Florida Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9881 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 12:56 pm

Hey psyclone. Well, I think we are going to be in for a wet, stormy and colder winter in Florida this year due to this strong El Nino. It could be potentially some really interesting weather for us .
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9882 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 3:37 pm

NWS WFOs from Ruskin and Melbourne have issued Flood Watches from now through Monday evening. Good move, especially considering all the rain earlier this summer in this region and with all of this moisture coming in, we may be looking a potential major flooding concerns next week. NWS WFOs in Tallahassee and Jacksonville may have to to do the same as we get into early next week.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#9883 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:16 pm

:uarrow: Already 4" in parts of south central interior FL and moisture from former Erika has barely started moving in yet.
You know there's a lot of tropical moisture being pump in already when is past sunset and showers are not dying out especially after it has already rained, the atmosphere is loaded.
There could be some damaging flooding in some areas by the time her remnants are out of our area.
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re:

#9884 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:20 pm

psyclone wrote:well we can already see a subtle change...the sun angle is getting lower and as we head into sept the edge will slowly come off of summer. the worst is certainly over.. central fl climo shows a distinct drying in sept even before the first cold front which is usually around oct 10. I'm looking forward to mountain biking at Alafia river state park. my last outing there was in early May. in the meantime I'll continue to enjoy the beaches and pool. Summer in FL is like Winter in MN...you just have to embrace it and find ways to make it work. I'd rather be hot than frozen.


I think September will continue to be wet, at least in the first half, due to the strong El Nino, maybe a little drying in October before rains start cranking up again in Nov through next Spring.
Regarding temps, not necessarily because there's a strong El Nino temps will be colder, if the NAO goes positive it will be a warm and very wet winter like 97/98 winter.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9885 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:22 pm

I just recorded nearly 2.5 inches in heavy downpours which just moved through the past 30 minutes. The humidity and tropical feel to the airmass is so heavy out there NDG you can cut. It with a knife. It is going to be a long long week NDG with this rainfall threat. Just think Erica's remnants have not even entered into the souttate just yet.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#9886 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:32 pm

:uarrow: I think is already moving in fast into the state but there's plenty coming in.

Check out the TPW loop:

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#9887 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:34 pm

UL divergence over the state due to the ULL to our west is just going to wring out all the tropical moisture coming in, there's even some coming in the upper levels from the Pacific!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9888 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:46 pm

:uarrow:
Yeah, I mentioned about that in the Erika thread earlier. The Water Vapor imagery really shows how the moisture from the Eastern Pacific is being pumped into Florida by that ULL in the North Central GOM.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#9889 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2015 7:59 pm

we have gotten some rain showers that have moved onshore with deep easterly flow building as the pressure gradient is tightening with Erika's remnants passing to the south. A little bit to my south, Pompano Beach Airpark saw a wind gust of 37mph in a squall at 2:53pm this afternoon. Finally we have some good winds here (and some moisture) as it has felt stagnant for so long this summer!
0 likes   

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#9890 Postby StormingB81 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:04 pm

In SW Orlando/NW Kissimmee where I work we are already over 4 inches. Already localized flooding. Just the beginning. I am just East of that 7 miles away where I live we are just over an inch here and just started pouring like crazy. Some nice lightning though.
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9891 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:04 pm

Yeah, gatorcane you will get some wind gusts to tropical storm force in a few of those rain cells as they pivot across the coast. If my memory serves.me correctly, was there a report of a wind gust in a storm cell of 62 mph. yesterday in the Ft. Lauderdale area?
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#9892 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:10 pm

I am sure some of these watches are going to be turned into warnings by tomorrow across central and northern FL, this is a monsoon! :eek:
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9893 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:13 pm

:uarrow: Wow, look at all that rain! Just think it is only beginning. It is going to be major flooding concerns for sure this week across the peninsula.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#9894 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:19 pm

Hey northjaxpro, I didnt hear about that 62mph gust, that is quite a gust!

NDG, that is some serious rain up your way. Warnings certainly may be necessary as this may just be the beginning, I wonder where the next blowup of deep convection will be? :eek:

You get the feeling it is coming somewhere as Erika's remnant energy interacts with the shear to the northwest not to mention all the lower pressure around the peninsula and to the south.
0 likes   

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#9895 Postby StormingB81 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:25 pm

All these photos where taking outside Disney to the SW

Ankle deep water here:

Image

All these I had a passenger take...

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

#9896 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:32 pm

All of that rain is slowly lifting north. It will get up here in Jax area overnight or during thw wee hours on early Sunday.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re:

#9897 Postby gatorcane » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:48 pm



Wow looks nasty there, thanks for sending the pics.

Looking at the latest radar over Central Florida, I see some intense rains moving through now with deep reds showing up around the Orlando area, but it appears a break is coming.
0 likes   

User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5676
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

#9898 Postby StormingB81 » Sat Aug 29, 2015 8:58 pm

It is still pouring like crazy here and lots of lightning and thunder..but I love night time storms..lights up the sky...lol...wonder if this continues if I will have fun trying to get to work in the morning
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15463
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#9899 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 29, 2015 9:09 pm

Feels like a monsoon outside.
http://youtu.be/66G0LUq8a7I
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4770
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

#9900 Postby psyclone » Sun Aug 30, 2015 11:13 am

I'm please to report I was missed by yesterday's heavy rain although areas with 10 miles of here got 3"+. Many river flood warnings are valid in west central fl and some have been above flood for weeks now. Good to see some heavy rain in areas that need it.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: wxman22 and 42 guests