STORM2K

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:To bring up the summer convo again, I still want to research this, but I'm interested in the correlation of a +NAO/-NAO and how it affects the Texas summer. I know Ntx has told us many times about the -PDO, and not trying to discount that in any way, the guy knows waaaaay more than me about this, but I'm very interested in this teleconnection.
Currently skiing in Steamboat. just received 22" of snow in 2 days. Conditions are fantastic. When I get home and have a few hours of boredom, I will look into more.

For those who are interested in where I will look first, I mentioned in last years summer thread..... During a -NAO, the bermuda high was very very weak or non existent. Pairing that with a very strong high directly over the Caribbean region, it allowed this high to flex well into the GOM/Texas region for the majority of the summer. Typically, if the NAO was positive and the bermuda high was strong, the high over the Caribbean and the Bermuda high would merge from time to time and would provide Texas and the GOM with a bit of a break from these massive heat ridges. If this heat ridge is leaning into Texas and the southern plains, all convection is shut off. I initially got into this wormhole because I just did not understand how an El nino summer could be so terrible.

Anyways, thats my thinking. Feel free to counter this idea, post on the subject, etc. The more the better.

Brent wrote:The bugs are back. How lovely

CaptinCrunch wrote:

Brent wrote:The bugs are back. How lovely

The lack of long freezes over the course of Winter didn't reduce the insect population by much, those damn mosquito hunters just swarm at dusk.

Ntxw wrote:Notable Ninas after El Nino. Summer warmth is focused over the E-US in particular midwest. There is a cold pool in West Texas and we're in the middle zone. Notice the budding ridge southwest of the Aleutians, that's Nina forcing and warmth off Japan, likely working with each other.

So the "hope" is the trough in West Texas can pump up rains. But as Stratton said, too long range.

https://i.imgur.com/UpTSOKe.png

https://i.imgur.com/nu9SuG1.png

funster wrote:Blobby storm is blobbing up near the TX/OK border. Probably won't get down to DFW though.

Stratton23 wrote:Ill pass on severe weather, but man i hope we could see a normal summer for once, “cooler” and more in the way of precipitation, but knowing us, that might come in the way of a tropical system

Cpv17 wrote:

Stratton23 wrote:Ill pass on severe weather, but man i hope we could see a normal summer for once, “cooler” and more in the way of precipitation, but knowing us, that might come in the way of a tropical system

Send a lil severe stuff my way. Gets my adrenaline pumping!

Cpv17 wrote:

Stratton23 wrote:Ill pass on severe weather, but man i hope we could see a normal summer for once, “cooler” and more in the way of precipitation, but knowing us, that might come in the way of a tropical system

Send a lil severe stuff my way. Gets my adrenaline pumping!