MODERATE risk for parts of Texas?

TS Zack · #81 Postby **TS Zack** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:43 pm

As the Vort Max swings through Texas it should break CAP and cause more T'Storm development. Don't think the mCS moving to your North is the main event. Later tonight we should see some storm initation in Central Tx, which should turn into another MCS/Squall Line.

#82 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:46 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
925 PM CDT THU APR 20 2006

.UPDATE...ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WITH CONVECTION MOVING
INTO EXTREME NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATE THIS
EVENING. VARIOUS REPORTS OF HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE FROM EARLIER
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR THE CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
BUT HAIL AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH RIGHT
MOVING SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE INCREASED POPS ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA BASED ON CURRENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS
AND INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY ELSEWHERE AS 500MB SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ACROSS WEST TEXAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DYNAMICS FOR
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE REST OF
THE NIGHT. 32/42
&&

Extremeweatherguy · #83 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:55 pm

Looks like that next band west of Houston will be able to scrape northern Harris County. This is a significant step southward and I think each round will get closer and closer until we are hit. Already it is quite windy and I can see a few bolts of lightning from the cell to our north.

#84 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:05 pm

lookin' good

#85 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:07 pm

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 227
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 PM CDT THU APR 20 2006

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 227 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

TXC005-073-183-185-199-201-203-225-241-291-313-315-339-347-351-
365-373-401-403-405-407-419-423-455-457-459-471-473-499-
210600-
/O.CON.KWNS.SV.A.0227.000000T0000Z-060421T0600Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANGELINA CHEROKEE GREGG
GRIMES HARDIN HARRIS
HARRISON HOUSTON JASPER
LIBERTY MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON
PANOLA POLK RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY SMITH TRINITY
TYLER UPSHUR WALKER
WALLER WOOD
$$

ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...

#86 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:10 pm

Hmmm, Waller County area is the place to watch...

Extremeweatherguy · #87 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:12 pm

that cell looks like it is beginning to bow out. It will likely go severe soon and I would expect it to bring (if it holds together) strong winds from Klein north to Conroe..and this is if it stays it's current size. Even if it is not severe, it will likely bring needed rains and a nice lightning show.

m_ru · #88 Postby **m_ru** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:17 pm

Well, that big cell that caused wind damage in Bryan only gave me here in Huntsville a few 50mph wind gusts and some very heavy rain, and then lightning struck nearly directly over me and my car alarm went off. :roll:

I'm kinda dissapointed. The warnings were for winds in excess of 70mph. If I could just get one 70mph wind gust I'd be an extremely happy camper.

southerngale · #89 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:20 pm

m_ru wrote:Well, that big cell that caused wind damage in Bryan only gave me here in Huntsville a few 50mph wind gusts and some very heavy rain, and then lightning struck nearly directly over me and my car alarm went off.

I'm kinda dissapointed. The warnings were for winds in excess of 70mph. If I could just get one 70mph wind gust I'd be an extremely happy camper.

We've yet to get a drop...I'd be thrilled to get some very heavy rain. And you can have the winds - 70mph gusts likely wouldn't be very friendly to all of the blue roofs around here. We just need rain.

#90 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:23 pm

How would you like to have widespread power outages? That's what 70 mph thunderstorm wind gusts can do...

#91 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:34 pm

well, here's a preview for tomorrow:

Yankeegirl · #92 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:39 pm

I see the lightning to my north... Quite far though, very few flashes... The local met did mention the storms developing out by the Del Rio area and mentioned that as the low pushes more towards us, the rain and storms will arrive with it just in time for rush hour... She seemed very positive about the storms still making it into the Houston Metro area by the morning rush.... Keep your fingers crossed!!

Yankeegirl · #93 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:41 pm

Just looked at the doppler from the Del Rio area and there are quite a few storms popping up!! Here is a link... http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 11&loop=no

Johnny · #94 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:43 pm

That storm just out west does not seem to be weakening but rather it is strengthening. This one definately is further south and looks to go severe at any time. I guess I'll wait up for this one to blow through. It looks to be packing a pretty good punch!

http://www.click2weather.com/wxmap/1807601/detail.html

Johnny · #95 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 11:44 pm

Yep, those ones out towards Del Rio could be what swings through here in the morning.

Johnny · #96 Postby **Johnny** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 5:58 am

It's 6 in the morning and a severe squall line is fixing to blow through!

#97 Postby **jasons2k** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:45 am

Yep, this is a good one! Pretty intense here now with pouring rain and lots on thunder/lightning. I'll post some radar shots when I wake-up for good.

Extremeweatherguy · #98 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:51 am

Well the line moved through with 40-55mph wind gusts in my area...heavy rain...may be hail (couldn't see because it was dark)...and the most notable item was the INTENSE lightning! What a great storm..and the good thing is I still have power!

KatDaddy · #99 Postby **KatDaddy** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 7:07 am

Weather Station recorded max gust of 44MPH. Visibilty drop to near zero in blowing rain here in League City. So far only .60" but the rainfall rate was 5.54" per hour with the onset of the squall line. Quite intense

GalvestonDuck · #100 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 9:20 am

southerngale wrote:
m_ru wrote:Well, that big cell that caused wind damage in Bryan only gave me here in Huntsville a few 50mph wind gusts and some very heavy rain, and then lightning struck nearly directly over me and my car alarm went off.

I'm kinda dissapointed. The warnings were for winds in excess of 70mph. If I could just get one 70mph wind gust I'd be an extremely happy camper.

We've yet to get a drop...I'd be thrilled to get some very heavy rain. And you can have the winds - 70mph gusts likely wouldn't be very friendly to all of the blue roofs around here. We just need rain.

It's gotta be hitting you by now...or past.

That was one of the fastest moving storms I've seen in a while. Not too strong or severe here. Just heavy, blowing rain and lots of thunder. All gone in just under 10 minutes.

MODERATE risk for parts of Texas?

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