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Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 12:05 pm
by Ntxw
gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Fingers crossed! That sounds amazing!


The models are zoning in around the 20th. 850mb temps are showing below normal, so it might be real. Even if half is correct would be nice. Perhaps a taste of early Fall? North America's +PNA signal looks like a mid latitude Nino-y pattern.

https://i.imgur.com/H4yb7L9.gif

This would be phenomenal if it holds because it is about to get hot again after the rain chances are done in a few days. It matches with climo though with the averages starting to drop soon.


We still have about ~week of the ridge in place but there are some changes happening in the WPO (northern West Pacific). Deep Aleutian low is complete opposite of the ugly Aleutian ridge pattern.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 12:47 pm
by jaguars_22
The Nam and ICON are starting to show a small storm impacting Texas this weekend???!!

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 12:54 pm
by Wampadawg
jaguars_22 wrote:The Nam and ICON are starting to show a small storm impacting Texas this weekend???!!

Bring it! Please we need the moisture so Bring it!

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 1:30 pm
by cstrunk
rwfromkansas wrote:Rain west and south of DFW. Hopefully expands east.


Seems like the front/outflow has already cruised on through and is booking south - just like here in Longview - so while there could be storms later I'm not going to hold my breath. 70% chance may be wasted today. :roll: Hope others can get lucky.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 2:01 pm
by rwfromkansas
And it's 100 IMBY again.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 3:43 pm
by Iceresistance
CPC is very hopeful, and storm chances for DFW possible for several days as well.

But me? I only got a trace, the storms are so dodgy, even though that just to the NW of town, there was a microburst a couple days ago.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:10 pm
by bubba hotep
Rain all over the place but it looks like the DFW airport will be able to stay dry again lol

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:24 pm
by rwfromkansas
Glad to see some in the area! A few miles from the airport but moving away of course.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:38 pm
by rwfromkansas
Outflow kicking out now. Hopefully I get rain again before they dieā€¦

But probably will not last long.

Crazy how many dead leaves are blowing around.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:43 pm
by South Texas Storms
bubba hotep wrote:Rain all over the place but it looks like the DFW airport will be able to stay dry again lol


Nah, the streak should end today. Several outflow boundaries causing storms to pop up around the area. HRRR has been indicating this over the past few runs.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 4:59 pm
by bubba hotep
South Texas Storms wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Rain all over the place but it looks like the DFW airport will be able to stay dry again lol


Nah, the streak should end today. Several outflow boundaries causing storms to pop up around the area. HRRR has been indicating this over the past few runs.


Looks like that second boundary to cross the airport kicked off a storm! The streak is dead! (maybe, have to wait for the official report)

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:01 pm
by rwfromkansas
Looks like some rain over DFW. Not sure if by station.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:02 pm
by bubba hotep
It's official!

Image

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:05 pm
by Ntxw
0.08" at DFW so far. The last of the remnant summer streak falls for the airport.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:26 pm
by rwfromkansas
Love the new 8-14 day outlook. Above normal precip? Yes please.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:32 pm
by Edwards Limestone
The front looks like it's on the way to SA! Nice and blue back to the north :D

 https://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1557486965276164099



Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:41 pm
by Ntxw
:cold:.

Image

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:43 pm
by Brent


Highs in the 80s here next week on TV. Please verify. Low of 65 :double:

Summer is definitely on it's way out

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:46 pm
by Ntxw
Brent wrote:


Highs in the 80s here next week on TV. Please verify. Low of 65 :double:

Summer is definitely on it's way out


The pattern matures after the medium range. Late August could be really nice with blocking on both coasts.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Wed Aug 10, 2022 6:05 pm
by bubba hotep
Finally!

Image