Another wet week for Southeast, Texas.....Any thoughts?

[Yankeegirl]

Well it rumbled all morning here.. Just watched the news and he said this afternoon we will have a break, but around midnight we will have another round of storms and rain.. I am happy it stopped cause I gotta go get my car inspected and go to the Med Center for a appt... Hope I get home before rush hr!!

[PTrackerLA]

Duck, the wind wasn't bad but the rain came down very hard along with lots of lightning. It's pouring right now and they just issued an urban and small stream flood advisory for Lafayette. According to this statement below we could pick up 5"-6"+ just today alone!

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1221 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED AN URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES:

IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AVOYELLES AND ST. LANDRY

IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
ACADIA AND VERMILION

IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
LAFAYETTE

UNTIL 215 PM CDT

AT 1215 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED THAT
2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
PAST 3 HOURS. AN ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE
WARNED AREA THROUGH 215 PM.

DURING HEAVY RAINS...STAY AWAY FROM DRAINAGE DITCHES...BAYOUS AND
CREEKS. THEY ARE PRONE TO RAPID RISES AND MAY FLOOD THE AREA QUICKLY.

CALL 337-477-5285 TO REPORT FLOODING TO THE WEATHER SERVICE.

[BreinLa]

argggggggggg went to lunch got soaking wet with umbrella, shoes are shot can just throw them out now. STill pouring

[GalvestonDuck]

Sometimes, I don't know what's worse -- wet shoes or the umbrella that holds up halfway through your trip from home to work and then gets warped beyond usability or blown away by a strong gust in the midst of a heavy downpour. I've dealt with both and either way, it bites. I learned really fast that most people here just wear a slicker with a hood in order to stay somewhat dry on the top half (since umbrellas hardly ever last in the Gulf gusts) and then they carry their work shoes and extra socks and just wade right through the street flooding with old shoes on. Pants dry eventually or they get rolled up.

Heck, people from KY would act like they were gonna melt if they got out in some of these downpours. (I used to. )

[BreinLa]

LOL Wish I would have brought my pink rubber boots, they are at home high and dry

[GalvestonDuck]

Re: Tropical Wave. The HPC maps have a tropical wave coming out of the Caribbean moving northwestward toward Texas next week. If that does indeed verify, then coastal areas of Texas will be in for a whole lot more rain early next week.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif

P.S. Why did this thread go into the 'Cinemascope' mode?

Not sure why it went into Cinemascope mode, unless there was a large graphic that was posted that was too long horizontally. Sometimes that happens.

In the meantime, this has changed a bit, but it might change again tomorrow or by Sunday.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif

[bfez1]

Guess I'm next in line
LIXSLSLA
WWUS64 KLIX 241825
SLSLA

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
LOUISIANA AREAL OUTLINE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 518
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
125 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 518 IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

IN LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 22 PARISHES...

LAC005-007-033-037-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091-093-095-
103-105-109-117-121-125-250100-
IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 22 PARISHES...

POINTE COUPEE...WASHINGTON...ST. HELENA...EAST FELICIANA...EAST BATON
ROUGE...WEST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...ASCENSION...ST. JAMES...
ASSUMPTION...WEST FELICIANA...ST. TAMMANY...ORLEANS...ST. CHARLES...
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST...TANGIPAHOA...LIVINGSTON...LAFOURCHE...
PLAQUEMINES...TERREBONNE...ST. BERNARD AND JEFFERSON

[Houstonia]

Any talk of this on the tropical board, I wonder? (I haven't looked yet).

All of that rainy weather that SE Texas has been receiving the last 2 weeks is moving out over open and warm waters in the Gulf...

...will it keep moving? It's better for all concerned if it does. We all know what can happen if it stalls over the water...

[stormcloud]

It's a relief to see the forecasters backed down somewhat in bringing the wave to the Texas coast (the last thing we need now is anything tropical!) Re: Storms in the Gulf- as we know the drill, have to watch closely anytime there is a concentration of thunderstorms in the Gulf, although shear is rather high (especially northern Gulf...)

[Johnny]

It looks like this rain/stormy pattern will continue all the way into next week!!!

Also convection is now firing up quite nicely out to the West and Northwest of the Houston metroplex. So much for a break huh?



I have read that the GFS is forecasting a close low to form off the coast of Brownsville come next week. Not too many people have given the GFS credit from what I have seen. I've got a question......how has the GFS handled all of the moisuture that we are having here in Southeast, Texas? Does and has it had a good handle on it? Just something to think about.

[Johnny]

Oh, and here is the afternoon discussion from the Houston/Galveston NWS.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
305 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

.DISCUSSION...
WILL RE-UP THE FFA FOR TONIGHT FOR ALL OF OUR CWA THROUGH TOMORROW
21Z. WHILE MOST OF THE HEAVIEST PCPN HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA...
WE ARE STARTING TO SEE SOME DECENT RE-DEVELOPMENT TO OUR WRN ZONES
AS THE NEXT S/W-SPEED MAX MOVES APPROACHES. LOCATIONS ON THE UPPER
COAST LOOK TO HAVE THE BETTER CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT GIVEN
THE PROXIMITY OF THE COASTAL TROF (AS A FOCUS)...BUT NOT CONFIDENT
ENOUGH TO DICKER/DIVIDE THE FFA AS SUCH. FORTUNATELY...THE DEVELOP-
MENT SO FAR THIS AFTN IS FALLING OVER AREAS THAT HAVE NOT SEEN TOO
MUCH RAIN TODAY (SAVE FOR THE FAR SWRN COUNTIES).

THE REST OF THE FCST NOT OFFERING MUCH BY WAY OF RELIEF FROM THESE
PERSISTENT RAINS. OVERALL MODEL TRENDS WOULD SEEM TO LEAN TOWARD A
CONTINUATION OF THE BIG WET WITH HIGH PWS (PROGGED TO STICK IN THE
2-2.4" RANGE)...LINGERING UPPER LEVEL TROFFINESS OVER THE STATE...
AND BROAD DIFLUENCE ALOFT. THE TIMING OF THE S/WS-SPEED MAXIMA AND
ANY MESO-SCALE EFFECTS WILL LIKELY BE THE MITIGATING CIRCUMSTANCES
FOR THE UPCOMING FCST. EXTENDED GUIDANCE KEEPS THIS TREND GOING ON
AND ON. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THRU THE REST OF THE 7 DAY GRIDS.TEMPS WILL REMAIN TRICKY WITH THE CLOUDS/PCPN BUT WILL OPT TO STAY
ON THE HIGH SIDE FOR MAXES AND PERSISTENCE FOR MINS.

[crazy4disney]

*goes off to build an ark*

[Yankeegirl]

Think I am going to build an arc too.... I have 3 kids, 3 cats, and 3 dogs... and some fish, but they can swim away.. lol..

Stay dry you guys!!

Lisa

[southerngale]

Lots of thunder and storms approaching as I type.

Includes Beaumont area, Lafayette...



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
324 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

.DISCUSSION...THE FCST AREA SAW WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY THURSDAY AS YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVED ACROSS THE REGION.
QUICK GLANCE AT PRECIPITATION TOTALS SHOWING WIDESPREAD 2 TO 3 INCH
RAIN TOTALS WITH SEVERAL POCKETS OF 5 INCHES PLUS.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS MAINTAINING A SOUTHERLY FLOW OF RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
STATIONARY BOUNDARY OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS THAT EXTENDED FROM MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO EAST CENTRAL TEXAS HAS ESSENTIALLY WASHED
OUT. NEXT FRONT IN LINE EXTENDS FROM OHIO VALLEY WEST AND
SOUTHWEST INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. IN THE MID LEVELS...REGION
REMAINS IN VERY ACTIVE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BETWEEN SUBTROPICAL HIGH
OVER GULF AND EAST TEXAS TROF.

FAIRLY STRAIGHT-FORWARD FORECAST AS THE ABOVE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
CHANGES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WILL REMAIN IN VERY
TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH PW'S REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES...WITH AN
OCCASIONAL IMPULSE COMING THROUGH TO TRIGGER POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINS. AFOREMENTIONED FRONT SHOULD STALL NORTH OF REGION MORE IN
LINE WITH ETA SOLUTION.

&&

.SHORT-TERM...CURRENTLY SEEING NEXT SHORTWAVE APPROACHING
EAST TEXAS WHICH WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING COASTAL CONVERGENCE TO
DEVELOP ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION. OTHER IMPULSES OMINOUSLY LINING
UP BEHIND. WILL ONCE AGAIN CARRY CATEGORICAL POPS FOR THE REGION
TODAY AND WILL MAINTAIN FFA. FFG EXCEPTIONALLY LOW FROM LAST FEW DAYS
RAINS. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POTENTIAL AHEAD. LOOK FOR SIMILAR RAIN
CHANCES FOR SATURDAY AND A CONTINUATION OF THE FLOOD WATCH.

&&

.LONG-TERM...LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY POPS
WELL ABOVE SEASONABLE NORMS.

[GalvestonDuck]

Nice, long (and I do mean, LONG) line of severe stuff moving parallel to the coast, right on top of me right now. I don't think this is going to end for another 45 minutes to an hour, which is going to make for quite a mess no matter what time I leave for work.

Living up to the screen name today, that's for sure.

[crazy4disney]

And you thought the rain had been ignoring you before...

Thunder woke me up again this morning, about an hour ago. It slacked off for a bit, now the thunder is back. There is a *lot* of water on the patio, so it must have rained pretty hard when I was asleep. Everything has drained amazingly well, though, and I haven't seen any flooding problems here! But I can't believe the ground is still soaking it all up... it has to be nearing the saturation point!

-gina-

[Anonymous]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
TXZ229>234-239>247-260900-

HEAVY RAINFALL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
523 AM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGHOUT
SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
SLOWLY APPROACHES THE AREA LATER TODAY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE ACROSS THE
AREA WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SLOW MOVING AND MAY REDEVELOP OVER THE SAME AREAS.
MANY AREAS IN THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS HAVE ALREADY
RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5
INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY.

REMEMBER TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR
IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

Does not look like it is gonna get any better guys cause whatever comes through us down here ya'll get up there.

[BreinLa]

Just won't quit will it. Pouring here in Lafayette again. They say 4" today and possibly 4 more tomorrow

[vbhoutex]

QUACK! QUACK, QUACK!! QUACK, QUACK, QAUCK!!!! QUACK, QUACK!!! QUACK!!!!!

Nothing else left to say!!!!! QUACK!!!!

Pouring again!!! Woke up to thunderstorms. Drove through thunderstorms on the commute. Already had 0.62" this morning since midnight and as I said it is pouring again/still and looks like it is just going to continue to build across our Western counties and train across us for most of the morning. Now under an Urban and Small stream flood advisory for all of Harris county.

QUACK!!!!

[GalvestonDuck]

My best friend called me this morning at 6:00. I had planned to get up early and bring her in to work because I figured it would be raining. She called to inform me that Ferry Road was flooded all the way up to their parking lot at their condos. She figured my Malibu wouldn't be safe in the water, so she woke her hubby up (his day off) to bring her in their SUV. I went out at 6:15 when the rain died down and found my car nicely saturated on the inside passenger's side, front and back. Some stuff that was in the car is wet also. I started it so I could get it out of the water. Moved it to higher ground.

The water didn't get past the bumper -- only in the floorboard. So I'm hoping I might have to only deal with getting the carpet cleaned and that nothing mechanical was affected.

Then I trudged on in to work in old jeans and changed into dry stuff when I got here. Not many people are here yet. Two of the three main west-to-east routes from the causeway to UTMB are flooded (Harborside along the northern edge of the island and Broadway through the center). So everyone is having to drive all the way to the Seawall (obviously a high point) and head in that way.

One of my co-workers also got her car in high water here close to the hospital so she's not happy. I pray both of ours dry out and are okay.

LOL! Yup, Gina -- to think, I was wondering where all the rain was!