems developing in the Western Caribbean and hooking up from the southwest. Although we have not seen anything of significance impact Florida in June the last several years, its a month to watch.

In fact I am forecasting a tropical storm, probably Ana to impact SW or W Coast of FL this June. I've discussed this forecast in the tropical forum.

July is typically quiet for Florida at least the peninsula part as ridging is pretty strong in July so we usually see systems move passed us way to the south. July should not be discounted however.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Looks like tstorms starting just north of boca/delrayish. I see a boundary of some sort heading into western (sub)urban broward on NWS radar atm.

[gatorcane]

Looks like tstorms starting just north of boca/delrayish. I see a boundary of some sort heading into western (sub)urban broward on NWS radar atm.

Yep, the thunderstorms will only spread in coverage as the day goes on and as heating continues and as SE Coast Atlantic seabreeze builds in.

Also, a short-wave is in the process of sweeping through South FL and will cool the H5 layer allowing for significant convection to blow up over SE Florida.

[HURAKAN]

Raining already in my house.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

sws followed by stw -249pm -

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
238 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 236 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PARKLAND...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
PARKLAND...
CORAL SPRINGS...
MARGATE...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. IF
OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES AND
AVOID WATER. MOVE INDOORS OR INSIDE A VEHICLE IF POSSIBLE. AVOID
USING THE TELEPHONE UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG
UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 2633 8022 2633 8019 2626 8017 2621 8030
2633 8031
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 335DEG 4KT 2632 8025

$$

TINGLER

[artist]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC099-262000-
/O.NEW.KMFL.SV.W.0027.090526T1856Z-090526T2000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
256 PM EDT TUE MAY 26 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT

* AT 256 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
NORTHEAST OF NORTH PALM BEACH GENERAL AIRPORT...AND MOVING
SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
RIVIERA BEACH...
NORTH PALM BEACH GENERAL AIRPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.