STORM2K

What the heck!? I'm getting a surprise complex of storms right now!

Is the rain threat on Sunday substantial for DFW area?

The rain forecast for this week has been really poor. All week there has been rain in today's forecast, even up till yesterday evening, now POOF all but gone this morning. We'll see if Sunday pans out or bust.

SPC did finally extend some greater severe probabilities farther southwest into NE/E TX. Convective coverage does get more iffy down this way.

cstrunk wrote:SPC did finally extend some greater severe probabilities farther southwest into NE/E TX. Convective coverage does get more iffy down this way.

SPC wording is pretty heavy. Definitely glad we're not partaking in this outbreak. Big day for the MS valley.

Ntxw wrote:

cstrunk wrote:SPC did finally extend some greater severe probabilities farther southwest into NE/E TX. Convective coverage does get more iffy down this way.

SPC wording is pretty heavy. Definitely glad we're not partaking in this outbreak. Big day for the MS valley.

The last couple HRRR runs and the NAMNST are more aggressive with potential supercells in NE TX this afternoon. Not all of us are out of the woods yet.

Some models pull storms back into DFW, but they likely wouldn't have time to mature before clearing the metroplex.

CaptinCrunch wrote:The rain forecast for this week has been really poor. All week there has been rain in today's forecast, even up till yesterday evening, now POOF all but gone this morning. We'll see if Sunday pans out or bust.

The rain is coming. The models have been too quick with the atmospheric transition to the more Nino like base state. Ntxw has been banging the drum for a bit now saying that we will see a much wetter pattern emerge across the state as we move into April.

Cell firing right in the center of DFW.

I have family in Cedar Rapids, Iowa......

bubba hotep wrote:Cell firing right in the center of DFW.

Heard quite a bit of thunder but no rain.

 https://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1641423368263024641

Got dumped on in Uptown. Glad they formed on top of us instead of to the West. Look like they are going to get pretty nasty.

Not Texas, but many of us are familiar with the area…

—-
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
Issued by National Weather Service Memphis TN
236 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ARC045-085-117-119-145-312015-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230331T2015Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-Faulkner AR-White AR-Pulaski AR-
236 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR Metro Little Rock...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN PRAIRIE...NORTHERN LONOKE...SOUTHEASTERN FAULKNER...
SOUTH CENTRAL WHITE AND NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

At 234 PM CDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located
over North Little Rock Airport, moving northeast at 55 mph.

TORNADO EMERGENCY for Metro Little Rock. This is a PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Deadly tornado.

SOURCE...Broadcast media confirmed tornado. At 235 PM CDT, a
destructive tornado was causing damage near Highway 107 at
Keihl Avenue west of Sherwood.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Little Rock, North Little Rock, Sherwood, Jacksonville, Cabot,
Maumelle, Downtown Little Rock, North Little Rock Airport, Little
Rock AFB, Beebe, Ward, Austin in Lonoke County, Argenta, Old Austin,
Burns Park, Parnell, Gravel Ridge, Morgan, Marche and Oak Grove in
Pulaski County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3472 9238 3491 9240 3518 9178 3494 9163
TIME...MOT...LOC 1934Z 245DEG 46KT 3482 9224

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

 https://twitter.com/katvtoddyak/status/1641889235153178633

Continuing on the ground with a Tornado Emergency in the Little Rock vicinity…


—————-
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
252 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

ARC085-117-119-145-312015-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-230331T2015Z/
Prairie AR-Lonoke AR-White AR-Pulaski AR-
252 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN PRAIRIE...NORTHERN LONOKE...SOUTH CENTRAL WHITE AND
NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...

At 252 PM CDT, a confirmed large and dangerous tornado was located
over Parnell, or near Cabot, moving northeast at 55 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may
be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes
will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction
is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville... Cabot...
Beebe... Ward...
Austin in Lonoke County... Thurman...
Old Austin... Parnell...
McRae... Sylvania...
Garner... Vinity Corner...
Butlerville... Hickory Plains...
Woodlawn...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the
tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 3485 9207 3497 9211 3518 9178 3494 9163
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 243DEG 48KT 3492 9200

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

Northeast Texas…

—————-

WFUS54 KSHV 312044
TORSHV
ARC081-TXC037-312115-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0045.230331T2044Z-230331T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
344 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Little River County in southwestern Arkansas...
Central Bowie County in northeastern Texas...

* Until 415 PM CDT.

* At 344 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Dalby Springs, or 12 miles southeast of Boxelder,
moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
New Boston around 405 PM CDT.
Hooks around 415 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Leary,
Spring Hill and Red Bank.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3367 9428 3337 9414 3333 9473 3337 9475
3341 9475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 245DEG 42KT 3338 9469

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

Very near Tyler…

—————-
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
355 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southern Smith County in northeastern Texas...

* Until 430 PM CDT.

* At 355 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Chandler, or 7 miles west of Tyler, moving east at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Whitehouse around 415 PM CDT.
Tyler around 420 PM CDT.
Overton and Arp around 430 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include New
Chapel Hill and Noonday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

No words…hope it isn’t as bad as it sounds.

—————-
 https://twitter.com/skotwx/status/1641903338911301633

Yeah, a Little Rock hospital went it to mass casualty mode awhile ago.

National Guard has been requested.