Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1010 PM AST TUE JUL 28 2009

SKIES WERE PARTLY CLOUDY AND HAZY ACROSS PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...
CULEBRA AND THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING. NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WAS DETECTED ACROSS THE REGION SO FAR THIS
EVENING. WINDS WERE MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS AND THE COASTAL TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE EVENING WERE
MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 80S.

FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY AND
HAZY SKIES WITH MINIMAL CHANCES OF RAIN OVER MOST OF THE LOCAL AREA.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
OCCASIONALLY OVER SOME AREAS. DRY AIR AND HAZY SKIES WILL ALSO
PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...ALONG 52 WEST THIS
EVENING...WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA ON THURSDAY...
SLIGHTLY INCREASING THE CLOUDINESS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...WINDS WILL BE FROM MODERATE TO FRESH AND
SEAS WILL BE CHOPPY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES FOR AT
LEAST THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

[cycloneye]

Thanks.... All you others as well.

This is becoming like a kind of family thread LOL I appreciate it.

As I haved been saying,this thread is like a tent for us who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands.Yes,is a kind of family place to be every day to talk about the weather.

[cycloneye]

Good morning to all the friends in the Caribbean.Breezy with scattered showers for today as wave moves into the Caribbean.

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 290700
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
300 AM AST WED JUL 29 2009

...HAZY AND BREEZY TODAY WITH BELOW NORMAL RAIN CHANCES...

.DISCUSSION...THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN IS FULLY ENTRENCHED IN THE
SAL...SAHARAN AIR LAYER...AFRICAN DUST. CIMMS IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IT
WILL CONTINUE HAZY AND MOSTLY DRY ACROSS PR AND THE VI TODAY. HAVE
LOWERED POPS A TAD...AS MOVING MIMIC PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY
SHOWS EVEN DRIER AIR MOVING IN UPSTREAM. THE EVENING SAN JUAN
SOUNDING TUE SHOWED A PWAT OF 1.68 INCHES...BUT GFS SHOWS THE PWAT
PLUMMETING TO AN INCREDIBLY LOW 1.15 INCHES BY 00Z THIS EVENING.
WITH SUCH DRY AIR MOVING IN...CANNOT FORESEE ANYTHING MORE THAN JUST
A FEW HIT AND MISS SHOWERS WITH AN OUTSIDE SHOT AT AN AFTERNOON
TSTORM NEAR THE MAYAGUEZ AREA.

THE TROPICAL WAVE ANALYZED NEAR 55 WEST AND MAINLY SOUTH OF 18
DEGREES NORTH WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA THURSDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...MOISTURE TO THE NORTH OF THE WAVE WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE FROM EAST TO WEST TONIGHT...WITH PWATS SURGING FROM THE
ABNORMALLY LOW LEVELS TODAY...UP TO AROUND 1.8 INCHES LATE TONIGHT.
GIVEN SUCH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND THE NIGHTTIME
FAVORED TIME FOR SHOWER DEVELOPMENT...HAVE INCREASED POPS FOR THE
EAST COAST OF PR (30-40%) AND THE VI (40-50%) AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THIS IS MOSTLY IN LINE WITH GFS MOS VALUES...BUT DID NOT GO
NEARLY AS HIGH AS GFS SHOWS FOR ST. CROIX OVERNIGHT...68%.

THE WAVE PASSES TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE FOR MORE CONVECTION ACROSS WESTERN PR DURING THE AFTERNOON
ASSOCIATED WITH SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE. GIVEN THE HIGH
MOISTURE...INCREASED POPS JUST A TAD OVER WESTERN AREAS OF PR.

THE REST OF THE PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY EASTERLY FLOW WITH
MODEST MOISTURE AND NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FEATURES. SO HAVE
MAINTAINED A CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH WINDS PREVAILING ENE 10-20 KT AND
BECOMING GUSTY NEAR 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. JUST A FEW SHRA EXPECTED
TODAY...AND POSSIBLY A STORM WESTERN AREAS...BUT COVERAGE TOO
LIMITED TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS. FOR TONIGHT...MOISTURE WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE...ALLOWING FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR EASTERN
AREAS...SO THE NEXT SET OF TAF ISSUANCES MAY NEED TO ADD VCSH IN FOR
THE EASTERN SITES.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY OBS ACROSS THE AREA SHOW A LULL IN THE STRONGER
WINDS. HOWEVER...GFS SHOWS WINDS INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
TONIGHT...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 20 KT...AND POSSIBLY A TAD
HIGHER OVER THE CARIB WATERS ON THE HEALS OF THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE
PASSING JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA EARLY THU. SEAS OF 5-7 FT ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNPROTECTED WATERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 290807
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
407 AM AST WED JUL 29 2009

TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. ANY SHOWERS WERE FEW AND
FAR BETWEEN.

MOSTLY DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH HAZY SKIES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY WITH JUST A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. THE NEXT TROPICAL
WAVE...NEAR 55 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF
THE LOCAL AREA EARLY ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
ACROSS THE AREA TO THE NORTH OF THIS WAVE...INCREASING THE CHANCES
FOR FAST MOVING SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...WINDS WILL BE FROM MODERATE TO FRESH AND
SEAS WILL BE CHOPPY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$

[Gustywind]

Thanks.... All you others as well.

This is becoming like a kind of family thread LOL I appreciate it.

As I haved been saying,this thread is like a tent for us who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands.Yes,is a kind of family place to be every day to talk about the weather.

Absolutely, and it's very nice that why i love this thread...it's a very good idea from you part Luis GO TEAM GO TEAM

[Gustywind]

A weak and pimpy twave at 56 W will reach the Windwards/Leewards islands...bringing cloudiness and scattered showers


TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 18 KT. THIS
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A MAXIMUM IN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE BASED ON
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM
10N-15N BETWEEN 52W-59W.
...DISCUSSION...
CARIBBEAN SEA...
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN...THE DEEP LAYER DRY
AIR IS SUPPORTING MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER WITH FRESH TO STRONG ELY
TRADE WINDS E OF 82W. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED FAST MOVING
SHOWERS ARE OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY S OF 16N AND OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. AS THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 56W APPROACHES THE
LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...EXPECT INCREASED
CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
WAVE.$$HUFFMAN

[msbee]

Thanks.... All you others as well.

This is becoming like a kind of family thread LOL I appreciate it.

As I haved been saying,this thread is like a tent for us who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands.Yes,is a kind of family place to be every day to talk about the weather.

Yes, it really is nice. I hardly ever visit Talkin' Tropics any more
I feel very much at home here.

Barbara

[Gustywind]

Thanks.... All you others as well.

This is becoming like a kind of family thread LOL I appreciate it.

As I haved been saying,this thread is like a tent for us who live in the Eastern Caribbean islands.Yes,is a kind of family place to be every day to talk about the weather.

Yes, it really is nice. I hardly ever visit Talkin' Tropics any more
I feel very much at home here.

Barbara

Be welcomed Barbara, sweet kisses from the Carib Team Want an orange juice?

[msbee]

freshly squeezed? LOL

[Gustywind]

freshly squeezed? LOL

[Gustywind]

Light showers with a little amount of moisture here in Guadeloupe. Weather is grey

[cycloneye]

Less showers for Puerto Rico / VI as wave passes tommorow.

FXCA62 TJSJ 291705 AAA
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
105 PM AST WED JUL 29 2009

.UPDATE...SUNNY SKIES ARE BRINGING WARM TEMPERATURES TO THE LOCAL
AREA AS PONCE REACHES 97 DEGREES...MAYAGUEZ 93 AND SAN JUAN
REACHES 90 DEGREES AGAIN. MODELS ARE BACKING OFF PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED FROM THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 58 DEGREES WEST...MAINLY
DUE TO THE MOISTURE REMAINING TOO FAR SOUTH TO ADD SIGNIFICANTLY
TO RAIN CHANCES. PRECIPITABLE WATER IS REACHING A MINIMUM AND IS
BELOW 1.4 INCHES AT THE MOMENT. HAVE LOWERED POPS FOR PUERTO RICO
THURSDAY...BUT MUCH MORE OVER THE CARIBBEAN WHERE SHOWERS ARE
LIKELY TO BE ONLY SCATTERED.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 291650
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1615 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 57W/58W TO THE SOUTH
OF 18N MOVING WESTWARD 15 TO 20 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS
ARE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 51W AND 62W. SOME OF THIS
PRECIPITATION IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ISLANDS AND/OR IT ALREADY HAS REACHED PARTS OF TRINIDAD
AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA.
A 0W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS NEAR
17N59W TO A SECOND CYCLONIC CENTER THAT IS NEAR 11N64W JUST OFF
THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA. THIS TROUGH IS JUST TO THE
WEST OF THE APPROACHING 57W/58W TROPICAL WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE
SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE SOUTH OF 15N
TO THE EAST OF 68W.
$$
MT

[Gustywind]

Small pockets of showers are approaching the Windw/Leew islands without too much convection: a cool bath for the plants...

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 291502
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1102 AM AST WED JUL 29 2009

PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING. WINDS HAVE BEEN FROM
THE EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG
COASTAL AREAS SINCE EARLIER THIS MORNING.

MOSTLY DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AND HAZY SKIES
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ISLANDS THE REST OF TODAY WITH JUST A FEW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND OF SAINT
THOMAS AND SAINT CROIX. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST AT
10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG COASTAL AREAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...NEAR 57 WEST LATE THIS MORNING...WILL
PASS MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA ON THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...INCREASING
THE CHANCES FOR FAST MOVING SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE ISLANDS.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...WINDS WILL BE FROM MODERATE TO FRESH AND
SEAS WILL BE CHOPPY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$

[Gustywind]

000
AGXX40 KNHC 291939
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
340 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.


CARIBBEAN SEA...

THE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS MORNING
HAS REMAINED BENIGN LOOKING IN RECENT DAYS PER STILT IMAGERY. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THIS LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WILL TAKE A MORE W-NW TRAJECTORY AFTER ENTERING THE SE CARIB. AS IT
TRACKS MORE W-NW ACROSS THE E CENTRAL AND CENTRAL CARIB THU AND
FRI...ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
WAVE...AND BECOME MORE ACTIVE CONVECTIVELY AS IT ENCOUNTERS
GENERAL UPPER LEVEL ELYS.

ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W...
A WIND SURGE MOVING ACROSS THE NE CARIB AND LESSER ANTILLES ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRANSLATE MORE NW AND ACROSS CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ENHANCE THE 20 KT FLOW THROUGH THE BAHAMAS AND INTO
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 20-25 KT...WITH POCKETS OF SEAS TO 8 FT.

$$

FORECASTER STRIPLING

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
414 PM AST WED JUL 29 2009

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GREATER ANTILLES AND
INTO THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK TROUGH DIGS
SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND SLIDES WEST DURING THE
WEEK. WINDS REMAIN 15 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AT MID LEVELS...A TROUGH BETWEEN TWO HIGHS IN THE ATLANTIC EXTENDS
SOUTH ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THEN MOVES WEST TO HISPANIOLA
BY FRIDAY. THE RIDGE CONSOLIDATES OVER THE WEST CENTRAL ATLANTIC
NEXT WEEK AND THEN STRETCHES NORTHEAST AND SOUTH INTO THE LOCAL
AREA ON SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE WESTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO ON
THURSDAY. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE PASSES THROUGH LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WITH A THIRD ON WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE
ATLANTIC DURING THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TEMPERATURES WARMED INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S OVER
MOST OF THE LOWER ELEVATION SITES IN PUERTO RICO AND A FEW IN THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND SAINT CROIX. RAINFALL HOWEVER WAS SCARCE.
ALTHOUGH WE WERE UNABLE TO CONFIRM IT BY RADAR...A FEW AREAS LIKELY
HAD SPRINKLES IN HORMIGUEROS AND EASTERN VIEQUES. PRECIPITABLE
WATER FELL TO A LOW OF 1.26 INCHES BUT RECOVERED TO 1.46 INCHES IN
THE AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS CONTINUED OVER MANY
OFFSHORE AND NORTHERN COASTAL SITES. OF NOTE IS A TROPICAL WAVE
APPROACHING THE AREA FROM ITS CURRENT POSITION NEAR 58 WEST.
HOWEVER WITH AN APEX SOUTHEAST OF SAINT MARTIN AND A WESTWARD
MOVEMENT PULLING IT SOUTH OF THE AREA...THE EFFECT OF THE WAVE AND ITS
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED IN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...NEVERTHELESS INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY MORNING ON THE EAST COAST AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON ON THE
WEST HALF OF PUERTO RICO...WITH A FEW MORE SHOWERS IN THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS THURSDAY MORNING. A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF SAHARAN
DUST COMES WITH AND BEHIND THE WAVE AND HAVE INTRODUCED HAZE INTO
THE GRIDS THROUGH FRIDAY...THOUGH THIS HAZE COULD EASILY CONTINUE
UNTIL SUNDAY. ON SUNDAY ANOTHER WAVE WITH A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE
PUSHES THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY AND MOISTURE...ACCORDING TO THE GFS
REMAINS THROUGH MONDAY. WEATHER REMAINS UNREMARKABLE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK AND POSSIBLY BEYOND.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL LOCAL
TAF SITES FOR THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST WINDS
AVERAGING 10 TO 20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 28 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL AREAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TROPICAL WAVE
PASSING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL
INCREASE OVERALL CLOUDINESS AND MAYBE...A FEW PASSING SHOWERS
COULD AFFECT TISX OVERNIGHT...BUT IN GENERAL...VFR CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST FOR THIS PERIOD.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS WERE FOUND TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND ALL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WERE
DROPPED UNTIL THURSDAY. MODELS THEN SHOW SOME 7 FOOT SEAS IN OUTER
WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS WILL CONTINUE CHOPPY HOWEVER UNTIL
THESE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS ABATE AND WILL OCCASIONALLY
FLIRT WITH 7 FEET AGAIN...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS AUGUST 3-4.


&&

.CLIMATE...THE AVERAGE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH SO FAR
CONTINUES TO BE WARMER THAN ANY PREVIOUS ON RECORD. THE LOW ON JULY 28
TIED THE ALL-TIME RECORD FOR THE DATE AT 81 DEGREES LAST SET IN
1980. THE LOW THIS MORNING WAS 81 AND WILL NOT BEAT THE RECORD OF
82 TODAY.

[cycloneye]

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR PUERTO RICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
411 PM AST WED JUL 29 2009

SKIES WERE MOSTLY SUNNY FOR MOST OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST OF THE
ISLAND...WHERE PARTLY CLOUDY TO VARIABLY SKIES DOMINATED THAT
AREA. SO FAR AS OF 330 PM AST...NO MEASURABLE RAIN HAS BEEN
RECORDED OVER THE ISLAND. WINDS HAVE BEEN FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST
AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ALONG THE COASTS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

MOSTLY DRY WEATHER AND BREEZE CONDITIONS AND HAZY SKIES
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH JUST A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE
OVER SOME COASTAL AREAS.

THE NEXT TROPICAL WAVE...NEAR 58 WEST THIS AFTERNOON...WILL PASS
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA ON THURSDAY. HOWEVER...MOISTURE
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR
FAST MOVING SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY TO BE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS ON THURSDAY.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 292333
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 59W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH A DEEP LAYER MOISTURE MAXIMUM OBSERVED IN TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 57W-63W...AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES....

DISCUSSION...

CARIBBEAN SEA...
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN...DRY AIR AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT ARE PRODUCING GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER...EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS S OF 16N E OF 63W INFLUENCED BY THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 59W. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS ARE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH THE STRONGEST NEAR THE COAST OF COLUMBIA WHERE A GALE WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. THE GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.

$$
WALTON
All seems calm, no threat, so have a good visit on this thread my carib friends and enjoy all day with a big S ...

[cycloneye]

A east breeze blows tonight here.

Code: Select all

ASCA42 TJSJ 300209
RWRPR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1000 PM AST WED JUL 29 2009

PRZ001-004-300300-
PUERTO RICO

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
SAN JUAN LMM   PTCLDY    82  73  74 E17       30.04S
PONCE          CLEAR     81  72  74 NE6       30.01S
$$

PRZ006-007-300300-
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
CHARLOTTE AMA  CLEAR     82  70  65 E7        30.03R
CHRISTIANSTED  PTCLDY    82  72  69 E14       30.02S