Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC020-030-101545-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0139.101110T1154Z-101110T1545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
754 AM AST WED NOV 10 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT JOHN
SAINT THOMAS

* UNTIL 1145 AM AST

* AT 742 AM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THIS RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO THE
RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL RESULT IN RAPID RISES ON
GUSTS AND FLOODING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO
CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY. OVER THREE INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH
11:45 AM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1830 6462 1826 6481 1827 6499 1831 6510
1839 6511 1843 6506 1840 6467

$$

MARTINEZ/AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[msbee]

good morning Luis
How are things in PR?
Have you been getting a lot of rain?
skies here are cloudy and the sun was shining earlier.
I cannot figure out how much rain St. Maarten might get from this system.
It looks to me like it might stay somewhere slightly west of us ( over you and VI unfortunately) and that we might escape the heaviest rain.
what do you think?

[Gustywind]

good morning Luis
How are things in PR?
Have you been getting a lot of rain?
skies here are cloudy and the sun was shining earlier.
I cannot figure out how much rain St. Maarten might get from this system.
It looks to me like it might stay somewhere slightly west of us ( over you and VI unfortunately) and that we might escape the heaviest rain.
what do you think?

Huge amount of very strong convection on the BVI.... Let's hope that nothing occur with this system on the Northern Leewards and PR too.

[msbee]

Gusty
is that heading North or Northeast?
if it is heading northeast then we are sure to get some of it.
conditions here right now are calm and cloudy and very humid

[bvigal]

Barbara, get ready for some raindrops... and if you HEAR the slightest clap of thunder, run around and yank cords out of the wall! LOL, that may be a bit extreme.

But forgive me I'm gunshy as got FRIED this morning by a spectacular lightning bolt that vaporized some wires and killed a transformer. I had unplugged most stuff, but something in my bedroom smell of melting...

It started flooding here this morning and they let schools out. Right now it's quiet, but do anticipate more shower/tstorms to build and move through.

So, my neighborhood is without power AND phone/internet, and the repeaters up on tower went down, cell service is spotty at best. And of course, we are on cistern/pumps so no water, either. It's too dangerous for the electric guys to be out working in this, so I don't expect to get fixed today. I packed up my work and laptop and headed over to a friend's for the day. But, around 3pm I'll have to go home and pack up the fridge to keep from losing all my food - the poor thing has a bad seal and runs constantly just to stay cold. Ah, living in paradise some days has its costs!

[Gustywind]

Gusty
is that heading North or Northeast?
if it is heading northeast then we are sure to get some of it.
conditions here right now are calm and cloudy and very humid

Barbara thanks for this nice info! Looks like it's moving a tad Northeast with my untrained eyes so looks like you're going to have of showers and isolated tstorms...near you be aware as usual.

[msbee]

Barbara, get ready for some raindrops... and if you HEAR the slightest clap of thunder, run around and yank cords out of the wall! LOL, that may be a bit extreme.

But forgive me I'm gunshy as got FRIED this morning by a spectacular lightning bolt that vaporized some wires and killed a transformer. I had unplugged most stuff, but something in my bedroom smell of melting...

It started flooding here this morning and they let schools out. Right now it's quiet, but do anticipate more shower/tstorms to build and move through.

So, my neighborhood is without power AND phone/internet, and the repeaters up on tower went down, cell service is spotty at best. And of course, we are on cistern/pumps so no water, either. It's too dangerous for the electric guys to be out working in this, so I don't expect to get fixed today. I packed up my work and laptop and headed over to a friend's for the day. But, around 3pm I'll have to go home and pack up the fridge to keep from losing all my food - the poor thing has a bad seal and runs constantly just to stay cold. Ah, living in paradise some days has its costs!

OMG, that's a damn shame
so thats what I should expect here?
and I have house guests arriving today to catch some sun. well, no sun today I guess.
I always unplug my stuff when I see lightening or hear thunder.
well, sometimes I forget
yea, paradise isn't always what it's cracked up to be, is it? LOL
stay dry and safe!

[bvigal]

OMG, that's a damn shame
so thats what I should expect here?
and I have house guests arriving today to catch some sun. well, no sun today I guess.
I always unplug my stuff when I see lightening or hear thunder.
well, sometimes I forget
yea, paradise isn't always what it's cracked up to be, is it? LOL
stay dry and safe!

I sure can't see your island through the clouds on satellite, so my guess is no sun. Don't worry, tell your guests to watch their cuticles soften, hangnails heal, and dry skin disappear. Then pour them a tall fruity rum drink and they will be content!

Our winds SW/WSW, barometer was 1008mb, and cold cloud tops, so yes, this is more than just run-of-the-mill rain, if it continues to creep eastward, you will likely get a few tstorms.
You can watch the rain approach on long-range loop from SJU:
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=JUA&product=N0Z&overlay=11100000&loop=yes

[cycloneye]

good morning Luis
How are things in PR?
Have you been getting a lot of rain?
skies here are cloudy and the sun was shining earlier.
I cannot figure out how much rain St. Maarten might get from this system.
It looks to me like it might stay somewhere slightly west of us ( over you and VI unfortunately) and that we might escape the heaviest rain.
what do you think?

So far no major problems in terms of flooding has occured here,only some minor ones as the bulk of precipitation has moved east of PR.I am as bvigal said,waiting for the cooler and sunny weather that is comming by the weekend.

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-102230-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0141.000000T0000Z-101110T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
129 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 630 PM AST

* AT 120 PM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS
MOVING INTO THE WARNED AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE...ON AND OFF...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER HAS REPORTED OVER 7 INCHES OF
RAINFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE WARNED AREA AT LEAST THROUGH 630 PM...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED 2 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1769 6462 1765 6465 1767 6471 1762 6484
1768 6494 1777 6495 1781 6481 1780 6457
1772 6455

$$

AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
322 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS...AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CARIBBEAN SHIFTS INTO THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC A LONG WAVE
TROUGH WILL PASS JUST NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. ON MONDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL RE-BUILD OVER THE CARIBBEAN
WITH A CENTER NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE BY THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A TROUGH ACROSS PUERTO RICO WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING EXTENSIVE MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH. ANOTHER BOUNDARY
EXTENDING EAST-WEST FROM JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA TO JUST NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO WILL SAG SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR
THURSDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM OVER THE AREA ON
FRIDAY FROM THE NORTHWEST...BUT NORTHWEST FLOW AROUND A LOW
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DRYING OVER THE
WEEKEND. MINOR BANDS OF MOISTURE WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA WITH
SHALLOW MOISTURE FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.

IN THE MEANTIME...A LOW PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC EAST OF MARYLAND
AND NORTH OF SAINT THOMAS WILL SINK SOUTH THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT TO
TO A POINT EAST OF GEORGIA...PUSHING WAVES ALONG TOWARD THE LOCAL
AREA. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. NORTH FLOW
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL BECOME NORTHEAST AND CONTINUE FOR
MOST OF NEXT WEEK WHEN HIGH PRESSURE FILLS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING
LOW AND THEN MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORRENTIAL
RAIN MOVED VERY SLOWLY OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LEAVING 3 TO 8
INCHES OF RAIN. ANOTHER WEAKER BAND HAS RE-FORMED AND IS
APPROACHING THE AREA AGAIN WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD LAST
TWO TO THREE HOURS AND DUMP ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES. A FEW SHOWERS WERE
ALSO FORMING OVER INTERIOR PUERTO RICO AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SOUTH
OF PUERTO RICO. ANOTHER RAIN BAND WAS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
CORNER OF PUERTO RICO AND WILL MOVE A LITTLE EASTWARD INTO THE
ISLAND. ANOTHER BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS LOCATED TO THE
NORTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO. THIS BAND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND
MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO SOMETIME ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS SHOW SOME MOISTURE LINGERING OVER OR
JUST SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS MAY SEE THE MOST OF THIS MOISTURE...BUT THE MODELS ARE
FORECASTING MUCH LESS RAIN AMOUNTS AFTER FRIDAY. NEVERTHELESS
ALTHOUGH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY
MORNING...IT MAY AT A LATER TIME HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE
WEEKEND DEPENDING ON HOW THE MOISTURE BAND BEHAVES. GENERAL DRYING
OCCURS AFTER FRIDAY WITH MOISTURE AT 600 MB DISAPPEARING AFTER
SUNDAY AND IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH SATURDAY OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP ANY SHOWERS THAT FORM AS SHALLOW AND LIGHT
PRODUCERS...BUT SHOWERS ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF THE ISLANDS DURING
THE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS ARE STILL EXPECTED AND SOME SHOWERS
WILL FORM IN THE LEEWARD CORNER OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE
AFTERNOONS NEXT WEEK.

JUST A NOTE...THE 12Z RUN OF THE GFS TAKES THE WEAK LOW ON THE
NORTHERN COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA THAT IS ALONG THE AXIS OF THE
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH US TONIGHT AND MOVES IT TO THE WEST. BY MID
WEEK NEXT WEEK IT RAMPS THIS LOW INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...POSSIBLY
TO HURRICANE FORCE.

&&

.AVIATION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MVFR/LOCAL IFR
CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE IN AND AROUND
TISX AND TIST TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH 11/12Z.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS ARE STILL HOVERING AROUND 7 TO 8 FEET IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS BUT ARE EXPECTED TO COME DOWN VERY SLOWLY. THE
STRONG LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS GENERATING STRONG
WIND WAVES THAT ARE FORECAST TO ARRIVE ON FRIDAY NIGHT AT BUOY
41043 AND BECOME HAZARDOUS SURF BY SATURDAY MORNING. SEAS OF 10 TO
13 FEET AND BREAKING WAVES OF 12 TO 18 FEET ARE LIKELY OVER NEXT
WEEKEND.

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
453 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

VIC010-102230-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.W.0141.000000T0000Z-101110T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
453 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM AST FOR SAINT
CROIX ISLAND...

AT 450 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT RAIN HAS DISSIPATED AND
NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...RUNOFF FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE
FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS SAINT CROIX WHERE WIDESPREAD THREE TO SEVEN
INCHES OF RAIN FELL DURING THE DAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 1769 6462 1765 6465 1767 6471 1762 6484
1768 6494 1777 6495 1781 6481 1780 6457
1772 6455

$$

ROSA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

San Juan,Puerto Rico is approaching the record of rainfall ever (87.55 inches in 1931)

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju//?n=rainfall2010

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
920 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

PRC057-123-110515-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0558.101111T0120Z-101111T0515Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUAYAMA PR-SALINAS PR-
920 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
GUAYAMA AND SALINAS

* UNTIL 115 AM AST

* AT 918 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER SALINAS MOVING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST
AROUND 10 MPH. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT ONE TO THREE INCHES
HAVE FALLEN ACROSS SALINAS. THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE TO
FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1797 6632 1800 6635 1806 6627 1809 6622
1803 6613 1812 6608 1810 6607 1794 6607
1791 6614 1792 6635

$$

ROSA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1050 PM AST WED NOV 10 2010

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL AFFECTING
PARTS OF SALINAS...SANTA ISABEL AND GUAYAMA AND PARTS OF SAINT
CROIX...WHILE PARTLY TO VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIMITED SHOWER
ACTIVITY PREVAILED ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THIS
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE LOCATED OVER NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN COMBINED WITH A
STATIONARY FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS CONTINUE IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND ACROSS THE ANEGADA
PASSAGE AT THIS TIME. HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
CONTINUES TO LOOK PROMISING FOR THURSDAY...SUGGESTING THAT SHOWERS
COULD MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS AND PRODUCE TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

[cycloneye]

Good morning.Finnally,it looks like better weather will be with us by the weekend.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
548 AM AST THU NOV 11 2010

.SYNOPSIS...GENERALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS PUERTO RICO TODAY AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY...WITH A SIGNIFICANT
IMPROVEMENT IN WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS BEGAN TO MERGE WITH
ANOTHER OLD BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO EARLY THIS
MORNING...HELPING TO INTENSIFY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE ISLAND.
EXPECT THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND FRIDAY...AS IT SLOWLY DISSIPATES...BEFORE FINALLY
GETTING DRIVEN SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. IN THE MEANTIME...EXPECT A VERY MOIST LOW LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY...TO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
GENERALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER TODAY...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON
FRIDAY...WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINING IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 AM
AST FRIDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AS WELL AS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THEREAFTER...EXPECT A MUCH DRIER AND MORE WINTER LIKE AIR MASS TO
REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS AIR MASS WILL HELP LIMIT AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS
THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WHILE
A RETURN TO A MORE NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW WILL
HELP GENERATE VERY LIGHT AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS AND TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN THIRDS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING TJMZ...TJSJ...TIST AND TISX THROUGH 11/14Z IN
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. AFT
11/14Z...EXPECT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH MVFR AND LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS...AS
WELL AS MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS...ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA
THROUGH AT LEAST 12/00Z.

&&

.MARINE...HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
THE LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH
RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...AS
LARGE...LONG PERIOD SWELLS...ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...BEGIN TO INVADE THE LOCAL WATERS.

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
841 AM AST THU NOV 11 2010

PRC007-021-025-029-031-033-037-047-051-053-061-063-087-089-101-103-
105-119-127-135-137-139-143-145-111545-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0561.101111T1241Z-101111T1545Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CAGUAS PR-COROZAL PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-GURABO PR-
NARANJITO PR-MOROVIS PR-TOA ALTA PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-VEGA ALTA PR-
DORADO PR-LUQUILLO PR-NAGUABO PR-GUAYNABO PR-CEIBA PR-CANOVANAS PR-
FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-VEGA BAJA PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-TOA BAJA PR-
841 AM AST THU NOV 11 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CAGUAS...COROZAL...AGUAS BUENAS...GURABO...
NARANJITO...MOROVIS...TOA ALTA...TRUJILLO ALTO...VEGA ALTA...
DORADO...LUQUILLO...NAGUABO...GUAYNABO...CEIBA...CANOVANAS...
FAJARDO...CAROLINA...CATANO...VEGA BAJA...SAN JUAN...LOIZA...RIO
GRANDE AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 1145 AM AST

* WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF THEM WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY DOWNPOURS MOVING
INTO THE WARNED AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...ON AND
OFF...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A TRAINED
WEATHER SPOTTER HAS REPORTED OVER 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE THIS
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE WARNED AREA
AT LEAST THROUGH 630 PM...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED 2
INCHES.

* AT 840 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1827 6558 1830 6648 1850 6633 1848 6582
1841 6570 1843 6564 1842 6557

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[msbee]

weather here looks a little clearer this morning but looking at the satellite, I see we could still get some rain from this system.
We have been cloudy but rain free so far.
crossing my fingers.
today is St. Maarten Day..lots of outside activities planned.

[Gustywind]

weather here looks a little clearer this morning but looking at the satellite, I see we could still get some rain from this system.
We have been cloudy but rain free so far.
crossing my fingers.
today is St. Maarten Day..lots of outside activities planned.

Enjoy this day Msbee glad to hear you as usual