Re: Texas Summer 2022
Posted: Fri Jun 03, 2022 5:53 pm
Ntxw wrote:Tarrant county cashing in . @rwfromkansas
It's really nice to see our area cashing in after watching it all go to the north and east lately. Loving every bit of it.
Welcome to Storm2k! Your Year Round Weather Community since 2002!
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/
Ntxw wrote:Tarrant county cashing in . @rwfromkansas
CASA Radar
@casaradar
·
1m
Our 15 min max rainfall accumulation products is a good indicator of flash flood risk. Some drainage basins in Ft Worth have received over 1" in 15 mins, but be advised they may have had a lot more than that over the course of the event. Be careful driving out there!
#dfwwx
South Texas Storms wrote:I hope you folks in north TX enjoyed the rain this week. Longer range models show hot and dry conditions returning up there next week and possibly continuing for a while.
DallasAg wrote:For the major metro areas which haven't had a 100 degree day yet, what's everyone's over/under for total 100 degree days this summer?
For DFW I'm going with 36, and that's not based on anything other than gut feel. 7 of the last 8 summers have had fewer than normal 100 degree days. We're due. For all I know we might have that beat before Aug 1.
Ntxw wrote:Hope everyone got some rain this past week.
Ensembles are hideous. Heatwave cometh, central Texas looks hot. San Antonio and Austin may get a few ~105F days. Even Oklahoma may not escape the dry pattern coming.
-PDO strengthened in May to -2.30 per NCEI which is higher than April which was higher than March. A scorcher summer is all but inevitable. Hate to say it we need a tropical system to shake it up.
Ntxw wrote:DallasAg wrote:For the major metro areas which haven't had a 100 degree day yet, what's everyone's over/under for total 100 degree days this summer?
For DFW I'm going with 36, and that's not based on anything other than gut feel. 7 of the last 8 summers have had fewer than normal 100 degree days. We're due. For all I know we might have that beat before Aug 1.
1956 and 1999 are solid third year Nina summers. 33 and 48 respectively, I will guess 40 for DFW. San Antonio and Austin 60-70 type season, guessing 68 for SA and 65 for KAUS. Houston is weird, humidity and dewpoints make it hard to get 100 but lots of 97-99F days. 30? Galveston is on a record streak, my guess something anomalous going on along the coast, more records to fall via warmth.
Chance of blank, for the ones who haven't, less than. 0.01%.
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Ntxw wrote:DallasAg wrote:For the major metro areas which haven't had a 100 degree day yet, what's everyone's over/under for total 100 degree days this summer?
For DFW I'm going with 36, and that's not based on anything other than gut feel. 7 of the last 8 summers have had fewer than normal 100 degree days. We're due. For all I know we might have that beat before Aug 1.
1956 and 1999 are solid third year Nina summers. 33 and 48 respectively, I will guess 40 for DFW. San Antonio and Austin 60-70 type season, guessing 68 for SA and 65 for KAUS. Houston is weird, humidity and dewpoints make it hard to get 100 but lots of 97-99F days. 30? Galveston is on a record streak, my guess something anomalous going on along the coast, more records to fall via warmth.
Chance of blank, for the ones who haven't, less than. 0.01%.
Actually, 1999 was a second year Nina. 2000 was a third Nina and featured 108 degrees in my area in August. Hoping that does not happen again!
captainbarbossa19 wrote:Ntxw wrote:DallasAg wrote:For the major metro areas which haven't had a 100 degree day yet, what's everyone's over/under for total 100 degree days this summer?
For DFW I'm going with 36, and that's not based on anything other than gut feel. 7 of the last 8 summers have had fewer than normal 100 degree days. We're due. For all I know we might have that beat before Aug 1.
1956 and 1999 are solid third year Nina summers. 33 and 48 respectively, I will guess 40 for DFW. San Antonio and Austin 60-70 type season, guessing 68 for SA and 65 for KAUS. Houston is weird, humidity and dewpoints make it hard to get 100 but lots of 97-99F days. 30? Galveston is on a record streak, my guess something anomalous going on along the coast, more records to fall via warmth.
Chance of blank, for the ones who haven't, less than. 0.01%.
Actually, 1999 was a second year Nina. 2000 was a third Nina and featured 108 degrees in my area in August. Hoping that does not happen again!