STORM2K

NWS in Jackson, MS. has issued a flood warning for the entire length of the Mississippi River in the state of Mississippi. I will not be affected. Although I have noticed that our ponds look like they could over top. This warning area is large. A lot of levees will be brought to the test. Any thoughts on this approaching water?

There is going to be a HUGE mass of water coming down the river. All of the rivers north and around the river will drain into the Mississippi R. With the 10" of rain in MO and in other parts of the MS/OH valleys. There is also a lot of snow melt happening this time of year. All of this water is going to be going down the MS river and into LA, and furthermore into NOLA (gulp). I have a fear this may be bad.

The Army Corps of Engineers has a station upstream of Baton Rouge to keep the Mississippi from changing to its new preferred channel, the Atchafalya River. The distributary through Baton Rouge and New Orleans would not be deep enough for ocean going ship traffic if they allowed the river shift. The Mississippi naturally changes its main outlet every few centuries.


Anyway, they can probably just let more flow into the Atchafalaya. It'll eventually cause flooding near Morgan City, but that is a small oil field and shrimp fishing city, a city of working people, and doesn't get the attention of New Orleans.

Record snowfall in the north and record rainfall is something to be alarmed if you live near the Mississippi River.

Heard today we're gonna get some good crawfish out of this high water. Some good old boys done told me. We were drinking beer at that joint on the countly line. They said the water was gonna get high enough to scoop crawfish with buckets as they crossed highway 61.

Outside chance the spillways are opened this year. I got to see the Bonne Carrie open back in the early 80's....it was a sight to see. Yea, high water means good crawfishing...MGC

They are expected 1-4" in some areas for the next week.

MGC wrote:Outside chance the spillways are opened this year. I got to see the Bonne Carrie open back in the early 80's....it was a sight to see. Yea, high water means good crawfishing...MGC

I think I read that both the Morganza and Bonne Carre will be opened to divert the waters. The river crest at Baton Rouge is expected to be about 8' shy of flood stage.

gboudx wrote:

MGC wrote:Outside chance the spillways are opened this year. I got to see the Bonne Carrie open back in the early 80's....it was a sight to see. Yea, high water means good crawfishing...MGC

I think I read that both the Morganza and Bonne Carre will be opened to divert the waters. The river crest at Baton Rouge is expected to be about 8' shy of flood stage.

The decision to open the Bonnet Carre has not yet been made - the Corps are still considering it. The River is 'supposed' to crest below flood level but it is running high at the moment. My brother-in-law is a tug boat captain and he said it's rough out there right now.

Story on Spillway Opening

My company purchased oil fields from Exxon, Shell and Unocal near Norco, LA, near the spillway, right on the river, about 5 years ago. Shell was cheap, they could have been on the dry side of the levy, but they didn't want to chip in.


There is a seismic crew out there now, if they open the spillway it'll really slow down their work.


Last major Gulf Coast salt dome never to have a seismic survey.


Unless 'The Heights' neighborhood in Houston is a salt dome. Our geologist lives near there, has seen topo maps, and is pretty sure it is. If only people wouldn't object to drilling in their neighborhoods.


My sister got a $400 bonus for a third an acre of land and a 20% royalty on her share of production in Euless, Texas, outside Fort Worth and the DFW Airport, for signing a gas lease for her tiny suburban home. The drillers will be outside the neighborhood, and directionally drill underneath.


DFW airport is already receiving a 25% royalty on the 30 MMcf/d (in October, 2007, no doubt higher now) plus the $180 million signing bonus from Chesapeake for drilling rights under the airport.