STORM2K

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
320 PM CDT THU AUG 11 2016

...Heavy rainfall possible this weekend into early next week...

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to move
across the area through early next week. The potential for heavy
rain is highest starting Saturday...when tropical moisture will
move into the area. The heaviest rainfall will mainly occur in
the Saturday through Monday time frame.

A large part of the area will likely see 3 to 5 inches of rain
during this period. Local amounts of over 6 inches are possible.
Right now..the heaviest rain should fall along and north of the
Ohio River.

The ground is still fairly wet from recent rains, and a few
storms are possible between now and the weekend. Additional heavy
rain will likely cause flooding...especially in low lying areas.

Confidence is high that heavy rain will fall, but confidence is
lower as to the exact location of the heaviest rainfall. Stay
tuned for later updates or watches concerning this heavy rain
event.

$$

Monday <8/22>
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind 3 to 6 mph.
Tuesday <8/23>
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 5 to 7 mph.

WeatherGuesser wrote:

Monday <8/22>
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West northwest wind 5 to 7 mph.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind 3 to 6 mph.
Tuesday <8/23>
Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. North wind 5 to 7 mph.

Ummm, High near WHAT now?

The image below shows 6 day rainfall totals from Friday August 12th through 7am on August 18th. The heaviest totals were confined to portions of southeast MO and southwest IL, where many areas saw 8-12"+! Some isolated locations received upwards of 15 to 17 inches in Carter and Wayne Counties MO! For comparison sake, the normal rainfall for the whole month of August is around 3 inches. So many areas have picked up between 3 and 5 times the normal August rainfall in under a week! Please keep in mind that the map interpolates between observations, so some locations may be over or under-estimated. As of August 18th, we have now seen measurable rain in some part of our forecast area for 49 of the past 50 days, dating back to June 30th! The only completely dry day during this period was back on August 7th.

Partly Cloudy 72°F
Humidity 76%
Wind Speed N 5 mph
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.3 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi

WeatherGuesser wrote:I guess two great days are better that no great days. Got a lot of outside stuff done. The muggies are creeping back in today and tomorrow the rain chances return.

At least it should only be another two to three weeks.