STORM2K

Actually didnt even see that it showed snow for SE Tx. I just looked at the 5H chart and saw it showed a low of 25. This would be the earliest snowfall on record for Houston

Portastorm wrote:

Ntxw wrote:

Cpv17 wrote:Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?

Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .

Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.

To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.

How much time do we have before the 18z run?

starsfan65 wrote:

Portastorm wrote:

Ntxw wrote:
Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .

Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.

To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.

How much time do we have before the 18z run?

The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.

South Texas Storms wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:

Portastorm wrote:
To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.

How much time do we have before the 18z run?

The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.

I do like 50's Wednesday and Thanksgiving. No warm Thanksgiving please!!

starsfan65 wrote:

South Texas Storms wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:How much time do we have before the 18z run?

The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.

I do like 50's Wednesday and Thanksgiving. No warm Thanksgiving please!!

No, that's no fun cooking food with a large group of people when it's 80 degrees outside, AC on constantly. Been there done that. I remember it being cold enough in San Antonio during some Thanksgivings to warrant a fire in the fireplace. Had a nice fireplace ambiance in the early morning several times while watching the Macy's parade on tv.

Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?

Bob Rose:

Long-range forecasts indicate the current Jet Stream pattern will more of less hold in place for at least the next couple of weeks. Some colder air is expected to break loose and push south into Texas this weekend and also just before Thanksgiving. But this won't be unusually cold air.

Few changes in the position of jet stream pattern are expected as we move into December. Long-range forecast solutions continue to indicate the coldest air will remain well up to the north for at least the first week or two of December.

https://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-we ... ather.aspx

weatherdude1108 wrote:Bob Rose:

Long-range forecasts indicate the current Jet Stream pattern will more of less hold in place for at least the next couple of weeks. Some colder air is expected to break loose and push south into Texas this weekend and also just before Thanksgiving. But this won't be unusually cold air.

Few changes in the position of jet stream pattern are expected as we move into December. Long-range forecast solutions continue to indicate the coldest air will remain well up to the north for at least the first week or two of December.

https://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-we ... ather.aspx

Did ya'll read this guy's forecast?

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?

Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...

Portastorm wrote:

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?

Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...

I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.

texas1836 wrote:

Portastorm wrote:

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?

Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...

I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.

There is one. It was created back in February.

texas1836 wrote:

Portastorm wrote:

BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?

Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...

I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.

It is not December yet!!

The 18z GFS is up and running!!

I do like that the Euro has been sticking with the Texas rain event but the EPS doesn't really support the op. Also, the EPS is ugly in the long range. Pacific jet roaring straight across the Pacific and basically no cold air in N. America by the end of the run.

starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!

I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.

For the latest GFS runs, I'll get my heart rate up in a few days if the trend continues. Those 240-hour runs were about the only thing exciting the last 2 winters.

bubba hotep wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!

I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.

60? I'll go with a 5 degree swing.

bubba hotep wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!

I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.

Considering the 12z had temperatures colder than ever seen in November

Yeah I expect a wild swing. I don't see any support for an extreme cold solution at least not yet,

Brent wrote:

bubba hotep wrote:

starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!

I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.

Considering the 12z had temperatures colder than ever seen in November

Yeah I expect a wild swing. I don't see any support for an extreme cold solution.

Will it still be cool?

I think that last run was very drunk so I agree with Bubba. In between runs Mr. GFS slept, sobered up, and is having coffee. Still exciting to see though!!!