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2010 severe season off to slowest start in history
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 11:09 am
by somethingfunny
The Severe Weather Warnings thread here might be up to 37 pages as of today, but this just came
from CNN:Spring storm season off to slowest-ever start
The 2010 spring severe weather season is off to its slowest start on record, according to forecasters from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma.
The agency, which is responsible for issuing forecasts for severe storms, releases daily forecasts that predict the level of severe weather and assigns it to three categories - slight, moderate and high.
Typically, severe storms occur most often in the United States during the months of April, May and June.
"It looks like we've gone the deepest into a year without or first MDT (moderate) or high risk," said Rich Thompson, a forecaster at the prediction center. "The previous latest date was March 21, 2005, so we're almost a month past that date."
The 2005 severe weather season got off to a slow start as well, but turned out to be a record-breaking year for severe weather and tornadoes.
Most of the tornadoes that occurred that year were associated with tropical storms and hurricanes that made landfall. The 2005 hurricane season was the worst on record, with 28 named storms, 15 hurricanes and seven major hurricanes –Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 1:55 pm
by CrazyC83
It is almost unheard-of to have not even had a moderate risk at this point in the year - the majority of years had their first high risk days by now.
But we might see a change this week? This weekend looks interesting in the mid-South...
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 2:28 pm
by thetruesms
I don't know if it's -removed- because of the lack of a MDT so far, but it seems like everyone back in Norman would be shocked if this next upper low didn't result in at least one moderate risk this week
Re:
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 3:22 pm
by srainhoutx
thetruesms wrote:I don't know if it's -removed- because of the lack of a MDT so far, but it seems like everyone back in Norman would be shocked if this next upper low didn't result in at least one moderate risk this week
Thursday through the weekend look ominus for areas from TX into the Plains and points E IMHO. I would not be surprised to see a Moderate Risk for Friday/Saturday
Re: Re:
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 4:11 pm
by CrazyC83
srainhoutx wrote:thetruesms wrote:I don't know if it's -removed- because of the lack of a MDT so far, but it seems like everyone back in Norman would be shocked if this next upper low didn't result in at least one moderate risk this week
Thursday through the weekend look ominus for areas from TX into the Plains and points E IMHO. I would not be surprised to see a Moderate Risk for Friday/Saturday
I'm wondering if either this or later will mean the first MDT risk is also the first HIGH risk? (they are not mutually exclusive since there is almost always a MDT area surrounding a HIGH)
Re: Re:
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 6:10 pm
by thetruesms
CrazyC83 wrote:I'm wondering if either this or later will mean the first MDT risk is also the first HIGH risk? (they are not mutually exclusive since there is almost always a MDT area surrounding a HIGH)
Maybe, but those highs don't get tossed around very easily. I guess I haven't really seen enough to make me think that's something that may come about, but we are still talking about something that's in day 3 here, there's still plenty of time!
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 6:45 pm
by KWT
Yeah I think a moderate risk is a real possiblity for the latter part of this week, I'd also suggest someone make a thread dedicated to the risk this weekend...
Re:
Posted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 7:37 pm
by srainhoutx
KWT wrote:Yeah I think a moderate risk is a real possiblity for the latter part of this week, I'd also suggest someone make a thread dedicated to the risk this weekend...
I agree.
