Tornado outbreak February 28-March 2, 20 dead, EF4 in Kansas

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
KSC207-010045-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0002.070301T0026Z-070301T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
626 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 645 PM CST.

* AT 622 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 12
MILES WEST OF NEOSHO FALLS...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF YATES CENTER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
NEOSHO FALLS.

THIS REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FOR
THE WARNED AREA.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...MOVE INTO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY STRUCTURE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3794 9584 3791 9551 3804 9551 3804 9587

$$

SCHRECK

[snoopj]

That warning around the KC area. My place of work is right in that area. I got out of there and was driving north out of the area. When I got up to the north part of town, this huge explosion of clouds literally came out of nowhere. When I left, I don't remember seeing much. 15-20 minutes later, huge clouds formed.

[CrazyC83]

Very conservative new watch:

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 37
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 635 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
OLATHE KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG
AND N OF THE SURFACE FRONT /NEAR THE MO RIVER/ THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS THE DEEPENING LOW AND MID LEVEL TROUGH LIFT NEWD ACROSS KS.
THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN STABLE N OF THE BOUNDARY...WHILE STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG DEVELOPS NEWD ABOVE THE
SHALLOW COOL AIR. THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE
HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...THOMPSON


SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 37
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 635 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF CHILLICOTHE MISSOURI TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
OLATHE KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG
AND N OF THE SURFACE FRONT /NEAR THE MO RIVER/ THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS THE DEEPENING LOW AND MID LEVEL TROUGH LIFT NEWD ACROSS KS.
THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN STABLE N OF THE BOUNDARY...WHILE STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG DEVELOPS NEWD ABOVE THE
SHALLOW COOL AIR. THE PRIMARY SEVERE STORM THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE
HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...THOMPSON


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 010028
WOU7

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 37
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 37 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KSC005-013-043-045-085-087-091-103-177-197-209-010900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0037.070301T0035Z-070301T0900Z/

KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE


MOC001-003-021-025-033-041-047-049-061-063-079-089-095-107-115-
117-121-165-175-177-195-211-010900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0037.070301T0035Z-070301T0900Z/

MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR ANDREW BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GRUNDY HOWARD
JACKSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON PLATTE
RANDOLPH RAY SALINE
SULLIVAN


ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW7
WW 37 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 010035Z - 010900Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30WNW CDJ/CHILLICOTHE MO/ - 30ESE OJC/OLATHE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /48NNE MKC - 28NNE BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.

LAT...LON 39979240 38669255 38669587 39979580

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.


Watch 37 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

[snoopj]

That's my neck of the woods. I don't know. I just not seeing a whole lot of the type of energy that would make me think this is a tornado maker up this direction. Then again, I'm pretty amateurish on reading this data. There's no cap, but I'm not seeing some of the other values that make me think it warranted a tornado watch up this area. I'm thinking hail/wind event. Just a gut feeling.

[CrazyC83]

That's my neck of the woods. I don't know. I just not seeing a whole lot of the type of energy that would make me think this is a tornado maker up this direction. Then again, I'm pretty amateurish on reading this data. There's no cap, but I'm not seeing some of the other values that make me think it warranted a tornado watch up this area. I'm thinking hail/wind event. Just a gut feeling.

I would have gone with a broad PDS Tornado Watch stretching all the way into Arkansas and Oklahoma...

[snoopj]

Like I said, just talking in my area up here. Down there, different story.

--snoopj

[CrazyC83]

Like I said, just talking in my area up here. Down there, different story.

--snoopj

Yeah, waiting for the cap to break in Oklahoma (it hasn't yet).

[snoopj]

Ah yes. I see. Still holding on to some moderate values down there. At least if I'm reading the values correctly. Remember that part about being amateurish? :-P

--snoopj

[snoopj]

New Tornado Warning for Allen and Woodson counties in Kansas.

WFUS53 KICT 010048
TORICT
KSC001-207-010130-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0003.070301T0048Z-070301T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
648 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ALLEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
NORTHEASTERN WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 730 PM CST.

* AT 646 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A TORNADO NEAR NEOSHO FALLS...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF IOLA...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF TORNADOES.

* THIS WARNING REPLACES THE PREVIOUS TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN
WOODSON COUNTY.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
GAS...IOLA...LA HARPE...NEOSHO FALLS.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...MOVE INTO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY STRUCTURE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3798 9571 3787 9528 3803 9523 3804 9565

$$

SCHRECK



The sucker has some impressive hail values coming out of it, as well.

[snoopj]

Wow. That is turning into one heck of a hail maker. Estimations of 3.73" diameter hail. It's also a wide swath of hail, as well. I have a GRLevel capture of it, but I have no idea where to host it. Heh.

[CrazyC83]

Yep, up to softball size hail in that cell from what I am reading...

[simplykristi]

WOW I just got home from eating out. We got caught in the worst hailstorm I have ever seen. It covered the ground!

Kristi

[snoopj]

Estimations are upwards to 4.61" diameter hail. Ouch.

Clarification: In the Anderson county, KS storm.

Also, is it me, or am I starting to see a little hook in the edge of that storm?

--snoopj

[snoopj]

Heh. Apparently I'm the only one that rushed home to play with his weather toys.

Oh, and 5" hail being reported in that Anderson County, KS storm now.

--snoopj

[simplykristi]

I left my house at 5:15 PM and the sky was clear with the exception of a few clouds building off to my south and southwest. There was NOTHING on the radar at all at that time. I went out to eat and could see clouds really gathering to my south and southwest during dinner. Then my friend said it was lightning. As we finished dinner, the rain started. It was dark and the dusk was fading to the west. At 6:30, we left the restaurant and went across the highway so my friend could get gas. As we were leaving Q-Trip, the hail started. It just came down and covered everything! We stayed under the canopy until it stopped. Unbelievable!

Kristi

[simplykristi]

My weather radio alarm just went off a couple of minutes ago for a warning for eastern Douglas County KS for quarter-inch size hail.

Kristi who can't type LOL

[CrazyC83]

5" hail??? That will be quite destructive!

[snoopj]

The hail core on that storm is rather impressive.

[CrazyC83]

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 710 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KNOB NOSTER
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...WW 37...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELL WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS WHILE MOVING ENEWD INTO W CENTRAL MO ALONG THE
NRN FRINGE OF THE MOIST SECTOR. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE INTO THE MID 50S THIS AREA AS LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR ALSO INTENSIFIES...THUS MAINTAINING A FAVORABLE
SUPERCELL/TORNADO ENVIRONMENT WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...THOMPSON


SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 710 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KNOB NOSTER
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...WW 37...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TORNADIC SUPERCELL WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR
SEVERAL MORE HOURS WHILE MOVING ENEWD INTO W CENTRAL MO ALONG THE
NRN FRINGE OF THE MOIST SECTOR. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE INTO THE MID 50S THIS AREA AS LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR ALSO INTENSIFIES...THUS MAINTAINING A FAVORABLE
SUPERCELL/TORNADO ENVIRONMENT WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...THOMPSON


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 010106
WOU8

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

TORNADO WATCH 38 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KSC011-107-121-010900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0038.070301T0110Z-070301T0900Z/

KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOURBON LINN MIAMI


MOC013-015-037-039-053-083-085-101-141-159-185-217-010900-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0038.070301T0110Z-070301T0900Z/

MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BATES BENTON CASS
CEDAR COOPER HENRY
HICKORY JOHNSON MORGAN
PETTIS ST. CLAIR VERNON


ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW8
WW 38 TORNADO KS MO 010110Z - 010900Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WNW SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/ - 80SSW SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /38SE MKC - 41WNW SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.

LAT...LON 38849286 37639301 37639520 38849508

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.


Watch 38 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

[simplykristi]

That watch includes counties to just my south and SE. We are under a Severe T-storm Watch.

Kristi