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Gustywind
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#881 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 21, 2009 12:53 pm

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 211530
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1130 AM AST TUE JUL 21 2009

SKIES VARIED FROM PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE MID TO UPPER
80S UNDER SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED NORTHWEST NEAR SAINT THOMAS BUT MOST
OF THEM WERE LOCATED TO THE WEST OF SAINT CROIX AS THE OUTER FRINGES
OF A TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO KEPT BRINGING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHEAST.

WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL REMAIN
SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE TAIL OF THE WAVE CONTINUES
TO BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
TERRITORIAL WATERS AND SOME COULD MAKE LANDFALL ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE
LOCAL REGION TONIGHT. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATE WEDNESDAY
AS DRIER AIR ARRIVES TO THE ISLANDS.

SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS NEAR
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND SEAS UP TO 8 FEET WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
REGIONAL COASTAL WATERS UNTIL AT LEAST TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS EXCEPT
FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN PUERTO RICO.

$$

RM
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#882 Postby Cosme » Tue Jul 21, 2009 12:56 pm

I'm surprised a how persistent this system is. Anyway, be safe, all those in PR.
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#883 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 1:51 pm

My anemometer registered 34 mph in a strong thunderstorm.
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#884 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 21, 2009 2:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:My anemometer registered 34 mph in a strong thunderstorm.

:eek: be prudent Luis as usual and keep us informed as possible you can :)...Seems that an important mass of showers and tstorms are racing near you, so be safe. :)
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#885 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 2:52 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC007-021-025-029-031-033-037-045-051-053-061-063-069-077-085-087-
089-103-119-127-129-135-137-139-151-212230-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0027.090721T1934Z-090721T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
334 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON
CAGUAS
COMERIO
AGUAS BUENAS
JUNCOS
GURABO
TOA ALTA
SAN LORENZO
TRUJILLO ALTO
LAS PIEDRAS
DORADO
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
GUAYNABO
CEIBA
CANOVANAS
FAJARDO
CAROLINA
HUMACAO
CATANO
SAN JUAN
LOIZA
RIO GRANDE
YABUCOA
TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 630 PM AST

* AT 330 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ALONG MANY SECTORS OF SAN
JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEASTERN...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO. MANY
AREAS HAVE BECOME SATURATED DUE TO RECENT RAINS OF TODAY. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED DURING THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1824 6619 1848 6626 1843 6583 1819 6562
1808 6574 1805 6578

$$

RM
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#886 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 3:29 pm

There are reports of many trees down,some mudslides,flooding in many parts of the metroflex.I will gather more information as is available.
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#887 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 3:35 pm

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
422 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009

AMZ710-712-212145-
422 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS JUST NORTH OF SAN JUAN...

AT 420 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS... OVER
ATLANTIC WATERS JUST NORTH OF SAN JUAN...MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST AT
25 KNOTS.

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 33 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER
WAVES...LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK
SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE OPEN
WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED METAL
OBJECTS.

LAT...LON 1887 6648 1899 6587 1846 6585 1847 6618

$$

EM
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#888 Postby caribepr » Tue Jul 21, 2009 4:24 pm

We watched the radar as it took so much rain activity to the big island. Here, we had one strong rain that only last about 10 minutes around 3 p.m. The day before and since has been overcast, hot and humid. I know you'll be careful Luis, and hope that others are as well.
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#889 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 4:43 pm

It looks like the worse is over for the whole island.But still a few more showers will arrive from the southeast tonight.I think the sun will shine tommorow in a good way. :)
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#890 Postby msbee » Tue Jul 21, 2009 5:30 pm

I hope everyone in PR was safe
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#891 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 7:06 pm

You can have an idea of how big was todays event of the strong wave passing south of PR.Many rivers climbed to flood stage in the afternoon,but tonight they are going down.No reports of deaths nor injuries in this.

Code: Select all

ALERT HOURLY PRECIPITATION DATA
: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
: 759 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009
:
: HOURLY PRECIPITATION INFORMATION TABLE   ENDING 07/21/09  2359 UTC
:
: NOTE---ERRONEOUS REPORTS MAY BE RECEIVED UNDER CERTAIN
:        WEATHER CONDITIONS
:
: **********************************************************
: ID    LOCATION             1HR PCPN/3HR PCPN/6HR PCPN
: **********************************************************
.B SJU 20090721 DH2300/PPH/PPT/PPQ
:Puerto Rico Alert System
ZGAP4  :GURABO LOWER ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZGBP4  :SAN LORENZO ALERT          :M / M / M
ZGCP4  :CAGUAS ALERT               :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZGDP4  :GURABO UPPER ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZDAP4  :MANATI-MOROVIS ALERT       :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZFAP4  :BAYAMON-GUAYNABO ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.71
ZFBP4  :RIO PIEDRAS ALERT          :M / M / M
ZDBP4  :RIO CIBUCO-COROZAL ALERT   :M / M / M
ZEBP4  :BARRANQUITAS ALERT         :M / M / M
ZEAP4  :GUAVATE-CAYEY ALERT        :M / M / M
ZGFP4  :JUNCOS-LAS PIEDRAS ALERT   :M / M / M
ZKAP4  :GUAMANI-GUAYAMA ALERT      :M / M / M
ZGEP4  :AGUAS BUENAS ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZLBP4  :RIO CUYON-AIBONITO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZECP4  :CAYEY ALERT                :0.00 / 0.12 / 1.50
ZEEP4  :NARANJITO ALERT            :0.00 / 0.00 / 1.34
ZLAP4  :RIO COAMO ALERT            :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZMAP4  :VILLALBA ALERT             :0.00 / 0.00 / M
ZFBP4  :HUMACAO ALERT              :M / M / M
ZJAP4  :GUAYANES-YABUCOA ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.94
ZEDP4  :CIDRA ALERT                :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZMCP4  :LA PUNTA-JAYUYA ALERT      :M / M / M
ZCAP4  :ARECIBO-ADJUNTAS ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.08
ZCBP4  :UTUADO-JAYUYA ALERT        :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZCCP4  :JAYUYA ALERT               :M / M / M
ZCDP4  :RIO VIVI-UTUADO ALERT      :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZNAP4  :RIO TALLABOA-PENUELAS ALERT:M / M / M
ZMBP4  :CERRILLOS-PONCE ALERT      :M / M / M
ZDDP4  :MATRULLAS-OROCOVIS ALERT   :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZDCP4  :OROCOVIS-BARRANQUITAS      :M / M / M
ZOAP4  :R. GUANAJIBO-SAN GERMAN ALE:M / M / M
ZOBP4  :SABANA GRANDE ALERT        :0.00 / 0.04 / 0.08
ZAAP4  :SAN SEBASTIAN ALERT        :M / M / M
ZPAP4  :RIO ANASCO-LAS MARIAS ALERT:M / M / M
ZODP4  :RIO ROSARIO-MAYAGUEZ ALERT :M / M / M
ZOCP4  :MARICAO ALERT              :M / M / M
ZKDP4  :LA SANTA-CAYEY ALERT       :M / M / M
ZRAP4  :VIEQUES ALERT              :M / M / M
ZSAP4  :CULEBRA ALERT              :M / M / M
ZKEP4  :ALBERGUE OLIMPICO-SALINAS A:0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZFCP4  :SAN PATRICIO ALERT         :M / M / M
ZKCP4  :BOSQUE CARITE-CAYEY ALERT  :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZIAP4  :RIO FAJARDO-FAJARDO ALERT  :M / M / M
ZJCP4  :RIO BLANCO-NAGUABO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZFEP4  :VENUS GARDEN-CUPEY ALERT   :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZJDP4  :RIO PRIETO-NAGUABO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZDEP4  :RIO CIALITOS-CIALES ALERT  :M / M / M
ZBAP4  :RIO BLANCO-LARES ALERT     :M / M / M
ZFFP4  :PREMA SANTURCE ALERT       :0.00 / 0.59 / 1.77
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#892 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 21, 2009 9:58 pm

cycloneye wrote:You can have an idea of how big was todays event of the strong wave passing south of PR.Many rivers climbed to flood stage in the afternoon,but tonight they are going down.No reports of deaths nor injuries in this.

Code: Select all

ALERT HOURLY PRECIPITATION DATA
: NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
: 759 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009
:
: HOURLY PRECIPITATION INFORMATION TABLE   ENDING 07/21/09  2359 UTC
:
: NOTE---ERRONEOUS REPORTS MAY BE RECEIVED UNDER CERTAIN
:        WEATHER CONDITIONS
:
: **********************************************************
: ID    LOCATION             1HR PCPN/3HR PCPN/6HR PCPN
: **********************************************************
.B SJU 20090721 DH2300/PPH/PPT/PPQ
:Puerto Rico Alert System
ZGAP4  :GURABO LOWER ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZGBP4  :SAN LORENZO ALERT          :M / M / M
ZGCP4  :CAGUAS ALERT               :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZGDP4  :GURABO UPPER ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZDAP4  :MANATI-MOROVIS ALERT       :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZFAP4  :BAYAMON-GUAYNABO ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.71
ZFBP4  :RIO PIEDRAS ALERT          :M / M / M
ZDBP4  :RIO CIBUCO-COROZAL ALERT   :M / M / M
ZEBP4  :BARRANQUITAS ALERT         :M / M / M
ZEAP4  :GUAVATE-CAYEY ALERT        :M / M / M
ZGFP4  :JUNCOS-LAS PIEDRAS ALERT   :M / M / M
ZKAP4  :GUAMANI-GUAYAMA ALERT      :M / M / M
ZGEP4  :AGUAS BUENAS ALERT         :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZLBP4  :RIO CUYON-AIBONITO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZECP4  :CAYEY ALERT                :0.00 / 0.12 / 1.50
ZEEP4  :NARANJITO ALERT            :0.00 / 0.00 / 1.34
ZLAP4  :RIO COAMO ALERT            :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZMAP4  :VILLALBA ALERT             :0.00 / 0.00 / M
ZFBP4  :HUMACAO ALERT              :M / M / M
ZJAP4  :GUAYANES-YABUCOA ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.94
ZEDP4  :CIDRA ALERT                :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZMCP4  :LA PUNTA-JAYUYA ALERT      :M / M / M
ZCAP4  :ARECIBO-ADJUNTAS ALERT     :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.08
ZCBP4  :UTUADO-JAYUYA ALERT        :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZCCP4  :JAYUYA ALERT               :M / M / M
ZCDP4  :RIO VIVI-UTUADO ALERT      :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZNAP4  :RIO TALLABOA-PENUELAS ALERT:M / M / M
ZMBP4  :CERRILLOS-PONCE ALERT      :M / M / M
ZDDP4  :MATRULLAS-OROCOVIS ALERT   :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZDCP4  :OROCOVIS-BARRANQUITAS      :M / M / M
ZOAP4  :R. GUANAJIBO-SAN GERMAN ALE:M / M / M
ZOBP4  :SABANA GRANDE ALERT        :0.00 / 0.04 / 0.08
ZAAP4  :SAN SEBASTIAN ALERT        :M / M / M
ZPAP4  :RIO ANASCO-LAS MARIAS ALERT:M / M / M
ZODP4  :RIO ROSARIO-MAYAGUEZ ALERT :M / M / M
ZOCP4  :MARICAO ALERT              :M / M / M
ZKDP4  :LA SANTA-CAYEY ALERT       :M / M / M
ZRAP4  :VIEQUES ALERT              :M / M / M
ZSAP4  :CULEBRA ALERT              :M / M / M
ZKEP4  :ALBERGUE OLIMPICO-SALINAS A:0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZFCP4  :SAN PATRICIO ALERT         :M / M / M
ZKCP4  :BOSQUE CARITE-CAYEY ALERT  :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZIAP4  :RIO FAJARDO-FAJARDO ALERT  :M / M / M
ZJCP4  :RIO BLANCO-NAGUABO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZFEP4  :VENUS GARDEN-CUPEY ALERT   :0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
ZJDP4  :RIO PRIETO-NAGUABO ALERT   :M / M / M
ZDEP4  :RIO CIALITOS-CIALES ALERT  :M / M / M
ZBAP4  :RIO BLANCO-LARES ALERT     :M / M / M
ZFFP4  :PREMA SANTURCE ALERT       :0.00 / 0.59 / 1.77

OK tkanks, all is ok but what a mess wit this strong twave on PR!
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#893 Postby Gustywind » Tue Jul 21, 2009 10:08 pm

30 minutes ago, a little cell has tried to developp near my house with numerous lightnings, rumbling from the thunder too and light showers. Right now all is ok, wind is calm and the convective cell has disapeared :)
Hope this time that all of caribbean friends (especially Luis from PR and the adjacents islands) can have a timeout and somewhat a rest after this episod with a pretty solid and super active twave :D
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#894 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 21, 2009 10:32 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1129 PM AST TUE JUL 21 2009

.UPDATE...THE TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUED TO MOVE WEST AND AWAY FROM
THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA. MOST OF THE SHOWERS ASSOCIATED TO THIS
WEATHER FEATURE HAVE DIMINISH OR MOVE OVER THE OFF SHORE WATERS.
AT THIS MOMENT THE RADAR IS ONLY SHOWING ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING
ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTION OF PUERTO RICO. WIND REPORTS
SHOWED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY
WAS CANCELED. ALSO MODIFIED WEATHER GRIDS FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
TO ACCOMMODATE THE ACTUAL WEATHER PATTERN. ALTHOUGH A DRIER AIRMASS
WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION LATER TO NIGH...ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#895 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 22, 2009 5:25 am

Good morning fellow Caribbean friends.The sun is out this morning after yesterdays big rain event.

FXCA62 TJSJ 220914
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
514 AM AST WED JUL 22 2009

.SYNOPSIS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS WEST FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NORTH ALONG 68
WEST LONGITUDE. A LOW WILL DIG SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY...BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL EDGE BETWEEN THE LOW AND PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH RIDGING FROM
EAST TO WEST NORTH OF THE AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...A MODEST LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN NEAR 25 NORTH
57 WEST BY FRIDAY...CAUSING THE GENERAL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NOW
IN PLACE TO BREAK IN TWO. THE LOW WILL BE DISPLACED BY A STRONGER
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC BY SUNDAY. THIS HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SPREAD EAST AND WEST WHILE WEAKENING AND SHIFT
SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD TO 30 NORTH DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 40
NORTH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST SOUTHEAST UNTIL MIDNIGHT
SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REBUILD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC AND SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEXT WEEK. A
WEAK TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL MOVE THROUGH
PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS SOUTH
OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. NO MORE TROPICAL WAVES ARE EXPECTED
UNTIL MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. SIGNIFICANT SAHARAN DUST IS PRESENT
ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK WAVE GENERATED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
NORTH AND SOUTH OF VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND MOVED WEST
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 24 KNOTS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS BROUGHT MODERATE
SHOWERS TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO. BOTH GFS AND NAM
SHOW MUCH LESS MOISTURE AT LOWER LEVELS BEGINNING AROUND 12Z WITH
EXCEPTION OF THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION DEPICTED BY THE NAM. SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL LINGER INTO THE MORNING ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO.
BUT ONLY A FEW WERE PRESENT AROUND SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN. SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS SAHARAN DUST FROM ABOUT 60 WEST TO AFRICA...BUT
AEROSOL MODELS SEEM TO INDICATE THAT IT WILL BEGIN OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. DUST WILL
SPREAD INTO PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...BUT MAY NOT BE
SIGNIFICANT UNTIL THURSDAY. MODELS ARE NOT BRINGING ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT WAVE THROUGH THE AREA UNTIL MONDAY AND IT WILL BE
MINOR COMPARED TO THE WAVE THAT JUST PASSED. THEREFORE MOST POPS
REMAIN AT OR BELOW 50 PERCENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD EXCEPT
FOR A FEW DAYS THIS WEEK IN THE WEST WHERE AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS
ALMOST A GIVEN.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN
PUERTO RICO...BUT MOST TAFS WILL REMAIN VFR EXCEPT FOR BRIEF MVFR
INTERRUPTIONS FROM AFTERNOON CONVECTION IN TJBQ AND TJMZ. WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST WITH LOWER LEVEL WINDS
FROM 2 TO 11 THOUSAND FEET AT OR NEAR 30 KNOTS.


&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL ABATE SOMEWHAT DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS
BUT SEAS WILL CONTINUE IN THE 5 TO 7 FOOT RANGE IN MOST WATERS
THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL EXTEND SOME SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
THROUGH THEN. ATLANTIC SEAS SHOULD BECOME MORE TRANQUIL FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CARIBBEAN SEAS WILL SEE A RESPITE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...BUT MONDAY AND TUESDAY ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AGAIN.
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#896 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 22, 2009 6:50 am

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 220920
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
520 AM AST WED JUL 22 2009

THE NWS DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED CONTINUED INTERMITTENT SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
REMAINED OFFSHORE ACROSS THE TERRITORIAL WATERS...OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY IN THE MORNING. THESE PASSING SHOWERS...WHILE HEAVY AT
TIMES...ARE MOVING ALONG QUICKLY...THUS LIMITING ANY SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS. WINDS CONTINUED FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT
10 TO 15 MPH.

ALTHOUGH WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS THE
ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME AS AMPLE MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE
LOCAL AREA ON FRIDAY.

MARINE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO SLOWLY IMPROVE...BUT FOR TODAY...MUCH
OF THE AREA WATERS REMAINS UNDER SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AND SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD USE CAUTION.

$$
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#897 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 22, 2009 7:17 am

Hi Luis, how to put a pic/ image here? How to...if you can help me and give me the instructions i will be glad, because i can't do it for the moment :oops: :(
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#898 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 22, 2009 2:09 pm

Here are the totals of rainfall in Puerto Rico from the strong wave event.

Vega Alta - 6.38''
Guayama - 5.79''
San Lorenzo - 5.28''
Loíza - 5.13''
Naguabo - 4.18''
Patillas - 4.10''
Comerío - 3.76''
Cidra - 3.72''
Río Piedras - 3.70
Gurabo - 3.62''
Caguas - 3.60''


Gustywind,when you make a post,go up and find img.When you click it it will be like this=[img][/img] In the middle of both img put the link of a pic and that is all. :)

[img]link of images[/img]
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Re: Eastern Caribbean Thread=Obs / Forecasts / Daily Weather

#899 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 22, 2009 3:22 pm

Good weather is instored for us for the next few days so lets enjoy them before the meat of the season arrives and start to look eastward more closely.

FXCA62 TJSJ 221828
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
228 PM AST WED JUL 22 2009

.DISCUSSION...MUCH DRIER TODAY AS YESTERDAYS TROPICAL WAVE IS NOW
WELL NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL AREA...USHERING IN A DRIER AND
SLIGHTLY HAZY AIRMASS. NOT MUCH EXPECTED AS FAR AS CHANGING
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE
SLIGHTLY HAZY...BUT NOT AS BAD AS THE PREVIOUS FEW STRONG EVENTS.
SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY IN THE CENTRAL ATLC
WITH TUTT LOW TO OUR NE...JUST N OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. NO
TROPICAL WAVES TO SPEAK OF OVER THE 7 DAY FORECAST PERIOD AND
CERTAINLY NO THREATENING SYSTEMS IN THE ATLANTIC TO OUR EAST.
EXPECT SEASONAL 15 TO 20 KNOT EAST FLOW...CLIMO POP VALUES AND
MOSTLY DIURNALLY FORCED CONVECTION NEXT 7 DAYS.

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#900 Postby Gustywind » Wed Jul 22, 2009 8:54 pm

OK tkanks a lot Luis, i will try, hope i will succed to... :wink: Just a try :)
Here is a sat pic of the ITCZ southeast of the Leewards (seems to have nice convection): :darrow:

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
Image...ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N14W 11N29W 11N39W 11N48W
9N62W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN
19W-24W.NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM
9N-13N BETWEEN 54W-61W.
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