Florida Weather

[jinftl]

Temps closing in on 80 deg across metro south florida.

Current image from Jupiter Inlet (Palm Beach county)...not too tough to take!

[Sanibel]

Not sure if the bottom tip of that front headed across the Gulf will make it to us.

[HURAKAN]

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
641 PM EST WED DEC 2 2009

DISCUSSION...MODELS STILL SHOWING SOME AGREEMENT IN THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE AND THE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND THE
WEEKEND. SFC LOW LOCATED NORTH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN HALF OF U.S., PUSHING ITS COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL
STALL ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA UNTIL AT LEAST SATURDAY,
WHEN A SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
PUSH THIS FRONT SOUTH ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AS THIS LOW EJECTS EAST
ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE ATLANTIC. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL BE
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY.

RAINWISE...KEPT LIKELY POPS FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM BOCA RATON TO MARCO ISLAND STARTING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THIS LINE, POPS WILL REMAIN IN THE CHANCE
CATEGORY DUE TO THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND THE FRONTAL POSITION
REMAINING NORTH OF THE AREA. AS THE FRONT STARTS MOVING SOUTH AGAIN,
SO THE LIKELY POPS, MAINLY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FROM SUNDAY ON,
KEPT POPS NEAR CLIMO.

[HURAKAN]

Looking forward to the rain.

[dizzyfish]

Geez - the whole middle of the state is under a Tornado Watch now until 4am.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw/

[Sanibel]

Front dried up on approach but I know we got something because the roads were wet when I got up.


Cold front not here yet. Still balmy and nice. Not using any electric $ to heat yet this week.

[tropicana]

December, and still a couple of 90s recorded across South Florida .

90 degree highs on Wed Dec 2 2009:-

Punta Gorda 90F
Boca Raton 90F

-justin-

[psyclone]

it looks like a real drenching is coming up for portions of the peninsula. national weather service tampa bay mentioning 2-4" with localized 4-6" amounts with a flood watch forthcoming. SPC also has slight risk for central florida on saturday. an average december only yields about 3 inches or so of rain around here so this event could dump an entire months worth of rain.

[Sanibel]

December, and still a couple of 90s recorded across South Florida .

90 degree highs on Wed Dec 2 2009:-

Punta Gorda 90F
Boca Raton 90F

-justin-

Not much above 80* here yesterday due to the Gulf waters.

[JonathanBelles]

Flood Watch out for the TBW, and its well warranted. 1" yesterday and another 2-6" on the way.

[Nimbus]

I know the official forecast is calling for heavy rain Friday, but there hasn't been that much convection out in the gulf after the first squall line went through?

Do you think they could have used the wrong dew points over the gulf or something, it has been sunny all afternoon in Pinellas county.

[psyclone]

I think you'll see the heavy rain develop as low pressure develops on the old front that has gone stationary over south fl. that should result in an over running rain event where surface winds are cool and northeasterly while winds aloft advect lots of juice up and over the cooler surface air. that should make for a raw and rather miserable day on friday north of the front. cyclogenesis should force the boundary northward as a warm front friday night. that could be the focal point for severe weather and heavier thunderstorms. in fact, the severe threat from this event should be higher than what we experienced last night since the upper support won't be running away to the north. so, a prolonged period of over running rains followed by some heavier thunderstorms will result in someone getting several inches of rain, most likely north of fort myers to port st lucie and south of daytona to cedar key since that's where the subtropical jet is positioned.

[JonathanBelles]

Nimbus: This pattern brings upon the sunshine state a lot of rapidly forming low pressure areas. These LPa's come out of nowhere at times, but are mildly predictable. This stationary front is like a train track waiting for a train (the low). When that train forms it will ride up the train tracks (across central Florida) and bring a lot of rain.

[Evil Jeremy]

Looks like SFL could get a decent drench as well:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/wv-l.jpg

[Sanibel]

Thunder earlier. Energy pulse pushed over us with 3/4 inch rain in moderate downpour. 66*

[JonathanBelles]

Yucky kinda rainy day. Moderate rain now with a cold N wind at 15mph. 62 degrees.

[Evil Jeremy]

This just popped up. I thought we would have gotten a Mesoscale discussion, but I didn't expect a tornado watch for all of SFL:
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 794
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM EST SAT DEC 5 2009

TORNADO WATCH 794 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC011-021-051-085-086-087-099-111-051400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0794.091205T0550Z-091205T1400Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROWARD COLLIER HENDRY
MARTIN MIAMI-DADE MONROE
PALM BEACH ST. LUCIE
$$

[Sanibel]

3 inches in the bucket. Steady light to moderate rain for most of the day. Longer rain event than all summer. Shield/front-type rain. Worst rain focused on Ft Myers area of Florida in training pulses.


Wet Nino seems to be panning out. This is unusual rain for dry season.


3 1/4 inch total. One last band moved through this am. Some thunder. Warm gusts from the SW. 72*

[jinftl]

Hmm....can you tell there is a cold front draped across the peninsula. Only a glancing shot of cooler air to make it into se fl.....lows in the high 50's tonight and then the onshore flow returns sunday.

[Sanibel]

57* overcast, cool this am.


Quick warm-up to 80* tomorrow.