Florida Weather

[JonathanBelles]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Bay Area Weekend forecast: Tonight will be another foggy night. Visibility could be less than 1/4th mile, & near zero-vis near the waterways/the fog prone areas. A warm front moving through FL will provide all of the moisture needed to turn dense fog into ground rain between 6-9am Saturday. A cold front will come across FL on Sunday with enough moisture/energy to create a few thunderstorms & an increase in rain chances to ~40%.

[HURAKAN]

More than an inch of rain has already fallen in my house.

[HURAKAN]

More than 2 inches already. WOW!

[Sanibel]

Nice little unexpected Low formed along that stationary boundary and rained on us this morning. Unusual steady rain for dry season. Much needed because we are in that near-water rain deficit pocket that probably had something to do with the negative maritime conditions this year.


Could this be the wet Nino?

[JonathanBelles]

Unexpected?? This has been mentioned by the NWS for at least the last 5 days. It was originally was supposed to be tomorrow, but im glad it isnt.

I do believe this will become a pattern, probably associated with El Nino.

[Evil Jeremy]

Round two just started at my house, and looking at the Radar, it is not going to stop for a long time. Tons of rain so far.

[JonathanBelles]

With about an inch of rain today (that we very much needed), we found a leak in our attic just about an hour ago that is rotting wood. Can't it be the holidays with out any problems.

[psyclone]

this weather pattern is pure nino. i suspected a developing nino would deep six the cane season and i'm equally confident it will deliver a significantly wetter than normal winter with a much higher than normal severe threat. of course time will tell but after last year's cold and sterile winter i'm looking forward to some interesting winter weather. in the near term, after a brief cool snap our airmass should quickly modify by monday with another gulf low approaching by next tuesday or wednesday so we're in a progressive, stormy weather pattern pattern typical of el nino.

[HURAKAN]

Key West got more than 7 inches of rain. WOW!

[AdamFirst]

Didn't get much rain around my neck of the woods...below a half an inch.

[HURAKAN]

Didn't get much rain around my neck of the woods...below a half an inch.

South Florida got lucky then, I got 2.75 inches of rain.

[JonathanBelles]

I got about an inch, but Manatee county had about 4.5" of rain

Code: Select all

000
ASUS62 KTBW 261520
RTPTBW
REGIONAL TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1020 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009

...24 HOUR HIGHS/LOWS/PRECIPITATION...

                                    PCPN     HIGH      LOW

ARCHBOLD                 :ACHF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
AVON PARK 2W             :AVPF1     0.89       71       60
BRADENTON                :BRAF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
BROOKSVILLE              :BKV       0.28       69       57
BROOKSVILLE 5NNE         :BROF1     0.32       74       62
CHIEFLAND 5SE            :CHIF1     0.90       64       58
FORT GREEN 12WSW         :FTGF1     1.88       68       63
FORT MYERS/PAGE FIELD    :FMY       0.46       74       68
FORT MYERS/SW INT APT    :RSW       0.70       74       67
INVERNESS 3SE            :INVF1     0.25       66       53
LAKE WALES               :LWLF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
LAKELAND LINDER FIELD    :LLDF1     0.65       76       67
ONA                      :ONAF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
OSPREY                   :OSPF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
PLANT CITY               :PLCF1     0.80       72       67
PUNTA GORDA              :PGD       1.89       73       66
RUSKIN                   :TBW       0.63       70       63
SARASOTA/BRADENTON APT   :SRQ       0.92       71       62
ST LEO                   :STLF1     0.62       73       62
ST PETE/ALBERT WHITTED   :SPG       0.88       71       61
ST PETE/CLEARWATER APT   :PIE       1.43       71       60
TAMPA INTERNATIONAL APT  :TPA       1.24       71       60
TARPON SPRINGS           :TRPF1      MSG      MSG      MSG
VENICE                   :VNCF1     1.69       73       70
WINTER HAVEN/GILBERT APT :GIF       0.28       70       59

DATA FOR LLDF1, STLF1, CHIF1, TRPF1, BROF1, AND PLCF1 ARE
24 HOUR MAX/MIN AND PRECIP FROM 4 PM TO 4 PM.


LOCATION                            PCPN
LEVY COUNTY
SUWANNEE 6NE             :SWNF1     0.01

CITRUS COUNTY
DUNNELLON                :DNLF1      MSG

HERNANDO COUNTY
BROOKSVILLE 7NNE         :HRDF1      MSG
RERDELL                  :RERF1     0.53

PINELLAS COUNTY
CLEARWATER               :ALLF1      MSG
DUNEDIN                  :CCKF1     0.83
DUNEDIN 1SE              :CRCF1     0.70
LARGO                    :MKYF1     1.15
OLDSMAR 2NW              :TBFF1     0.74
PINELLAS PARK            :SJOF1     0.77
PINELLAS PARK 2N         :RRCF1     0.77
PINELLAS PARK            :PNBF1     1.00
TARPON SPRINGS           :BTRF1     0.49

HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY
LITHIA                   :LITF1     0.79
TAMPA/MACDILL AFB        :MCF       1.05
OLDSMAR 3NE              :OLDF1     0.06
SULPHUR SPRINGS 3NW      :RHPF1     1.10
TAMPA/DELANEY CREEK      :DLYF1     0.96
TAMPA/DELANEY CREEK      :DLNF1     0.79
TAMPA/PROGRESS BLVD      :NACF1     0.79
TAMPA/EAST LAKE          :ELRF1     1.10
TAMPA DAM                :TMTF1     1.00
THONOTOSASSA 3N          :MORF1     1.50
WIMAUMA 4SW              :WIMF1     0.73

POLK COUNTY
BARTOW                   :BARF1     2.12
FORT MEADE               :FTMF1     1.54
LAKE WALES 3S            :LWEF1     0.48

MANATEE COUNTY
LAKE WARD/BRADENTON 5SE  :LWDF1     1.45
LORRAINE 1SW             :FRUF1     4.29
MYAKKA HEAD 8W           :MKHF1     1.06

SARASOTA COUNTY
MYAKKA STATE PARK        :MKCF1     0.96
NORTH PORT 2N            :NPOF1     0.79
NORTH PORT               :NPRF1     0.77

HIGHLANDS COUNTY
ARCHBOLD                 :ABDF1     0.02
BRIGHTON 6NW             :IDRF1      MSG
BRIGHTON 7NW             :IDPF1      MSG
BRIGHTON 7E              :SKRF1      MSG
LAKE PLACID 7NE          :LISF1      MSG

LEE COUNTY
BONITA SPRINGS 14NE      :BWMF1      MSG
BUCKINGHAM               :OLGF1     0.56
FORT MYERS               :FRSF1     0.38
FORT MYERS VILLAS        :FMVF1      MSG
LEHIGH ACRES             :LEAF1      MSG


$$

[O Town]

Wow some big rainfall totals for yall down south.
Our rain was on Tuesday and it seemed to rain all day, but not very hard.
Only .67 inch, but the grass was happy to get it though.
Now its just cold.........*47 right now. Brrrrrrrrrr

[Sanibel]

Chilly but not too bad. 68* or so in the sun 58* in the shade. Should warm up tomorrow to 80*.

[psyclone]

SPC highlights florida in the day 5 (wednesday) outlook for a severe threat with our next (probably nino induced) low. still a good ways out but if this comes together we could get one of those good winter squall lines preceded by some nice balmy, breezy weather.

[JonathanBelles]

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 AM CST SAT NOV 28 2009

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD REMAINS NEAR THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST EWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. BY MID TO LATE WEEK
ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH. ECMWF AND GFS
MAINTAIN RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY IN EJECTING UPPER LOW /NOW CLOSING
OFF OVER CA/ ACROSS TX/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC BY THURSDAY. GFS FORECASTS A MORE RAPID LOSS OF
AMPLIFICATION AND RESULTANT FASTER EJECTION ACROSS THE SRN
APPALACHIANS INTO THE CAROLINAS DAY 5/6...WHILE THE ECMWF MAINTAINS
A SLOWER/MORE CLOSED SYSTEM LONGER. REGARDLESS...APPEARS LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE RETURN WILL OVERSPREAD THE NERN GOM DURING THE MID TO LATE
WEEK AHEAD OF THIS IMPULSE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE SERN U.S. SHEAR VALUES SHOULD REMAIN
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION AS BROKEN SQUALL LINE DEVELOPS
AND SPREADS ESEWD AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF DAMAGING WINDS/ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

..EVANS.. 11/28/2009

[jinftl]

As of 3pm, winds have veered from the predominant direction of nw the last 48 hours to a north-northeasterly direction at Miami (airport). Winds in Fort Lauderdale (airport) are now out of the east-northeast. Temps are in the mid 70's...it is nothing short of glorious outside!!!

Now that the flow is turning onshore, that means one thing for sure...add about 10 degrees from last night's lows to tonight's lows in (especially) areas of south florida within a few miles of the coast....NWS Miami is calling for lows of 58-62 in Miami and Fort Lauderdale tonight (low to mid-50's further inland).

Back to above normal temps during the first few days of Decemeber...

LONG TERM...THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
TEMPS FORECAST AT THE PRESENT TIME TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL (5
DEGREES OR HIGHER) THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF
BEGIN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN RAIN CHANGES BEHIND A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT WILL BE PASSING THE AREA JUST TO OUR NORTH EARLY ON
TUESDAY AHEAD OF NEXT COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA SOMETIME AROUND THURSDAY WITH TIMING RATHER UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Upper level El nino-ish clouds kept it warmer than forecasted- Tampa Airports
Low was 49 and the forecasted low was 40- this morning.

[tropicana]

the dewpoints fell briefly to quite low figures (by South Florida standards) around mid-afternoon, Miami near 36F, Palm Beach 35F and Tamiami (West Kendall) 32F

[Sanibel]

Warming up already in clear sky and sun. If we get the tail end of that Low they are predicting maybe we'll get more rain.