Florida Weather

[NDG]

Wow, lucky you in Miami, I barely got 1/2"

[northjaxpro]

Jax metro under severe thunderstorm warning currently. I had a wind gust up to 48 mph during a strong downdraft in a heavy thunderstorm.

[northjaxpro]

The severe thunderstorm has moved offshore Jax Beach and the overall line has dropped east-southeast of Jax metro. Radar now shows the line of storms extending southwest from Nocatee to Keystone Heights, moving east. I also got an additional 1/3 of in an inch of rain with this latest round of storms, bringing my total of rain so far today just under 1.5 inches. This is the most rain in a single day I have measured since mid December 2011. This rain was badly needed to say the least!

The final batch of rain is now heading our way via the MCV, which has remarkably stayed intact for the past couple of days moving rapidly east along the entire Gulf Coast. Currently, it is moving over the Suwanee River Valley approaching the I-75 corridor. This feature should move into the Northeast Florida in the next couple of hours.

[gsytch]

Well, it rained. Just barely over 6/10th inch but welcomed indeed. Afetr all, it is April and it doesn't rain much in April!

[northjaxpro]

I ended up with a total of 1.4 inches of rain from the event yesterday. That is far and away the most rainfaill measured in a single day at my location since mid December 2011. It has been so very dry for so long and that rain yesterday was an absolute blessing. We need a lot more rain to help erase the deficit.

[AdamFirst]

Winter better come back with a vengeance next year. It owes me like a good month of cold weather.

[cycloneye]

March was the warmest on record in Jacksonville,Gainsville.

March 2012 - Warmest on Record

March 2012 will go down as the warmest March on record at the southeast Georgia climate sites of St Simons Island and Alma, while it was one of the Top 10 warmest March's on record at the northeast Florida climate sites of Jacksonville and Gainesville. A summer-like Bermuda high pressure ridge extended across the forecast area for most of the month and a general southeast flow across the region kept temperatures well above normal with highs into the 80s for most of the month. Much of the month was relatively dry except for two widespread heavy rainfall events. One occurred at the beginning of the month on the 3rd and 4th when a cold front brought widespread 3 to 5 inch rainfall totals across southeast Georgia and lesser amounts across northeast Florida, and another occurred on the 31st when widespread 1 to 3 inch amounts occurred across northeast Florida with lesser amounts across southeast Georgia. Rainfall totals ended up near normal across southeast Georgia and slightly below normal across northeast Florida. No freeze events were experienced across the region. The March 2012 climate summary table is listed below.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/news/display_cm ... 2&source=0

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

According to the Tampa Bay NWS Discussion, a Low pressure area may produce storms this Friday
across central florida with the potential for some strong storms according to the ECMWF run.
Link:
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

000
FXUS62 KTBW 021744
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
144 PM EDT MON APR 2 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON - RIDGING REACHED NORTHWARD OVER THE
SIERRA AND CASCADE RANGES...A TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIES TO A CLOSED LOW OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN ROCKIES...A RIDGE
FROM THE GULF TO HUDSON BAY CONTAINED AN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE TROUGH
ON ITS SW SIDE...AND A LOW OVER QUEBEC TROUGHED TO OFFSHORE THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES. AT THE SURFACE - HIGH PRESSURE SPRAWLED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES TO MUCH OF CA/NV...A LOW OVER THE MIDWEST HAD A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY/DRYLINE THAT STRETCHED SOUTH TO NORTHEAST MEXICO
AND A SECOND FRONT THAT ARCED SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
SEABOARD TO A LOW SE OF NEW ENGLAND...AND BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WAS
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF-BAHAMAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - WEDNESDAY)...
THE UPPER RIDGE FROM THE GULF TO CANADA SLIDES EAST AND FLATTENS
IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH RIDING UP THE WEST SIDE OF
THE RIDGE AND THE CLOSED LOW LIFTING NE TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE EAST GULF TO THE BAHAMAS CONTINUE
THROUGH TUE THEN THEN RE-CENTERS EAST OF THE BAHAMAS WED BUT
RIDGES BACK ACROSS SOUTHERN FL TO THE EAST GULF.

THE ATMOSPHERE STAYS STABLE AND GENERALLY DRY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SOME PATCHY LATE
NIGHT FOG MAINLY INLAND AGAIN TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE BUT DOMINATED BY AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS IN
THE AFTERNOON.

BY WED THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ALONG
WITH AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL FLOW FORM THE SOUTH AND SOUTH TO
BRING IN SOME HIGHER LEVELS OF MOISTURE. THIS WILL PROVIDE A TAD
MORE CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS WED AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE NORMAL ALTHOUGH THE HIGHS
WED MAY BE A BIT LOWER THAN TUE.

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT - MONDAY)...
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A LONG WAVE OMEGA BLOCK
PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA...CHARACTERIZED BY TROUGHING OVER BOTH
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHEASTERN COASTS AND AMPLIFIED RIDGING OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS. MAIN PLAYER FOR OUR WEATHER WILL BE A CLOSED LOW
FEATURE ADVERTISED BY BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF EXITING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TOWARD THE TN VALLEY. THIS FEATURE WILL EVENTUALLY DROP
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD OUR REGION WITH ENHANCED RAIN CHANCES BY
FRIDAY. UPPER LEVEL FLOW ABOVE THE EASTERN GULF AND FL PENINSULA
WILL INITIALLY BE OF A MAINLY ZONAL CONFIGURATION. WITH THIS IN MIND
WILL EXPECT ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY FOR THURSDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SOME
INDICATION THAT SOME WEAK ENERGY MAY BE RIDING THE ZONAL FLOW AHEAD
OF THE UPPER LOW...AND THIS MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW
AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA.

GLOBAL GUIDANCE IN AGREEMENT SHOWING THE UPPER LOW OPENING UP AND
THEN DIVING TO THE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE FL PENINSULA/SE COAST ON
FRIDAY. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PARENT UPPER ENERGY WE WILL ALSO FIND A
SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. DO NOT HAVE
COMPLETE AGREEMENT IN THE DETAILS...WITH THE GFS SHOWING THE
SHORTWAVE PATH A BIT FURTHER EAST/AWAY FROM OUR REGION. ON THE OTHER
HAND...THE ECMWF DROPS ITS ENERGY RIGHT DOWN OVER THE PENINSULA.
EITHER WAY...AT LEAST SOME SYNOPTIC FORCING AND LOW LEVEL FOCUS
ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD SUPPORT A SCATTERING OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
REGION-WIDE FOR FRIDAY. IF THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS TO VERIFY THEN THE
THREAT FOR SOME STRONGER STORMS WOULD ALSO EXIST. 02/00Z RUN SHOWS
HEALTHY QG FORCING ALIGNED WITH 35-45 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED
CONVECTION.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Line of strong storms with bow echoes approaching the west coast of Florida and Tampa Bay
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw

[psyclone]

Line of strong storms with bow echoes approaching the west coast of Florida and Tampa Bay
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw

that line is no joke. looks borderline severe. pinellas and manatee county better be ready for quite a blast if this holds together.

[Florida1118]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC057-081-103-050245-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0002.120405T0147Z-120405T0245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
947 PM EDT WED APR 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
NORTHWESTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
PINELLAS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1045 PM EDT

* AT 944 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 22 MILES WEST OF BELLEAIR BEACH TO 23 MILES WEST OF EGMONT
KEY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 24 MILES WEST OF DUNEDIN TO 26
MILES WEST OF FORT DESOTO PARK...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HONEYMOON ISLAND...CLEARWATER BEACH.
DUNEDIN...CALADESI ISLAND.
PALM HARBOR...CRYSTAL BEACH.
SAFETY HARBOR...SAINT PETE CLEARWATER AIRPORT.
VENETIAN ISLES...OLDSMAR.
TAMPA...WESTCHASE...TOWN N COUNTRY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 75 BETWEEN EXITS 224 AND 229.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 275 BETWEEN EXITS 2 AND 53.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 2808 8285 2806 8280 2816 8281 2816 8245
2781 8244 2785 8256 2796 8256 2795 8271
2789 8258 2769 8271 2759 8262 2762 8258
2776 8245 2750 8245 2748 8272 2754 8275
2760 8263 2765 8270 2758 8278
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 266DEG 30KT 2802 8316 2753 8312

$$

[psyclone]

line looks considerably weaker vs a half hour ago.

[gsytch]

It is raining now after some gust front winds, thunder in the distance but the area has weakened. Just rainfall, somewhat heavy. Twice in a week in spring...wow! MOre expected Friday!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Had a wind gust to 45 mph at Saint Pete Albert Whitted Airport...they looked about that strong at my house (just northeast
of downtown Saint Petersburg)...Strong winds but thankfully below
the severe limit (which is defined as 58 mph).
Lots of heavy rain and plenty of lightning.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The line of storms today has added some wetness to the ground. A stronger line should move through late Tomorrow. That has the potential to be severe. While today's gusts were 40-50 mph some of the storms tomorrow could be 60+ mph based on Tampa NWS Short Term Forecast through tomorrow night.

In addition, the current line of storms looks strong just west of Key West. The cells are large in size along the squall line so the
Keys and possibly parts of South Florida if it holds together may get some of the action...

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The area of storms for today has gone well south of us...I am starting to doubt the chance of severe weather tonight but
we will see what happens.

Update: EPIC FAIL on my forecast. No storms in sight, not even rain. I need to get better at accounting for dry air
in the forecasts...the good news: at least no severe weather.

[Bocadude85]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC021-051-061430-
/O.NEW.KMFL.SV.W.0001.120406T1353Z-120406T1430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
953 AM EDT FRI APR 6 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL HENDRY COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.
CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT

* AT 951 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR WEST TOLL GATE ON ALLIGATOR ALLEY...AND MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH. STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED PENNY SIZED TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL
WITH THIS STORM

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
GOLDEN GATE ESTATES...
AVE MARIA...
INTERSECTION ALLIGATOR ALLEY AND SR 29...
HENDRY CORRECTIONAL I/A/P...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. STAY
INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 2643 8119 2607 8109 2602 8175 2628 8181
TIME...MOT...LOC 1353Z 264DEG 37KT 2616 8160

$$

[Bocadude85]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC011-099-061615-
/O.NEW.KMFL.SV.W.0002.120406T1546Z-120406T1615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1146 AM EDT FRI APR 6 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.
SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1215 PM EDT

* AT 1143 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETECTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR PARKLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
DEERFIELD BEACH...
BOCA RATON...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE VERY STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. STAY
INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 2629 8007 2619 8009 2619 8031 2636 8033
2640 8006 2637 8006
TIME...MOT...LOC 1546Z 258DEG 33KT 2632 8017

$$

AK

[gsytch]

Nada. Nothing. All first swept north, then south later on. The cold front produced a few clouds, and the wind is noticeably stronger, but no precip. Zero. Oh well, at least I got 1/4" Wed evening!

[northjaxpro]

Talk about a nice time for an upper level trough to develop finally across the Eastern 2/3 of the CONUS. Cooler and drier air will move into the North Florida area for the next few days. Finally, we will have a nice reprieve from the above normal temperatures we have had it seems for far too long. Actually it will feel more like early March than the early part of April that we are now having. Temps are forecast to drop in the interior areas of the region into the mid-upper 40s by Easter Sunday morning. Highs through the weekend only low-mid 70s, which is much better than the max temps around 90 that we have seen the past couple of weeks.