Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

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WindRunner
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#521 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:46 pm

I'm actuall more concerned with this cell that's closing in on Wabash, IN . . . far more impressive on velocity, IMO.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

INC103-169-190315-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-071019T0315Z/
WABASH IN-MIAMI IN-
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI AND SOUTHERN WABASH COUNTIES...

AT 1036 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL NEAR
SANTA FE. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PERU...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RICHVALLEY...TREATY...WABASH...SERVIA...LINCOLNVILLE...SPEICHERVILLE
AND LAGRO.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKLE SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF YOU HAVE SEVERE WEATHER TO REPORT...YOU CAN CALL YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.

LAT...LON 4076 8564 4066 8586 4059 8589 4062 8604
4076 8605 4095 8565
TIME...MOT...LOC 0241Z 224DEG 49KT 4071 8589
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Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

#522 Postby GeneratorPower » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:48 pm

Great wall-to-wall coverage via online stream with WAFF-48 out of Huntsville, Alabama. If you like storms, you'll like this even if it's not in your area.

http://www.waff.com
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#523 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:52 pm

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#524 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:52 pm

The Wabash cell, directly over the city.

Image

Oh, and feel free to yell at me, chad, if you'd rather not have the hotlinking.
Last edited by WindRunner on Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#526 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:55 pm

Just after it hit Nappanee

Image
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Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

#527 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:56 pm



This cell.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

INC103-169-190315-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0043.000000T0000Z-071019T0315Z/
WABASH IN-MIAMI IN-
1041 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI AND SOUTHERN WABASH COUNTIES...

AT 1036 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL NEAR
SANTA FE. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PERU...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RICHVALLEY...TREATY...WABASH...SERVIA...LINCOLNVILLE...SPEICHERVILLE
AND LAGRO.
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#528 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:58 pm

BREAKING NEWS: 1 dead in Owensboro
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#529 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:59 pm

Image

Back down in KY, this has been impressive for some 20 minutes now (Nappanee distracted me from showing this earlier). This radar image is from 02:40z, as right now it's too close to the Louisville radar to give a good presentation on reflectivity or velocity - and yes, that means its passing somewhat close to the southern edge of the city.
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#530 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:00 pm

Image
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#531 Postby HarlequinBoy » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:00 pm

Injuries reported in Edmondson, AR. Significant damage in Crittenden County, Ar.
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#532 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:01 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN...CNTRL/NERN MS...NRN/CNTRL AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 722...

VALID 190251Z - 190415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 722 CONTINUES.

VALID PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH 722 EXPIRES AT 04Z. A NEW TORNADO
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LINE OF TSTMS TO
ENCOMPASS MOST OF MIDDLE TN SWD INTO PERHAPS CNTRL PORTIONS OF AL
AND ECNTRL MS.

SRN PORTIONS OF THE UPR TROUGH MOVING INTO THE UPR GRTLKS REGION
CONTINUES TO EDGE EWD INTO THE MID-SOUTH WITH DARKENING NOTED IN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE SRN PLAINS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A LINE OF TSTMS FROM WRN TN SWWD INTO WCNTRL MS. DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS HAS MOISTENED THROUGH THE DAY AND SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY WILL
EXIST FOR A CONTINUED THREAT FOR STORMS. PRIMARY SLY LLJ AXIS HAS
BEEN SHIFTING NWD INTO THE OH VLY THIS EVENING WHERE STRONGEST
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR EXISTS. BUT...BMX/HTX/BNA VWPS AND 00Z BNA SOUNDING
STILL EXHIBIT SUBSTANTIAL 0-1KM SHEAR ALONG WITH MORE THAN ENOUGH
DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS. NUMBER OF STORMS THAT
DEVELOPED HAS CONTRIBUTED TO A MORE LINEAR EVOLUTION...BUT THE
THREAT FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL EXIST THROUGH EARLY MORNING
FRIDAY DOWNSTREAM INTO MIDDLE TN AND NRN/CNTRL PORTIONS OF MS/AL.
IN FACT...IMPROVING VERTICAL SHEAR /OWING TO APPROACH OF THE SRN
PLAINS JET STREAK/ MAY LEAD TO CELLS BECOMING MORE DISCRETE IN
NATURE WITH TIME. THUS...AT LEAST AN ISOLD TORNADO THREAT WILL
CONTINUE ALONG WITH RISKS FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS. AS SUCH...A NEW WW
WILL BE ISSUED DOWNSTREAM SHORTLY.

..RACY.. 10/19/2007


ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

33398990 36528727 36498522 32898633 32778911
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#533 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:01 pm

Always the same with that f****** mobile homes...
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#534 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:01 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2120
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0957 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI/MUCH OF INDIANA INTO NORTHERN OH

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 724...

VALID 190257Z - 190430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 724 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 724 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z...WITH A RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND SOME HAIL. AN ADDITIONAL
REPLACEMENT TORNADO WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED BY THE 0330Z-0400Z
TIMEFRAME...WITH AN EASTWARD EXPANSION ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHEAST LOWER MI /INCLUDING THE DETROIT METRO/ AND PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN OH /INCLUDING THE TOLEDO AND FINDLAY AREAS/.

QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE ACROSS A LARGE PART OF TORNADO
WATCH 724...MOST PROLIFIC FROM NORTHEAST INDIANA INTO CENTRAL LOWER
MI. WHILE TOTAL INSTABILITY/SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE MARGINAL
ESPECIALLY WITH NORTH EXTENT...TURBULENT MIXING/AMPLE LOW LEVEL CAPE
COUPLED WITH DRAMATICALLY STRONG LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH
CURVATURE/ENLARGED SRH WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A DISTINCT LOW
LEVEL MESOCYCLONE/TORNADO RISK INTO THE OVERNIGHT FROM THE FAR
NORTHEAST INDIANA INTO EAST CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST LOWER MI AND PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN OH. WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR...LOCAL WSR-88D VWP DATA IS
SUGGESTIVE OF 0-1 KM SRH OF 400-700 M2/S2.

..GUYER.. 10/19/2007


ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...IND...

44538400 44018252 41998237 40788261 40008543 39028663
39768738 43488516
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#535 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:07 pm

What is scary is we are going into the overnight hours with no signs of any end to the event...
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#536 Postby RL3AO » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:07 pm

I've been watching the cell in Butler Co. KY and it now has a TVS.
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Re:

#537 Postby GeneratorPower » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:08 pm

Bunkertor wrote:Always the same with that f****** mobile homes...


As long as people live in a box constructed of aluminum foil and fiberglass insulation, they will continue to be obliterated by weak tornadoes that a site-built house would survive.

Nothing is going to withstand an EF-5 twister except a hole in the ground. But we should be prepared to withstand storms up to EF-1 strength.

Hasn't anyone read the THREE LITTLE PIGS ?!?!?!
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#538 Postby WindRunner » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:09 pm

And to regress a little bit, back in souther KY, the tornado (or apparent tornado, if you will) that first became apparent in Calloway County near the state line, and was confirmed near Trigg County is still looking fairly impressive from both the Nashville and Louisville domes. It's tracked about 110 nm so far.


EDIT: RL3AO beat me to it . . .
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#539 Postby chadtm80 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:10 pm

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#540 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 18, 2007 10:14 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1106 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

MIC155-190330-
/O.CON.KDTX.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-071019T0330Z/
SHIAWASSEE MI-
1106 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT FOR
SHIAWASSEE COUNTY...

AT 1057 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A TORNADO.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BANCROFT...OR ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF OWOSSO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JUDDVILLE BY 1120 PM EDT...
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW LOTHROP BY 1125 PM EDT...
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