Texas Spring-2015

[TheProfessor]

It looks like we are getting ESE to SE winds here now, does that mean the boundary is beginning to move North?

[TarrantWx]

It looks like we are getting ESE to SE winds here now, does that mean the boundary is beginning to move North?

It might be becoming less defined but you can still see it on radar in central Johnson county.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=FWS&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

Closely watching the storms north of Brownwood because I would expect one to become the dominant supercell and latch on to that boundary soon. Steve Mccauley mentioned the boundary will begin to lift back north which makes sense as the low pressure moves closer. Bears watching for anyone in the DFW area.

[fendie]

It looks like we are getting ESE to SE winds here now, does that mean the boundary is beginning to move North?

Based on base reflectivity out of NWS FWD it stalled around 2:45 PM just north of a Granbury to Keene to Midolothian line. Watch for it to slowly lift back northward or remain stalled.

[MSUDawg]

Dang, another Alabama person.

When did you leave Tuscaloosa?

I'll NEVER claim Bama... as I grew up in Mississippi but I did live in Northport for 4-5 years and parent are still there.
Still follow James Spann online. He is one of the people who made me start to follow weather. I know what yall mean and remember several tornadoes hitting including the F4 in Dec 2000.

Now I'm here in DFW.

I lived in small towns in East Alabama(the other side of the state from Tuscaloosa) all my life until about 7 months ago... came out here for an opportunity and haven't really looked back.

My weather interest started in the mid 90s and in the early 2000s I actually met James Spann in person and I've been a follower ever since, On 4/27/11 I sat there watching Spann for 10 hours straight and the day haunted me for awhile tbh.

I was at a new job and was very scared for family and friends back there.... Yep wont ever forget that day
and I have meet him several times and shared emails back and forth a few times also. Wonderful man.

[TheProfessor]

How could that severe storm affect the outflow boundary? And the storm looks to have a gust front moving Northeast.

[Texas Snowman]

Severe storm has fired southwest of Amarillo, moving in their direction.

[TarrantWx]

How could that severe storm affect the outflow boundary? And the storm looks to have a gust front moving Northeast.

I think that storm cluster needs to get organized first before we will be able to tell how, or if, it will impact the outflow boundary. I like to think of supercells as a mini low pressure area so if it ingests the outflow it could treat it like a warm front causing it to push north. It's also possible that it could organize into a supercell and right turn leaving that boundary untouched.

[gboudx]

Reading the DFW AFD, this seems like more of a typical Spring MCS event than a supercell event for the metroplex. Maybe that's why there are currently no weather watches.

[TexasStorm]

I think those cells down around Brownwood might have a hard time surviving. The cluster that has hung around down around San Antonio is cutting off its inflow of moisture.

[newtotex]

Brent/dhWeather ect..


I left in 2010 and don't really plan on going back lol. I lived there my whole life and wanted to do something different, all of my family still lives there and I go back pretty regularly, still love it there though.

Yea, James Spann is the best! I still read his AlabamaWX blog even though I don't live there anymore. He's the reason I got so into weather when I was a kid, besides the movie Twister I used to go to his StormAlert tours when I was a kid. The tornado that hit Tuscaloosa in 12/2000 missed our house by less than a half-mile (grew up behind Shelton State). Me and two of my siblings were home while my parents were Cmas shopping..most scared I've ever been lol. The 4/15/2011 tornado caused damage to our neighborhood, lost our trees/garage door, but I don't think it was on the ground at that point.

To the poster talking about "tornado weather" in Texas. Yea I figured the time period I have lived here wasn't usual for Texas tornado weather. My car got destroyed in a hail storm in Argyle in June 2011, less than 2 months after my sisters car got destroyed in the 4/27 Tuscaloosa tornado, and we had the tornado scare in Denton last April, but that's about it in terms of memorable storms for me.

[gpsnowman]

I have turned my young daughter into a weather nut! First thing she said to me after I got her from school was "Daddy let's look at radar and look for tornadoes." I laughed and mentally patted myself on the back. Proud daddy here.

I am late on this but the sun has been out near my work and at home for a while now. Very sticky air. Expected to see more going on out west but we shall see. Ya'll be careful tonight if you have to get out for any reason. I'm ready for some storms.

[Brent]

Increasingly looks like just another MCS to me:

[Brent]

Brent/dhWeather ect..


I left in 2010 and don't really plan on going back lol. I lived there my whole life and wanted to do something different, all of my family still lives there and I go back pretty regularly, still love it there though.

Yea, James Spann is the best! I still read his AlabamaWX blog even though I don't live there anymore. He's the reason I got so into weather when I was a kid, besides the movie Twister I used to go to his StormAlert tours when I was a kid. The tornado that hit Tuscaloosa in 12/2000 missed our house by less than a half-mile (grew up behind Shelton State). Me and two of my siblings were home while my parents were Cmas shopping..most scared I've ever been lol. The 4/15/2011 tornado caused damage to our neighborhood, lost our trees/garage door, but I don't think it was on the ground at that point.

I know what you're saying there... my family still lives there, and I still have deep ties because I moderate a weather board based over there, but yeah... I just needed a change.

Oh yeah... James Spann is the best. I went to those storm alert tours too and the best part was the 2nd time I met him he remembered me lol.

[Texas Snowman]

From Steve McCauley a few moments ago on FB:

"The first Tornado Watch of the day has gone up for areas to our NW as supercell thunderstorms fire along the dryline in the Texas Panhandle and will move SE towards our area tonight.

There is a cap over north Texas (which is why it has been so quiet today), but it continues to weaken and will be altogether absent as an upper-level disturbance passes overhead tonight. As the cap erodes away, storms will have a clear shot at moving into the Metroplex

We have a slight chance of storms through 7 PM, then after 7 PM keep an eye to the west and northwest. The best window of opportunity for severe storms in the Metroplex will be some time between 7 PM and 3 AM. They should come in two waves. I needed to extend the storm chance past midnight due to the distance some of these storms will have to travel to get here."

[TarrantWx]

Storm near Brownwood has clearly gone supercellular and is making a hard right turn. Also watching a new storm popping northeast of Abilene in Shackelford county.

[SouthernMet]

I was just about to post about the brown county cell, although not too impressive atm, rotation is increasing.

[TarrantWx]

:uarrow: I was just about to post about the brown county cell, although not too impressive atm, rotation is increasing.

It's looking more and more impressive with each radar scan. Indicative of the environment these storms are working with. I think it took them a while to get organized because the shear is so strong.

[Texas Snowman]

It's always been the potential OFB interaction with any supercells that might form (especially if they get into the I-35 corridor) that has had me concerned for today.

As others have noted, this isn't an outbreak situation, at least in the classic sense. But if one of these storms can get going, it might overachieve.

Kind of like the fact that 1992 was a down year for tropical development. But don't tell that to anyone who lived in South Florida when Andrew came for a visit.

[TheProfessor]

Yeah, I'm starting to think Friday could be a classic outbreak though and over a very large area. Both Larry Cosgrove and Dr Greg Forbes seem to be hinting at it. It's weird though, the local nbc station is telling everyone everything will be fine here on Facebook, while Pete Delkus is worried that the lack of storms will lead to dangerous storms tonight. Whether or not we see a Torndao, it's looking like tonight we could see some very large hail at least.

[TheProfessor]

btw a storm just pooped up near Graham, It's moving North East right now, but we should probably keep an eye on it because it could take a right turn if it intensifies.